Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #guesstimate

Most recents (3)

1/🧵
Two years ago on June 14th, Steve Morgan's astronomically large yet unexplained #guesstimate for "the cost of cybercrime" exceeded the U.S. national debt.

This week the national debt officially topped $32 trillion, and the World Bank revised its global GDP projections…
2/🧵
…so let's revisit the #absurdity of Steve Morgan's ✌️predictions✌️ for "the cost of cybercrime."

We'll incorporate the latest numbers from the U.S. gov't debt website and the World Bank's global GDP projections.

Strap in. This absurdity is HUGE.
3/🧵
As I've said before, it amazes me how often Steve Morgan's absurdities #dupe cyber experts like @dralissajay, @WaleMicaiah, @LHMphaphuli, @KenBeattyJr, @eSentire, @LilyLopate, etc. Their gullibility is part and parcel of cybersecurity's "infotainment sub-industry."
Read 9 tweets
553 days ago, Steve Morgan's astronomically large yet unexplained #guesstimate for "the cost of cybercrime" exceeded the entire U.S. national debt.

Morgan has bragged that his wild-ass guess is already larger "than the global drug trade":
1/🧵
"Staggering" is ✌️right✌️ — it amazes me how often Steve Morgan's absurdities #dupe cyber experts like @dralissajay, @WaleMicaiah, @lhmphaphuli, @KenBeattyJr, @eSentire, @LilyLopate, etc.

So, let's chart him against the GLOBAL GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
2/🧵
This chart plots Steve Morgan's asinine #guesstimates against WorldBank.org's figures for the 2015-2021 Global Gross Domestic Product with projections up to 2024. For 2025 onward, these charts show a 2.5% increase from an acceptable 2-3% for a healthy global GDP.
Read 10 tweets
1/🧵
An innocent questioner came to me asking "Why do you start [see chart below] at 2021?"

And it stumped me. Because I've studied Steve Morgan's tweets enough to know he's touted "$3 trillion" since at least 2018.

So, why DID I start at 2021? Quite simply…
2/🧵
…I had Morgan's more recent #guesstimates in front of me when I first decided to "chart the math."

Really, though, his multi-trillion $$$ guesstimates date back to 2016. And they're not … exactly … "scientific," if you know what I mean:
3/🧵
Morgan's original multi-trillion $$$ #guesstimate waffled as it [d]evolved from 2016 through 2017 depending on whom he cited:
Read 16 tweets

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