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We have a shift to on-shore westerly wind in the Horn of Africa region today, which, I confess means little to me beyond being a new thing in the data. But it seems significant, as there is more water over the sea.
Today's rainfall/cyclone forecasts for the region follow.
Today's rainfall/cyclone forecasts for the region follow.
Here's a view from this afternoon & the direction of travel is pretty stable. For me onshore winds bringing wet air towards mountains means lots more rain. If anyone is aware of the usual timing of this switch I would be interested.
Here are African 10-Day Accumulated rain forecasts. All of which now show the impact of the two Cyclones which are now in the forecast window. 
I've started combining locations highlighted in my #connectivity research with in-situ listening via #radiogarden. Right now, the port of Constanta, Romania on the #BlackSea, while scanning a modernisation programme with "civilian-military dual-use of transport infrastructure" 1/
This morning, the port of #Alexandroupoli, Greece on the #ThracianSea with strategically important position for regional #energyflows. Scanning #flowsecurity development & mooted sale of majority stake of port to US commercial interests... / #connectivity & #radiogarden 2/
Nothing listed for the port of #Sabetta, Russia so Novy Urengoy closest station (375 miles away): Scanning the voyage of Christophe de Margerie, expanding navigation window in the eastern sector of Russian #Arctic, confirming year-round safe navigation... #psychoconnectivity 3/
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中文: bit.ly/FairbankCenter
한국어: bit.ly/ChinaQuestions
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Tomorrow, in Addis-Ababa, the Peace & Security Council (PSC) of @_AfricanUnion meets in emergency on the situation in Sudan under. Nigeria will chair it. It's the 1st meeting of any policy organ of the #AU on the epochal situation unfolding in Khartoum
dailytrust.com.ng/nigeria-assume…
dailytrust.com.ng/nigeria-assume…
Sudan matters to the stability of Africa in a way that arguably no other country does. It is a complex, big, fragile country with borders to the most complex & fragile regions of the continent. The potential for regional stability contagion are huge if Sudan is distressed
Sudan is critical to stability in the #Sahel, North Africa, the #GulfOfAden, the #NileBasin, the #GreatLakes, East Africa; the Horn of Africa, Central Africa & #WestAfrica. There's no other #African country whose wellbeing can so ripple through the continent like Sudan.
