Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #hdfcbank

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The top 10 stocks in #Nifty50 contributes more than 55% weight-age, the remaining 45% comes from other 40 stocks. This weight-age changes yearly twice based on stock performance. What if I choose to do SIP of Rs.10,000 every month only with Top 1 stock from this list?
I downloaded last 13 years historical Nifty50 constituents from niftyindices.com and grabbed the top stock based on weight-age. Allocated Rs.10,000 every month into that stock.
Used @ValueResearch portal to upload the transaction to compute the final results inclusive of Bonus, Splits, Dividends etc. In last 13 years, these 5 stocks #HDFCBANK #ICICIBANK #ITC #RELIANCE & #INFY had the highest weight-age at different periods.
Read 5 tweets
1/ Theoretical potential for loan book growth for banks in EMs can be 2-2.5x of GDP. So, banks have always appeared as a no-brainer way to play the EMs.

But not all banks are created equal, while growing loan book is easy - managing risk is difficult.
2/ Risk is not only driven by the policy and macro volatility but also due to constant govt. intervention & corruption in loan disbursement decisions.

Chinese banks have been a case in point. While China is the 2nd largest economy, its banks are one of the weakest.
3/ I will highly recommend reading @MarcRuby's latest blog on the constant troubles that Chinese banks find themselves in.

netinterest.co/p/no-time-to-d…

In a ZIRP world, getting capital may be easy but managing risk is still difficult.

This is why $HDB has been so special.
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#Banknifty in focus.
#Hdfcbank 8 days of cons. A move past 1560-65.
#Icicibank 10 days of cons. A move past 717
#Reliance 6 days of cons. A move past 2400
#Hdfc 3 days of cons. Holding 2785-2805 & move past 2825
#Hdfc breaking out..
#Icicibank is poised..
Read 10 tweets
The speed with which big Banks adapt to change in environment is commendable

Smaller banks and NBFCs either cant do that (because of regulation or lack of strategy)

#HDFCBank had a retail heavy book for last 20 yrs, now corporate book is bigger and expanding fast (53% now)

+
as HDFC Bank sees that, fintech riding on ponzi scheme of valuation and VC money, will eat away CASA, will eat away fee income related to retail

but regulation will not allow fintech to even look at corporate loans, so not only hedged, but double down with AT1 of USD 1 billion
#AXISBank has closed all foreign subsidiaries except UK, these subsidiaries are not easy, as in china you have to have 5 yrs of Rep office then only you can apply for a licence and once surrendered, you cant re-apply , so big shift in strategy
Read 6 tweets
After #HDFCBANK now #AXISBANK

is raising USD 1 BILLION in AT1 BONDS

Pls note Hdfcbk raised same amount for the first time ever.

All big banks are expecting tsunami of credit offtake and preparing dry powder

This govt pushed infra led growth will give unbelievable valuation

+
To big banks and NBFCs, who are in a position to raise cheap capital n have good rating

While smaller banks like #RBL, #BANDHANBNK, #ujjivan n nbfc like ibulhsgfin will have tough time
Read 6 tweets
#BankNifty outperformed broader #Nifty after a long time, looking at the momentum today, we may see it touching much higher levels in next few days. Please refer to following quantitative and technical post market reports for details.
#HDFCBank #icicibank and #SBIN led the rally today, look at #KOTAKBANK #AXISBANK & #indusind too.
Important levels are mentioned in following note.
Subscribe for Free : t.me/i2gain
@vivbajaj
Read 3 tweets
Had been a big fan of financials always.
But D way world is changing from March 2020,I am in doubt whether
#hdfcbank #kotakbank #Bajajfinance #bajajfinserv n other Money lenders will be as profitable as those were between 1990-2019!
You can check the results of #bfsi in Last (1/n
4-5 quarters for backtesting.
#investors may look forward to LENDING BUSINESS where big corporates R not involved.

Let us have an example,
#RelianceIndustries has raised huge funds in last 17 months,but they were not dependent on #hdfcbank #kotakbank #Bajajfinance #bajajfinserv
For the fund.
World is changing very fast, and if you continue your #Investment mindset like 90s or 2k, you should revisit your cognitive perception.
Only retail lenders with huge collaterals may survive n grow well in this decade.
#management analysis is important here.(3/n)
Read 5 tweets
How you can filter stocks for Intraday trades - 🧵

As a kid, we would do homework before school the next day - you have to do homework here too. A specific sector performs on a particular day and studying things a day before will help you spot that particular sector. (1/11)
To prepare for the next trading day, you got to check the Index charts of all sectors. You got to keep an eye on a specific Index if you see a few factors:

- If any Index closed exactly at the resistance, you can get a trade on either side on the next day. (2/11)
- If it gave a rejection candle at resistance.

- If any Index closed exactly at support, you can get a trade on either side the following day.

- If there was a bullish signal at the support.

- If any Index gave a breakout or breakdown and then gave a good closing. (3/11)
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For, #twitter followers of @DrdhimanBhatta1
Age: 3 months 2 days.
Sex:M/F.
Chief Complaints: #Multibaggers aches.
O/E, Signs of #bullish ness.

Rx, My internet provider is #reliancedigital
My buddy @BhatiaPrashant1 's connection is of #Airtel but @CaJohnKaran1 doesn't know (1/n
#techmahindra is working for 5g in #India.
Being a top brass of #kotakmahindra bank,my buddy @kamale1605 rides #eichermotors bikes and smokes top brands of #ITC cigerrattes.
Major @kuttrapalian loves #hdfcbank very much!
Though people loves #tatasteel very much,but I use (2/n)
#jswsteel for my home,rather I love products of #tataconsumer .
I have to go,chief manager of #cipla is waiting for me.

Direction for use: Bookmark this thread and read it loud once a week for 3 weeks.
Not a recommendation for treatment purposes only.
Thanks for your time ✍️🙏.
Read 3 tweets
A short and brief thread on life insurance and it's market leader in india, #hdfclife
#insurance
#life
#invest
#investments
#investor
#investors .

Was getting a lot of request to cover this sector.(1/n)
Life insurance is a legally binding contract.
For the contract to be enforceable, the life insurance application must accurately disclose the insured’s past and current health conditions and high-risk activities.
#insurance
#lifeinsurance
#hdfclife (2/n)
For a life insurance policy to remain in force, the policyholder must pay a single premium up front or pay regular premiums over time.
When the insured dies, the policy’s named beneficiaries will receive the policy’s face value, or death benefit.
#lifeinsurance
#hdfclife (3/n)
Read 11 tweets
#HDFCBANK In the last few years of me trading earnings, there were only a couple of quarters where I did not take any vol crush strategy ahead of results. My assessment of vol that time was it was very low and selling vol might not be profitable. I was surprised to see that on
+
both the occasion I was proven wrong and despite low vols, it would have still made some money. But for that small win, the risk was not worth it. This was another quarter where I did not sell volatility for the IVs were so low. With straddle pricing in just 3% move, it was
+
again not favourable to trade. But it might happen that there is not much of a larger move on Monday and vols go down (unlikely with the kind of results), but one has to weigh in the risk/reward while selling volatility and it clearly was not worth it. At one point, I thought
+
Read 8 tweets
Strategy time :)

Disclaimers first -
1. I am no pro backtester so this could have flaws.
2. I don't trade this and am strictly NOT advising it, doing this to show how aggressive compounding can work well on paper.
3. Good backtest result doesn't mean it will work in future.

+
Strategy - It's the long #HDFCBank strategy because why not!
Rule - Short ATM (50 delta) put 30DTE and let it expire with 100% SL on the premium. So, if you sell 1500 PE at 50 bucks, SL is 100 bucks or let it expire.
Backtested with 5 years of data from Mar 2016 to Feb 2021. +
Max drawdown for this strategy is ~45k and margin required to trade 1 lot is <1.2 L, so considering 2X the max DD in live trading, one approach will be to trade with starting equity as 1.2+.9 or 2.1L. Approach 2 is conservative and we trade 1 lot with 3L (<2X exposure).
+
Read 11 tweets
Spate of Q4FY21 results showcase #Economy is on track

#ICICIBank reported Profit of Rs4402Cr,a 260% jump YoY,with NII up a solid 16.8% at 10431Cr

Tech companies have done well,with #TechMahindra reporting Dollar Revenue growth of 1.6% QoQ &Margins up 10bps at 16%
#Modinomics💪
#HCLTech also reported good numbers with Dollar Revenue up 3% QoQ

IT&Business Services segment grew 4.4% QoQ

Even for #MarutiSuzuki,while Profit fell,it managed to have Gross Margins at 26%,Vs 27.5% QoQ

Margin above 25% despite challenges thrown by Pandemic,is good
#Modinomics
In Banking space,besides great results by #HDFCBank& #ICICIBank, #AxisBank too reported good results, with Profit at Rs2677Cr,Vs loss of 1388Cr,YoY

While Gross&Net NPAs of Axis rose 15%&52% YoY,with Provisions down 28%,good news is NII is up 11% at Rs7555Cr

#Economy #Modinomics
Read 5 tweets
Big news this week on economic front has been,inclusion of Healthcare sector under @narendramodi govt's ECLGS scheme,which gives collateral free loans to MSMEs

India reporting $20bn Trade surplus with USA,in goods&$8bn in Services,bodes well too

RBI had 25000Cr auction of GSAP
Excellent move by RBI to refuse to sell securities to PDs or even allow devolution--result was,10yr bond yield that shot up to 6.13% on Thursday,on day of GSAP auction,quickly cooled off to 6.07%,by Friday

Short sellers were trapped by RBI,preventing any hardening of yield curve
Fact that economy is on track, endorsed by solid Q4 results from #HDFCBank,with Profit up 18% at Rs 8186Cr&NII up 12% YoY,at 17120Cr

Deposits up 16%
Advances up 14%;Wholesale Loans up 22%

NIM came at a good 4.2%

GrossNPA down to 1.32% from 1.38% QoQ,while NetNPA steady at 0.4%
Read 6 tweets
Weekly NIFTY50 analysis thread.
September Week4.

All posts are for educational purposes.
1
#nifty50
#PriceAction
#ADANIENT
Adani enterprises
Read 53 tweets
Stocks for 24/09/20 Intraday

Based on NR7:

#KOTAKBANK
#GLENMARK
#BIOCON
#TITAN
#ICICIPRULI

Based on NR4:

#BANDHANBNK
#HDFCBANK
#CIPLA
#GRANULES
#CADILAHC

Including NR4 too to increase my options for tomorrow
Some of you asked what I meant by "Volatility Concept"
while selecting stocks

Basically, you don't want stocks which are not moving organically, doing pump/dump, staying flat, or forming too many gaps

These were NR7 stocks which I rejected because of above reasons:
Results of the Day: 4/10 Stocks gave tradeable moves

A tricky, no easy setups day today

1/4 : #KOTAKBANK : PROFIT : +1.7R

As posted earlier:

It gave a loss of -1R, followed by another signal giving +2R
Read 6 tweets
Stocks for 18/09/20 Intraday

#ICICIBANK
#AXISBANK
#INDUSINDBK
#HDFCBANK
#BHARTIARTL
#BPCL
#BAJFINANCE
#SRTRANSFIN
#HINDUNILVR
#ESCORTS

Based on NR7, Volume and Volatility concepts
Results of the Day: 3/10 Stocks gave tradeable moves

1/3 : #SRTRANSFIN : PROFIT : +1.6R

Price was going towards previous highs with declining volumes and increasing wicks. Rejected by forming strong Bearish candle

Exit after successive Bullish candles came in Image
2/3: #ESCORTS : PROFIT : +0.6R

Broke out of Day's high forming Very strong candles. Not too convinced because Volumes were lacking.

Exit after price couldn't get past next resistance Image
Read 4 tweets
Will be posting TA of all #nifty50 stocks in this thread. Any comments, suggestions are welcome!
1
#NIFTY50 #ADANIENT
ADANI ENTERPRISES
2
#NIFTY50 #ASIANPAINTS
ASIAN PAINTS
Read 52 tweets
Stocks for 04/09/20 Intraday

#INDUSINDBK
#HDFCBANK
#SRTRANSFIN
#TVSMOTOR
#LUPIN
#PEL
#TORNTPOWER

Based on NR7, Volume and Volatility concepts
Results of the Day: 3/7 Stocks gave tradeable moves

1/3 : #TVSMOTOR : PROFIT : +0.6R

Posted about it in morning, Price was rejected by previous highs and gave good entry forming a Bearish structure.
Had to close for minor profits after a strong Bullish candle Image
2/3 : #TORNTPOWER : PROFIT : +1.1R

Similar setup, price rejected at Day's Highs and gave Bearish formation, hence a Short Entry.

Again had to close it early because of Bullish candles coming in with Volumes Image
Read 4 tweets
I believe #ratio #charts are one of the most underrated and underutilized tools in #technicalanalysis. Do you agree?
Ever wondered which stock to chose between the two?

#HDFC or #HDFCBank?
#TCS or #Infosys?
#HeroMoto or #BajajAuto?
#ACC or #Ambuja?
#BPCL or #HPCL?
#BajajFinserv or #Bajajfinance?

But don't know whats the best approach to pick one?
#Ratio #charts can help you identify the best stock for #trading and #investment. You can plot a #ratiochart by dividing the price on one stock with another. Its preferable to divide the high priced stock with low priced one to get ratios greater than 1.
Read 13 tweets

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