Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #herdimminity
Most recents (2)
It seems the death rate of people with The Virus on an all-population basis for a first-world population is 0.03% to 0.25%, depending on which subdemographics it hits disproportionately and on baseline age and health of the community.
0.03%-0.25% deaths of people with the virus,
but
(1) There is no virus in history that 100% of people get. Expansion then end with #herdimminity. Wuhan-Corona, like other coronaviruses, looks to fade out at a <30% threshold.
(2) 0.8% to 1.0% of society dies any year anyway.
but
(1) There is no virus in history that 100% of people get. Expansion then end with #herdimminity. Wuhan-Corona, like other coronaviruses, looks to fade out at a <30% threshold.
(2) 0.8% to 1.0% of society dies any year anyway.
The categories Corona-Positive Deaths (0.01%-0.08% of society) and Expected Deaths This Year (0.8%-1.0% of society) are also going to overlap by a substantial degree; share of nursing home deaths being a good proxy.
The final mortality impact may be closer to +0.01% than +0.1%.
The final mortality impact may be closer to +0.01% than +0.1%.
Incredible!
@Keir_Starmer asks the PM if he has “actually read” the report by the Academy of Medical Sciences on a potential second #COVID19 wave & its recommendations for ‘intense preparation’ throughout July & August.
@BorisJohnson replies: “I am aware of the report.” #PMQs
@Keir_Starmer asks the PM if he has “actually read” the report by the Academy of Medical Sciences on a potential second #COVID19 wave & its recommendations for ‘intense preparation’ throughout July & August.
@BorisJohnson replies: “I am aware of the report.” #PMQs
2. SAGE minutes released on 2 July are an important piece of the #HerdImmunityScandal jigsaw.
They shed light on decisions re: late lockdown, ICU capacity & care homes
They ALSO suggest SAGE has modelled for future waves
We need to SEE this modelling.
https://t.co/5HcRRrIPnP
They shed light on decisions re: late lockdown, ICU capacity & care homes
They ALSO suggest SAGE has modelled for future waves
We need to SEE this modelling.
https://t.co/5HcRRrIPnP
3. When @keirstarmer asks the PM if he will implement recommendations set out in theAMS report “in full and at speed”, @BorisJohnson doesn’t commit to do so & quickly moves to talk about NHS investment.
The report warns that, without preparation, 120,00 people could die. #PMQs
The report warns that, without preparation, 120,00 people could die. #PMQs
