Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #hindsightbias
Most recents (2)
1/16
Was reading upon #Biases & learnt a lot. Thought of sharing a few pointers .
Simply put Bias is a disproportionate weight in favour of or against any idea/thing in all aspects of life.
Few types of Biases ( out of the many) with not so random images. :)
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Was reading upon #Biases & learnt a lot. Thought of sharing a few pointers .
Simply put Bias is a disproportionate weight in favour of or against any idea/thing in all aspects of life.
Few types of Biases ( out of the many) with not so random images. :)
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2/16
The #DunningKruger effect now is fairly well known , wherein people with limited knowledge overestimate their competence, whilst the actually knowledgeable question themselves often .
"Ignorance more frequently begets confidence than does knowledge".
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The #DunningKruger effect now is fairly well known , wherein people with limited knowledge overestimate their competence, whilst the actually knowledgeable question themselves often .
"Ignorance more frequently begets confidence than does knowledge".
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3/16
*#SelfServingBias*
A very interesting bias wherein we credit our successes to purely ourselves, but when things go awry we cite luck & external forces .
Rings any bells?
Basically a defence mechanism to protect our self esteem & eventually from personal responsibility.
*#SelfServingBias*
A very interesting bias wherein we credit our successes to purely ourselves, but when things go awry we cite luck & external forces .
Rings any bells?
Basically a defence mechanism to protect our self esteem & eventually from personal responsibility.
1/n #YES bank, some thoughts and views.
This is a communication failure. You don't impose a moratorium on a major bank without a clear end game.
Markets hate uncertainty.
It will create panic. RBI's goal should be to not create unnecessary panic.
This is a communication failure. You don't impose a moratorium on a major bank without a clear end game.
Markets hate uncertainty.
It will create panic. RBI's goal should be to not create unnecessary panic.
2/n #UnintendedConsequences
50k withdrawal restriction is presumably to prevent run on the bank and buy time.
Depositors don't like arbitrary restrictions. Every depositor will withdraw 50k.
It will create a mini-run. I hope they are prepared.
50k withdrawal restriction is presumably to prevent run on the bank and buy time.
Depositors don't like arbitrary restrictions. Every depositor will withdraw 50k.
It will create a mini-run. I hope they are prepared.
3/n #WhatShouldTheyHaveDone
Get everyone in a room, and come out only with a complete solution (bailout, buyout whatever).
Has been done before by Volcker and JPMorgan.
Cannot play this out in the public domain over days. Crucial trust is lost in the banking system.
Get everyone in a room, and come out only with a complete solution (bailout, buyout whatever).
Has been done before by Volcker and JPMorgan.
Cannot play this out in the public domain over days. Crucial trust is lost in the banking system.
