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We may have our answer, not 18 hours after the post, we had the first unconfirmed reports of the #Russian capture of #Vrubivka. VIIRS data lends supporting evidence to this as it has been 54+ hours since the last hotspot data from Vrubivka on the 12th (captured in previous post).
There was heavy shelling on the 11th (preparation), less so on the 12th (in support of advance) & none (that we can see) thereafter. This pattern coincides with a RU assault on the town. At the same time, strikes continued north of Vrubivka around Loskutivka & Novoivanivka
towards where we would expect a additional advances to seal the #Zolote - #Hirsk cauldron, itself part of the larger & rapidly enveloping Severedonetsk - Lysychansk salient. If true, the town's capture seals the fate of the entire salient, by first sealing the fate of the smaller
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