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New preprint, whose main point can be summarized by 3 maps: the share of Catholics in Western German regions (center) strongly correlates with AfD vote shares (right) when taking into account whether the region historically belonged to Prussia (left). Why? #polisciresearch (1/12)
The argument in a nutshell: the historical oppression of Catholics in Prussia led to a specific form of political mobilization and this mobilization still inhibits people in these regions from voting AfD. Just compare the districts Münster (4,9% AfD) and Deggendorf (19,2%) (2/11)
The same relationship exists in Rhineland-Palatine, a “hyphen-state” created from a formerly Prussian North and non-Prussian South after WWII. The more Catholic a region (center) in former Prussia, the weaker is the AfD (right). No such effect exists outside of Prussia. (3/11)
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