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1/ LOS CASOS DE SUPERCONTAGIO LOS EXPLICA LA TRANSMISIÓN POR EL AIRE EN HABITACIONES COMPARTIDAS

Lo demostramos en nuestro paper (revisado por pares) en @EnvSciTech:

pubs.acs.org/doi/abs/10.102…

El modelo matemático funciona. Y "no hay nada más práctico q una buena teoría"
2/ Los casos de supercontagio son muy importantes para la pandemia (10% de contagiados --> 80-90% de nuevos casos).

Por ejemplo el caso del restaurante de Noruega con omicron es la causa del 75% de los casos actuales en ese país.

nature.com/articles/d4158…
3/ Hay muchos casos famosos de supercontagio

Por ejemplo el caso del restaurante de Guangzhou en China:

sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
Read 75 tweets
1/ SUPERSPREADING IS EXPLAINED BY SHARED-ROOM AIRBORNE TRANSMISSION

We can use that to estimate risk of transmission for omicron & other diseases

Our peer-reviewed paper was just published (open access) in @EnvSciTech

I'll explain it in this thread

pubs.acs.org/doi/abs/10.102…
2/ Some background first, for people who may not have seen this before:

We have known for a long time that airborne transmission is dominant for COVID-19. See this thread for some of the evidence base:

3/ The fact that airborne transmission is important is widely accepted in the scientific community

[except for some recalcitrant holdouts in IPC (infection prevention and control)]

But e.g. @WHO admits it clearly on its webpage:

who.int/news-room/ques…
Read 55 tweets

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