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Whilst considering whats going to happen After Florida in the Carolinas with #HurricaneIan, there is another unusual aspect to #IAN. It is a hurricane embedded in two atmospheric rivers.
First of all, here is a 3 day old PWAT forecast which shows us where #HurricaneIAN came from. And credit needs to be given to the GFS model for how good the forecast was for the storm 72 hours out. This run in particular was very nearly spot on.
Next, here is what actually happened over the three day period. First the explosive intensification that took #HurricaneAndrew from TS to Cat 2 in just 15 hours.
#ExtremeWeather #ClimateChangeNow
Sunrise Update #HurricaneIAN Update thread. (continuing story).
A #HurricaneHunter mission has upgraded #Ian to 155 MPH just 1 kmh short of Cat 5 status with 50kms till eyewall landfall.
Sunrise Update #HurricaneIAN Update thread. (continuing story).
A #HurricaneHunter mission has upgraded #Ian to 155 MPH just 1 kmh short of Cat 5 status with 50kms till eyewall landfall.
This is going to be a US Prime Time storm - landfall is expected around breakfast time in the US - and will continue all day. The storm's track is significantly worse than expected - and the storm is significantly stronger than initially expected.
Practically speaking we are looking at a storm similar in strength to Hurricane Andrew in its landfall destruction potential with the rainfall and flooding potential of Katrina (New Orleans) or Harvey (Houston) - and consequently one of the most expensive in history.
