Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #ia02

Most recents (24)

The GOP's Congressional Leadership Fund concludes its final major filing binge before next week's election, dropping $29.4 million in 41 races.

Tonight's dump brings their general election IE total to just under $210 million, over $70 million ahead of their 2020 pace. ImageImageImage
Tonight's CLF buys (1/3)

#NY17 $2,593,204
#IL06 $1,913,350
#NV03 $1,509,471
#CA47 $1,484,309
#NV01 $1,447,925
#PA07 $1,419,827
#CA49 $1,343,586
#NY04 $1,324,750
#CA13 $1,162,594
#TX34 $1,050,079
#VA07 $1,031,830
#IL17 $996,760
#IN01 $899,304
#NY18 $786,512
#MN02 $653,079
Tonight's CLF buys (2/3)

#CA22 $646,452
#WA08 $644,145
#OR05 $636,737
#CT05 $604,832
#NY19 $599,291
#NC13 $594,582
#PA17 $567,250
#ME02 $527,500
#RI02 $506,313
#NY22 $497,750
#MI07 $453,800
#OR06 $447,500
#OH13 $402,750
#TX28 $356,186
#OH01 $340,851
#AZ06 $320,051
#AZ01 $310,380
Read 5 tweets
The GOP's Congressional Leadership Fund concludes tonight's filing dump, dropping $24.9 million in 39 races, bringing its general election IE spending to $175,411,754, more than the $173,430,579 spent by the Democratic House Majority PAC and the DCCC combined.
Today's CLF buys (1/3)

#CA47 $1,682,483
#PA07 $1,539,925
#NY17 $1,518,158
#NV03 $1,503,351
#NV01 $1,455,758
#IN01 $1,014,589
#VA07 $991,831
#CA13 $945,284
#NJ07 $833,186
#NY19 $770,181
#CA49 $769,283
#TX34 $738,255
#WA08 $715,288
#CA22 $711,987
#OR05 $680,714
#PA17 $665,653
Today's CLF buys (2/3)

#TX28 $636,376
#CO08 $624,456
#IL17 $611,310
#CT05 $608,112
#NC13 $582,079
#ME02 $548,414
#NY22 $498,339
#RI02 $486,313
#MN02 $472,556
#VA02 $405,567
#FL27 $393,568
#OH01 $343,088
#AZ06 $329,402
#CA45 $294,819
#NE02 $259,178
#MI07 $249,885
#NY18 $222,852
Read 5 tweets
Friday night's filing dump from the GOP's Congressional Leadership Fund concludes after a $23.15 million torrent of spending spread across 43 targeted House races.

CLF has now passed $120 million in general election IEs.
docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/forms/…
Congressional Leadership Fund continues to run well ahead of their pace from past cycles and is running laps around the Democratic House Majority PAC, outspending their counterpart $120.9M to $40.7M.
Tonight's CLF buys (1/3)

#NV03 $1,429,474
#NV01 $1,422,146
#PA07 $1,047,124
#NJ07 $901,401
#CO08 $881,835
#CA47 $841,483
#OR05 $821,203
#IL17 $726,494
#FL27 $651,174
#MN02 $650,074
#NY19 $646,069
#VA07 $631,866
#CA13 $629,151
#MI07 $618,935
#TX28 $616,752
#CA22 $604,211
Read 5 tweets
The House GOP's Congressional Leadership Fund SuperPAC wraps up its Friday spending dump, finishing up at $22 million deployed across 42 House races.

docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/forms/…
32 days out, @CLFSuperPAC's general election spending is running ~$60 million ahead of their breakneck 2020 pace.
Today's @CLFSuperPAC buys (1/3)

#NV03 $1,494,562
#NV01 $1,181,949
#PA07 $1,022,681
#NH01 $981,150
#CO08 $934,807
#OR05 $773,033
#IN01 $740,075
#IL17 $711,513
#MN02 $684,808
#CA13 $678,224
#VA07 $663,140
#MI07 $644,028
#TX34 $615,633
#CA49 $584,838
#OH13 $565,159
#NY19 $553,155
Read 6 tweets
Did you know that:

A) There is a House GOP bill called 'The Life at Conception Act' (H.R. 1011) - also known as a 'personhood' bill - that would declare life as starting at ‘the moment of fertilization'?

B) Of its 166 co-sponsors, many are running in very close races?

🧵👇 Image
Co-sponsor: TED BUDD

Race: #NCSen

Democratic opponent: CHERI BEASLEY (@CheriBeasleyNC)

Donate:
secure.actblue.com/donate/beasley…
Co-sponsor: MIKE GARCIA

Race: #CA27

Democratic opponent: CHRISTY SMITH (@ChristySmithCA)

Donate:
secure.actblue.com/donate/2021_we…
Read 14 tweets
🚨2022 FLIPPABLE HOUSE SEATS🚨

The magic numbers: 5⃣ and 3⃣0⃣

5⃣: Average point swing improvement for Dem candidates in House Special Elections Dem over 2020 Presidential margins.

3⃣0⃣: Number of GOP-held House seats Trump won by five points or less, or that Biden won.

🧵👇 Image
Race: #TX34

Democrat: Vicente Gonzalez (@VoteVicente)

Republican: Rep. Mayra Flores

2020 Margin: Biden +15.7

Donate: secure.actblue.com/donate/vicente… ImageImage
Race: #CA22

Democrat: Rudy Salas (@RudySalasCA)

Republican: Rep. David Valadao

2020 Margin: Biden +13.1

Donate: secure.actblue.com/donate/salaswe… ImageImage
Read 31 tweets
Big shakeup in DCCC's House battlefield this AM. The committee named 12 challengers to its "Red to Blue" program, added 3 members to its "Frontline" program, added 8 new GOP/Dem districts to its "In Play" list, and removed 6 GOP-held districts from its target list.
Read 5 tweets
A few stray thoughts on last night's Trump rally in Iowa, so bear with me:
independent.co.uk/news/world/ame…
1. It's still largely Trump's party. Chuck Grassley is the longest-serving Republican and has a brand that is independent of Trump. But nonetheless, he's willing to accept his endorsement.
independent.co.uk/news/world/ame…
Peculiarly, @ChuckGrassley didn't vote to object to the election results on Jan 6, but Trump endorsed him anyway. Nor did @hinsonashley of #IA01 or @RepMMM of #IA02 but spoke earlier before Trump.
independent.co.uk/news/world/ame…
Read 7 tweets
This story isn’t getting nearly enough notice: after months of holier than thou appeal to respecting elections and the democratic process, Pelosi is planning to strip a Republican rep of her victory *certified by the courts* and hand it to a Dem. #IA02

politico.com/news/magazine/…
The irony is the left has harassed and cancelled any law firm with even a flimsy connection to Trump’s election lawsuits. dailysignal.com/2021/02/04/law…

But the Dem lawyer here, Marc Elias, represents virtually the entire Dem establishment.

By their own logic, they’re ALL complicit
.@TheDemocrats and @JoeBiden, your attorney, Marc Elias is currently fighting to overturn a certified election in Iowa just because a Republican won.

Will you denounce and distance yourself from him?

I mean, you’re not hypocrites are you?
Read 11 tweets
It is a bad idea to seat Rita Hart in #IA02 if there is no clear and convincing evidence supporting the unseating of Miller-Meeks. But comparisons to 1985 don't work; firstly, it won't be something to unite the GOP, and secondly, swing voters won't be basing their vote off this.
The entire GOP has spent months yelling about election fraud etc, so the argument that the Democrats are the ones doing it doesn't hold water with most people. Because many have no idea what the hell #IA02 is, and even fewer care. But they all saw January 6th.
So essentially, I'm not convinced that this is something that will "kill the Democrats with swing voters", making the optics *electorally* untenable -- the larger problem is in the precedents it sets and the ethical issues arising if this is done unfairly...
Read 4 tweets
🚨SOON: At 12:00 PM ET the House Administration Committee will meet about a petition for the #IA02 2020 congressional race. We'll be live-tweeting the meeting on this thread. Before the meeting starts, get the facts on the situation below⤵️
The 2020 #IA02 congressional race was extremely close after GOP candidate Marianette Miller-Meeks was certified as the winner by 6 votes. Democratic candidate Rita Hart contested the results under the 1969 Federal Contested Elections Act, claiming 22 legal votes were not counted.
Hart filed a petition with the House Administration Committee who oversees contest election adjudication. The committee is chaired by Democratic Representative Zoe Lofgren of #CA19. Miller-Meeks was provisionally seated as the #IA02 representative until the contest is settled.
Read 17 tweets
A GOP amendment to this bill that was supposed to fix some concerns raised in the committee process also does something that was not discussed at all in the committee process: Changing the poll close time in Iowa from 9 p.m. to 8 p.m. desmoinesregister.com/story/news/pol…
The Iowa Senate is debating this election bill now. You can watch the debate here. #ialegis legis.iowa.gov/dashboard?view…
"County auditors have constantly lobbied the legislature to implement uniform poll closing times at 8 p.m. Some elections close at 8, some elections close at 9. This will bring consistency and I thank the auditors for bringing this forward," Sen. Roby Smith says.
Read 10 tweets
A RECAP of 2020 House races (now that #NY22 is finally resolved)

Dems have 222 House seats. Rs have 213 seats. They are 5 seats away from the majority

Rs flipped 14 Democratic seats & captured the Amash seat. Dems flipped 3 seats. The GOP net gain: 12 seats
The # of House GOP women grew 130%, from 13 to 30, in one cycle

13 Dem members lost in November. But House Rs didn't lose a single incumbent.

Dems flipped #GA07 (Biden+6) & #NC02 + #NC06, thanks to redistricting. The GOP flipped 11 Trump-won & 4 Biden-won districts
GOP flips by presidential margin:

#MN07 (Trump+30)
#NM02 (Trump+12)
#NY11 (Trump+11)
#UT04 (Trump+9)
#SC01 (Trump+6)
#OK05 (Trump+6)
#FL26 (Trump+5)
#IA01 (Trump+4)
#IA02 (Trump+4)
#MI03 (Trump+4)
#NY22 (Trump+??)
#CA48 (Biden+2)
#FL27 (Biden+3)
#CA21 (Biden+10)
#CA39 (Biden+10)
Read 3 tweets
Pelosi:"Sadly,the Congress received the news last evening of the passing of a new mbr of Congress,Luke Letlow from LA,due to be sworn in this Sun,but taken by the coronavirus yesterday.He leaves his wife & 2 babies,& we extend great sympathy to his family. It's so sad.41yrs old."
Pelosi on House-passed $2,000 direct payments: "Who is holding up that distribution to the American people? Mitch McConnell and the Senate Republicans...In blocking it, they are in denial of the hardship that the American people are experiencing now."
"Yes"-Pelosi on whether she'll seat #IA02 House election certified winner Republican Mariannette Miller-Meeks, who won last month by 6 votes, in the House Sunday for 117th Congress. Democratic nominee Rita Hart had filed a petition in the House to contest the election.
Read 6 tweets
FWIW, I'm still very skeptical Hart/Dems can find 218 votes in the House, a partisan body, to overturn Iowa's state-certified results - especially when Hart never challenged the recount procedures in *court* during/after the recount. #IA02
On DCCC-facilitated press call, an IA reporter asks Hart attorney Marc Elias why they chose to take issue w/ some ballots before the House but not others. Elias says identifying these 22 ballots "made the cleanest presentation" - also notes they include four ballots not for Hart.
On call, Hart campaign says Hart has *not* been in touch with Pelosi/Dem leadership and that whether Miller-Meeks (R) is seated on 1/3 is ultimately up to the House Administration Committee. #IA02
Read 4 tweets
Republican Luke Letlow won #LA05 House runoff election tonight per AP and will succeed his former boss, retiring 3rd term GOP Rep. Ralph Abraham. Letlow, who served as Abraham's chief of staff, defeated Republican Lance Harris for the central and northeastern LA district seat. Image
NRCC Chair Tom Emmer on #LA05 House election results: "Congratulations to Luke Letlow on his victory. Luke will be a strong, conservative voice for the people of Louisiana and I look forward to working with him in the House.”
117th Congress will have 222 Democrats & 211 Republicans w/2 races uncalled. #NY22 Brindisi-Tenney race is in NY Supreme Court. #IA02 race was certified with GOP state Sen. Mariannette Miller-Meeks winning by 6 votes,but Democrat fmr state Sen. Rita Hart has appealed to US House.
Read 4 tweets
Interesting. Race certified by Iowa after 2 recounts resulting in a 6 vote margin in #IA02 race declaring GOP Miller-Meeks the winner.

Dem Hart is filing under Federal Contested Elections Act for US House to overturn loss vs using IA judicial process.

townhall.com/tipsheet/reaga…
Guess who is speaking out on it? Elias Image
Read 11 tweets
Seeing some bad takes comparing #IA02 recount situation to the pres election. The margin in IA-02 is .002 percentage points. That is *167 times smaller* than the .253-point margin in Georgia, the closest pres state.

GA was close, but IA-02 is one of the closest races ever.
BTW .002 makes it sound less close than it is. You go another digit out and it’s .0015 points. So it barely rounds to 2 one-thousandths of 1 percentage point.
In fact, per an unofficial Wikipedia list of close elections, this would rank as the closest US House race by percentage point margin ever. Just gets at the point that it's super-duper close. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_c…
Read 3 tweets
In @RitaHartIA’s home county of Clinton County, the last county to complete its recount in the incredibly tight #IA02, where @millermeeks leads by 34 votes, according to unofficial results per @IowaSOS.
Not all counties that have completed recounts, but where county officials have yet to certify the re-canvass of votes, have reported results to @IowaSOS, including Scott County, where @RitaHartIA netted 26 votes. By that count, @millermeeks has just an 8-vote lead. #IA02
The Scott County Board of Supervisors meets Monday — the deadline for the state to certify results statewide — to receive the recount board’s report and decide whether to accept & submit recount results to @IowaSOS, including an unexplained 131-ballot discrepancy. #IA02
Read 13 tweets
I realize all the updates have probably been confusing, so let me try to summarize the #IA02 situation.

21 out of the district's 24 counties (all but Clinton, Jasper, & Scott) have recounted and certified results. Miller-Meeks (R) leads by 35 votes in those counties.
Jasper County just finished its recount and Hart (D) netted 1 vote (which would narrow the margin to 34 votes overall). These new results haven't been certified but there's no reason to think they won't be.
Scott County also finished its recount today and Hart netted 26 votes (which would narrow the margin to 8 votes). These new results haven't been certified AND might not be, because there was a 131-ballot discrepancy between the recount total and original total.
Read 5 tweets
The #IA02 recount is getting very interesting, and somehow this race has gotten even tighter. Republican @millermeeks is leading Democrat @RitaHartIA by 36 votes out of more than 394,400 cast, down from her 47-vote lead when the recount began apnews.com/article/iowa-m…
This reflects 15 of the 24 counties in the district that have completed their recounts and submitted new totals to the state, according to @IowaSOS. It does not include any of the 4 counties that Hart carried
Notably, it does not include new results from Scott County, where the Quad City Times says Hart netted 30 votes in the recount that concluded Saturday. qctimes.com/news/elections…
Read 4 tweets
What?? A Republican conceded that they lost without demanding a recount? Wow. That's refreshing...
According to @CookPolitical, the House tally is now:

Democrats: 222
Republicans: 209

...with 4 uncalled races...and check out how close they are: Image
But wait: #NY22 is now down to just a *75* vote difference!

Read 6 tweets
It's been a terrible day for Dems in uncalled House races:

#CA21: Valadao (R) still ahead by 4,026 votes
#CA25: Garcia (R) retakes lead by 159 votes
#CA39: Kim (R) lead up to 4,160 votes
#IA02: Miller-Meeks (R) now ahead by 40 votes
#UT04: Owens (R) lead up to 1,780 votes
Look guys, I've seen enough. Young Kim (R) is well on her way to defeating freshman Rep. Gil Cisneros (D) in #CA39. In an upset, Dems lose an Orange County district Clinton carried 51%-43% in 2016.
Kim (R) just turned in an unreal performance in the Los Angeles Co. portion of #CA39 (Rowland Heights, Diamond Bar, Walnut), zooming ahead of both Trump's '16 share and her own '18 share. I'm pretty curious what happened there.
Read 3 tweets
#IA02 development: Sec of State results page now showing Rita Hart leading Mariannette Miller-Meeks
This is what it showed on election night - Miller-Meeks’ total seems to have gone down and Hart’s up a little. Checking, may be a case of a county initially reporting incorrectly
🚨Jasper County Auditor and Sec of State Paul Pate to hold 11am press conference to “discuss unofficial election results in one Jasper County precinct”
Read 3 tweets

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