@TheSpectator

@TheSpectator

@Santos4Congress

@Santos4Congress

https://twitter.com/CATargetAlt/status/1587989886933471233

Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict

@CookPolitical

Final 2022 redistricting scorecard: @CookPolitical estimates a GOP gain of three seats from new maps *alone.* That was almost exactly our pre-redistricting forecast. But it's a seven (!) seat swing against Dems vs. our early March forecast. cookpolitical.com/redistricting

There's a tiny jump in the number of Biden-won seats under the new maps vs. the old maps (226 vs. 224). But the median House seat is slated to move slightly right, from Biden +2.4 (#IL14) to Biden +2.1 (#MI05).

And, because Dems already hold most of the seats that have gotten bluer (as well as most of the swing seats that have gotten redder), Republicans have more pickup opportunities from new maps.

Read 3 tweets

Team Pete HQ

@wintheera

Today, we’re excited to endorse six outstanding candidates who are breaking barriers and changing the face of leadership across our country.

@sharicedavids

We’re proud to endorse @sharicedavids for #KS3! Congresswoman Davids consistently puts her constituents first and knows how to build consensus towards common-sense solutions. Her pragmatic approach will serve Kansans and Americans well for years to come.

@sandra4nv

We’re proud to endorse @sandra4nv for NV Assembly 41! Assemblywoman Jauregui is a proven leader and fierce advocate for building a more fair and just country. Nevadans need her in their corner fighting for high-quality education, an equitable economy, and accessible health care.

Read 8 tweets

Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict

Breaking: as predicted, IL Dems have revised their proposal to a safer, more aggressive 14D-3R gerrymander. It's still about as ugly as before, though. google.com/maps/d/viewer?…

As I hinted last Sunday, this version creates a new, much-anticipated Latino seat (#IL03) on the north side of Chicago. But, it would do so by merging the homes of Reps. Marie Newman (D) and Sean Casten (D) in a reconfigured #IL06.

This version also (very blatantly) merges the homes of Reps. Mary Miller (R) and Mike Bost (R) in a new #IL12, and puts Rep. Adam Kinzinger (R)'s house into Rep. Bobby Rush (D)'s plurality Black #IL01 (!).

Read 5 tweets

Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict

Illinois update: this Dem 14D-3R gerrymander is both uglier *and* less effective than I'd have expected.

#IL03 Newman: Biden +6
#IL14 Underwood: Biden +8
#IL17 OPEN (Bustos): Biden +6

All of these seats are potentially flippable in a good midterm for Rs.

Additionally, #IL13 Rep. Rodney Davis (R) is far from doomed in this proposed Biden +11 seat. Dems had the opportunity to make his seat Biden +18 and every current Dem seat Biden +10 or more - and passed.

All things considered: this is just a really weird map. Besides the hideous lines, it carries a big risk of turning into a "dummymander" if Republicans have a good 2022.

It's not hard to see Dems' 14D-3R intent turning into a 10D-7R reality if things go really awry.

Read 3 tweets

Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict

ILLINOIS: per sources, Dems are considering redrawing #IL17 even more aggressively in light of Rep. Cheri Bustos (D)'s exit, in a bid to save their House majority.

In the 14D-3R example below, #IL17 would go from Trump +2 to Biden +3. All 13 other D seats are Biden +12 or more.

A 14D-3R map would eliminate Rep. Adam Kinzinger (R)'s #IL16 (Dems figure he'd lose a primary to a pro-Trump R anyway) and severely threaten #IL13 Rep. Rodney Davis (R). Here's the hypothetical map shaded by partisan lean:

A big winner in this scenario would be Rep. Lauren Underwood (D), whose #IL14 would go from Biden +2 to Biden +15 after picking up Joliet and Bolingbrook.

Read 3 tweets

Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict

ILLINOIS: has the potential to be Dems' biggest redistricting weapon of the cycle. Once again, it's losing a seat. But Dems could replace the current 13D-5R map (left) with a 14D-3R map (right) - and they might need to to have any chance of holding the House majority.

Illinois Dems are likely to have three main map objectives:

1) Eliminate one of the five downstate GOP seats to account for the state's loss
2) Protect all 13 Dem incumbents, including vulnerable Reps. Lauren Underwood (D) & Cheri Bustos (D)
3) Finally beat Rep. Rodney Davis (R)

The Republican most likely to get eliminated? You guessed it: #IL16 Rep. Adam Kinzinger (R), one of just 10 House Rs to vote for impeachment.

Not only is his district geographically easy to chop up, but many Dems figure he'd lose a primary to a pro-Trump candidate anyway.

Read 7 tweets

Stephen Wolf

@PoliticsWolf

@DKElections

.@DKElections presents the 2020 presidential results by congressional district! As shown on these maps, Biden won 224 districts to Trump's 211. The median seat was #IL14, which Biden won by 50-48, meaning Trump could've lost the popular vote by 2% & still won a majority of seats

https://twitter.com/DKElections/status/1362834145655816195

The 2016 presidential results for the congressional districts in use in 2020 saw Trump win the median seat by 2% despite losing overall by 2%, meaning the GOP had a 4% advantage over the popular vote. That advantage fell in half in 2020, but GOP gerrymandering remains a threat

Republicans are poised to draw 2-3 times as many congressional districts as Dems after 2020, & SCOTUS could make GOP gerrymandering worse within states. GOP gerrymandering will remain a major problem in the 2020s & beyond if congressional Dems don't ban it dailykos.com/story/2020/11/…

Read 4 tweets

Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict

Of the nation's current 435 House districts, 226 voted for Trump in '16 and 209 voted for Clinton.

Based on my initial analysis, Biden carried 216, Trump carried 208 and 11 remain too close to call. But it's pretty clear to me Biden is on track for a narrow majority.

Here are the 12 Trump '16 districts I can say with confidence Biden has flipped blue so far:

#AZ01
#GA06
#GA07
#MN02
#NE02
#NH01
#NJ05
#NJ11
#PA17
#TX24
#VA02
#VA07

And the two Clinton '16 districts Trump has flipped red so far:

#FL26
#TX23

Here are the 11 districts that I'm still not 100% certain about ('16 winner):

#CA48 (Clinton)
#IL14 (Trump)
#IL17 (Trump)
#MI11 (Trump)
#NV03 (Trump)
#NJ03 (Trump)
#NY18 (Trump)
#NY19 (Trump)
#OH01 (Trump)
#TX15 (Clinton)
#TX28 (Clinton)

I'd be open to anyone's math on these.

Read 4 tweets

͏Postcards4USA

@postcards4USA

Check it out!
ALL Democratic Candidates 50 STATES
#Congress2020 Govs AGs SoS
Postcards (Print&Share)& Donations Links
#PostcardsforAmerica
postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
Ready-made Tweets&Posts for each Candidate
postcardsforamerica.com/all-dem-candid…
FB Albums facebook.com/pg/postcards4U…
Mega-THREAD

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1284568648204652544

ALABAMA Democratic Candidates
#AL1 #AL2 #AL3 #AL4 #AL7 & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links for each candidate.Follow & Support!
FB
facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
GoogleDoc pc2a.info/DemCandidatesAL
THREAD

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1284568648204652544

#PostcardsforAmerica

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1300088955526934528

ALASKA Democratic Congressional Candidates
Alaska-At-Large & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
#HoldTheHouse #FlipTheSenate
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links
Follow & Support!
Thread:

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1300088955526934528

Shareable Facebook Post: facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
#PostcardsforAmerica

Read 51 tweets

͏Postcards4USA

@postcards4USA

Check it out!
ALL Democratic Candidates 50 STATES
#Congress2020 Govs AGs SoS
Postcards (Print & Share!) & Links to Follow & Support!
#PostcardsforAmerica
postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
Ready-made Tweets&Posts for each Candidate
postcardsforamerica.com/all-dem-candid…
FB Albums facebook.com/pg/postcards4U…

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1284568648204652544

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1284568648204652544

#PostcardsforAmerica

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1300088955526934528

ALASKA Democratic Congressional Candidates
Alaska-At-Large & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
#HoldTheHouse #FlipTheSenate
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links
Follow & Support!
Thread:

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1300088955526934528

Shareable Facebook Post: facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
#PostcardsforAmerica

Read 51 tweets

͏Postcards4USA

@postcards4USA

It's #ElectionSeason! #Election2020 has begun!
#EarlyVoting already in:
IL MI MN MO NJ PA SD VA VT WY
Just to get you in the mood, here's a THREAD of the specifics on HOW TO #VoteByMail in each State AND all your Dem Candidates for House, Senate, AG, Governor & SoS
#VoteReady

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1275246068708581382

ILLINOIS #IL#VoteByMail
Application elections.il.gov/ElectionOperat…
ILLINOIS Democratic Candidates
#IL1 #IL2 #IL3 #IL4 #IL5 #IL6 #IL7 #IL8 #IL9 #IL10 #IL11 #IL12 #IL13 #IL14 #IL15 #IL16 #IL17 #IL18
#Congress2020 #NoSafeSeats

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1275246068708581382

GoogleDoc: pc2a.info/DemCandidatesIL

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1292583520200728578

MICHIGAN #MI #VoteByMail #AbsenteeVoting
Apply online mvic.sos.state.mi.us/avapplication
County Clerks mvic.sos.state.mi.us/Clerk
MICHIGAN Democratic Candidates
#MI1 #MI2 #MI3 #MI4 #MI5 #MI6 #MI7 #MI8 #MI9 #MI10 #MI11 & SENATE
THREAD:

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1292583520200728578

GoogleDoc: pc2a.info/DemCandidatesMI

Read 14 tweets

͏Postcards4USA

@postcards4USA

Check it out!
THREAD of all the Democratic Candidates!
50 STATES #Congress2020, Govs, AGs, SoS
With Postcards & Links to Follow & Support!
postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
Ready-made Tweets & Posts for each Candidate here
postcardsforamerica.com/all-dem-candid…
FB Albums: facebook.com/pg/postcards4U…

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1284568648204652544

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1284568648204652544

#PostcardsforAmerica

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1300088955526934528

ALASKA Democratic Congressional Candidates
Alaska-At-Large & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
#HoldTheHouse #FlipTheSenate
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links
Follow & Support!
Thread:

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1300088955526934528

Shareable Facebook Post: facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
#PostcardsforAmerica

Read 51 tweets

͏Postcards4USA

@postcards4USA

ILLINOIS Democratic Candidates
#IL1 #IL2 #IL3 #IL4 #IL5 #IL6 #IL7 #IL8 #IL9 #IL10 #IL11 #IL12 #IL13 #IL14 #IL15 #IL16 #IL17 #IL18 & Senate
#Congress2020 #NoSafeSeats
#HoldTheHouse #FlipTheSenate
THREAD #PostcardsforAmerica
All 50 States Dem Candidates:
➡️ postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…

@DickDurbin

Democratic Candidate for US Senate in ILLINOIS
Democratic Incumbent
Dick Durbin
durbinforsenate.com
Donate here secure.actblue.com/contribute/pag…
@DickDurbin

Here's a Thread of the Democratic Candidates for the #23GOP seats up in 2020

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1306989975058165760

@RepBobbyRush

IL1 Democratic Candidate for
ILLINOIS 1st Congressional District #IL1 #IL01
Democratic Incumbent
BOBBY RUSH
@RepBobbyRush
THREAD of all Illinois Democratic Candidates
#Congress2020 #NoSafeSeats
#PostcardsforAmerica
THREAD

Read 22 tweets

͏Postcards4USA

@postcards4USA

All hands on deck!
On #PostcardsforAmerica website
All Democratic Candidates for ALL 50 STATES #Congress2020, Govs, AGs & SoS
Links (& Postcards) to Follow & Support:
postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
& ➡️ postcardsforamerica.com/all-dem-candid…

Update Sep 12
mega-THREAD

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1284568648204652544

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1284568648204652544

#PostcardsforAmerica

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1300088955526934528

ALASKA Democratic Congressional Candidates
Alaska-At-Large & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
#HoldTheHouse #FlipTheSenate
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links
Follow & Support!
Thread:

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1300088955526934528

Shareable Facebook Post: facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
#PostcardsforAmerica

Read 50 tweets

͏Postcards4USA

@postcards4USA

@NDLB2020

Want to check out all Democratic Candidates?
Pages on the #PostcardsforAmerica website with all Democratic Candidates for ALL 50 STATES #Congress2020, Govs, AGs & SoS
Postcards & Links to Follow & Support:
postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
& ➡️ postcardsforamerica.com/all-dem-candid…

& follow @NDLB2020

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1284568648204652544

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1284568648204652544

#PostcardsforAmerica

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1300088955526934528

ALASKA Democratic Congressional Candidates
Alaska-At-Large & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
#HoldTheHouse #FlipTheSenate
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links
Follow & Support!
Thread:

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1300088955526934528

Shareable Facebook Post: facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
#PostcardsforAmerica

Read 50 tweets

Midwest Patriot 🇺🇸

@TyrannyMW

Illinois has a HUGE role to play on Nov 6th. The Dem WHIP (#2) and DCCC Chairwoman are up for election. There’s many flippable Seats/Districts and voters here, especially due to recent events. Take the House and secure the Senate. #LiberateIllinois

THREAD OF IL CANDIDATES: ⬇️

@ElectMarkCurran

U.S. Senate #ILSen #twill

MARK CURRAN - @ElectMarkCurran

🚨THIS IS A KEY RACE🚨

Website: electcurran.com

Donate: secure.winred.com/markcurran/don…

#DitchDick #LiberateIllinois

CANDIDATE THREAD: ⬇️

@Philaniseforco1

Illinois’ 1st Congressional District #IL1 #IL01

PHILANSE WHITE - @Philaniseforco1

Website: philaniseforcongress.com

Donate: secure.winred.com/PhilaniseWhite…

#LiberateIllinois

CANDIDATE THREAD: ⬇️⬆️

Read 19 tweets

Craig Caplan

@CraigCaplan

House members will vote by proxy for the 1st time in chamber's 231-yr history beginning Wed. House clerk posted letters from mbrs who will not be physically present on House floor for votes due to COVID-19 pandemic & have given their proxies to other mbrs.
clerkpreview.house.gov/ProxyLetter#Ac…

@RepGilCisneros

1st term #CA39 Democratic @RepGilCisneros has designated his voting proxy to 1st term #PA06 Democratic @RepHoulahan.

@RepDonBeyer

3rd term #VA08 Democratic @RepDonBeyer, who represents one of the closest House districts to Capitol Hill, will vote by proxy for 7th term Democratic #TN09 @RepCohen, chair of the House Judiciary Subcommittee on the Constitution, Civil Rights, and Civil Liberties.

Read 59 tweets

Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict

@CookPolitical

NEW at @CookPolitical: 10 rating changes (7 towards Ds, 3 towards Rs) as Democrats' edge in the battle for the House grows...

Basically, #COVID19 has all but frozen House recruitment & severely curtailed fundraising. That's an advantage for incumbents & bad news for upstates.

At end of 2019, median House D in a Trump district had $1.8 million cash on hand while median leading R challenger had $247,000.

Today, we've moved four freshman Dems out of Toss Up based on the weakness of their GOP opposition:

#IL14 Lauren Underwood (D) - Toss Up to Lean D
#MI08 Elissa Slotkin (D) - Toss Up to Lean D
#NY19 Antonio Delgado (D) - Toss Up to Lean D
#UT04 Ben McAdams (D) - Toss Up to Lean D

Read 6 tweets

TaxenEmSillyInIllinois

@Get_Outa_Here

@CatalinaLauf

#IL14 WE NEED A STRONG NEW CONSERVATIVE VOICE TO REPRESENT US IN D.C.

@CatalinaLauf IS WHO WE NEED!!

SHE'S RUNNING AGAINST ESTABLISHMENT RINOS IN THE PRIMARY

CHECK HER OUT HERE!!👇 (1/thread, please read all)

news.wttw.com/elections/vote…

@CatalinaLauf

@CatalinaLauf SHE SUPPORTS LEGAL, NOT ILLEGAL IMMIGRATION!!

"I am a direct product of the American Dream.

My mother and grandmother legally immigrated to this country from Guatemala. My father is a small-business owner from Chicago.

@CatalinaLauf

@CatalinaLauf .

My story is only possible because of their hard work and sacrifice. They taught me the values of hard work, personal responsibility, and to have an unapologetic love of our country."

Read 7 tweets

Comfortably Smug

@ComfortablySmug

Time for super pacs to start running ads in these districts letting voters know if these people vote for impeachment, they get voted out. Period.

We're gonna make these people famous today

From now until Wednesday, it's time to put pressure on these Dems:

You vote with AOC and impeachment, and you're toast. She's in New York City and doesn't give a shit you're in a red district.

Voting for censure is your only way out

@RepOHalleran

HERE THEY ARE

PRESSURE THEM TO VOTE AGAINST IMPEACHMENT. ONLY CENSURE CAN SAVE THEM.

Tom O’Halleran #AZ01

@RepOHalleran

@TomOHalleran

(202) 225-3361

Lucy McBath #GA06

@RepLucyMcBath

@LucyMcBath

(202) 225-4501

Read 11 tweets

Amy Kremer

@AmyKremer