Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #inflationnow

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Did the #ransomware attack at @HaverAnalytics result in an inadvertent #FOMC projection error?
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1/5

#FOMC presser (12/14) contained a statement by #Powell that seemed at odds with incoming data

- #Powell said “we’re going into next year with higher inflation” vs Sept FOMC
2/5

As their SEP (survey of economic projections) shows:

- ‘22 raised 4.8% vs 4.5%
- this raised 2023 inflation
- and added to “higher for longer”
3/5

But here is what is at ‘odds’

- the MoM% chg in inflation
- would have to be staggeringly high to get to #Fed 4.8%
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