Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #irctc

Most recents (24)

Mega thread on Technical Stage Analysis and my learnings based on Stan Weinstein's book.

Today we'll cover

1. Stage Analysis
2. Technical Rules for Buy and Sell
3. Safest Point of Entry and Exit
4. Study 10 🇮🇳 Stock Charts (Large/Mid/Smallcap)

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1. Stage Analysis

As per Stan Weinstein, each stock can be classified into 1 of 4 different stages.

Stage 1 - Basing Area
Stock trades in a range around 30W SMA over a long period of time with low volume. Both buyers & sellers move in equilibrium.

Example: #MusicBroadcast
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1. Stage Analysis

Stage 2 - Advancing Phase
This phase is characterized by a sharp spike in volumes, breaking out of key resistance and sharply rising stock price over a period of time (many months or years) without breaking the key moving average.

Example: #FineOrganics

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Read 24 tweets
If ever leave Twitter, will be proud of 2 things
1. Contribution during covid in apr'21
2. Continuous rant on overvaluation amplified from Oct'21
Here is master thread on each of those rants. Rarely asked but show some love if it made any +ve difference to your investing. journey
Read 26 tweets
IRCTC Corporation Analysis !!
#IRCTC

A detailed thread below 🪡🧵
About Co -

Indian Railway Catering and Tourism Corporation Ltd. (IRCTC) is a “Mini Ratna (Category-I)” Central Public Sector Enterprise under Ministry of Railways, Government of India. IRCTC was incorporated on 27th September, 1999 as an extended arm of the Indian Railways to
upgrade, professionalize and manage the catering & hospitality services at stations, on trains & other locations and to promote domestic & international tourism.
Read 25 tweets
Thread on #LICIPO and valuation

1 Brief assessment from my hospital bed on LIC valuation based on DHRP filed with SEBI on Feb 13. The Govt plans to offload 5% of its stake, no fresh issue of shares. This means 31.625 crore shares will be offered for sale.
2. The real meat of the DHRP, which is relevant for the valuation of #LICIPO, is the section on the calculation of the Indian Embedded Value (IEV).
3. Most strikingly, the IEV at the end of Sept 2021 was Rs. 5.397 lakh crores, an increase of a whopping 465 % over the IEV computed for March 2021, just 6 months earlier!
Read 10 tweets
The Top 10 Trading Mistakes That Made Me Struggle Most -

A Thread🧵
1. Not having a trading plan-

Initially, I had no proper trading plan.
Risk and rewards were not defined.

even when I tried to make a plan, I couldn't stick to it due to the 2nd guessing and ended up making losses.

Overtrading and oversize are mates for traders without plan.
2. Trying to buy bottoms and selling tops-

'Squeezing the last drop of profit is the sure recipe to get rekt'

I tried to buy oversold stocks and sell overbought stocks.
Guess what??
ended up making losses

In trading, momentum is our friend, Try to be in the direction of trend.
Read 13 tweets
Shares of #IRCTC shed 15% after the company is asked to share 50% convenience fee with Ministry of Railways. #BQMarkets

Market blog: bit.ly/2XSS8s2
Shares of IRCTC shed 25% after the company is asked to share 50% convenience fee with Ministry of Railways. #BQStocks #BQMarkets

Market blog: bit.ly/2XSS8s2
Shares of #IRCTC recover after report suggests that railways likely the withdraw decision on convenience fee. #BQStocks #BQMarkets

Market blog: bit.ly/2XSS8s2
Read 5 tweets
Dear @AnilSinghvi_ i have been long follower and admirer of your channel and insights. after the events that have unfolded today are truly disastrous for ordinary indian retail investors and public in general. yes i am talking about #IRCTC 1/13
a sudden split of stock followed by an surprise element of 50% revenue sharing has come as a shocker to a retailer who goes to his 9-7 job daily and only source of news in general is newspapers and a truly honest and unbiased media personality like you.
a strong monopoly stock of a ticketing platform, catering and tourism company under the governance of an strong majority and able govt has very smartly cheated retailers. 80% of my shares are withheld my depository,
Read 15 tweets
#IRCTC in simple terms: Assume 800 Cr. convenience fee next year, ~85% EBIT, so 680 Cr., tax on this (~no interest) would be 170 Cr. (at 25%), if full PAT given as dividend, ~340 Cr. Govt. share (at 67%) + ~25 Cr. tax on dividend. So total accrual to govt. 170+340+25=535 Cr. 1/n
With 50% revenue share, 400 Cr. to govt. + 25% tax on 280 EBIT (400-120) = 70Cr., + 140 govt. share of profits as dividend and ~10 Cr. dividend tax. So, 400+70+140+10 = 620 Cr. ... 2/n
To gain ~85 Cr. delta yearly, Govt. making minority shareholders suffer & also willing to see 50,000 Cr.+ loss in PSU market cap (est.). Plus the loss of multiples in future "strategic" divestments!

As they say...Penny wise, Pound foolish! 3/n

@RailMinIndia @IRCTCofficial
Read 7 tweets
The 90 degree angle inflection point in a stock is a signal to book profit

Lets understand with a recent example of a stock #IRCTC 🚃🚋

Time for a thread🧵
Monthly TF:

Back to back 6 green candles (each candle represent a month here), which means no profit booking has happened on a larger TF

The angle towards the end of the upmove became much steeper i.e. 90 degree

Such moves are highly susceptible for a bend in the trend
Similar pattern was observed in BTC/USDT pair #BITCOIN

and then BTC fell ~50% from its high made in the month of March 2021
Read 8 tweets
#IRCTC has fallen almost 35% in last ~8 trading hours.

There may be various reasons but one of them was that people anticipated the stock will go in BAN category from today. Hence, they started selling.

What is meant by BAN? How does a stock go in ban? Let's discuss this

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Only those stocks will be in ban period which trade in Derivative markets. This doesn't mean you can't buy or sell the stock. You can.

However, in this period, a trader cannot open any new futures or options position. Though exiting currently held position is okay.

2/n
When does a stock enter ban period?
When Open Interest crosses 95% of MWPL.
MWPL means Market wide position limits. This is 20% of free float market cap of the stock. If the cumulative OI (across futures and options, all strikes, all expiry) crosses 95%, then ban.

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Read 5 tweets
STRONG #MONOPOLIES

#IRCTC > 100% Market share in Rail Network.

#IEX >90% market share in power trading.

#Zyduswellness >90% market share in sugar free product.

#Eichermotors >85% market share in 250cc bikes category.

#MCX >85% market share in commodity trading.

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#Coalindia >80% market share in coal production in India.

#ITC >75% market share in cigarettes.

#HondaSiel >75% in portable power generators.

#HindustanZinc >75% market share in primary zinc industry.

#AsahiIndiaGlass >70% market share in automotive glass.

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#NRBBearings >70% market share in needle roller bearings.

#Pidilite >65% market share in adhesives.

#CAMS >65% market share in RTA within mutual fund industry.

#TimeTechnoplast >65% market share in polymer based industrial packaging.

3/n
Read 10 tweets
Mission 1 Lakh share price

#Honeywell Automation
#3MIndia
#Abbott India
#Tasty Bite
Mission 20K share price stock list

#Bajaj Finserv
#Bajaj Finance
#Sanofi
#India Mart
#Naukri (Info Edge)
#LTI
#Affle India
#LTTS
Mission 10K share price stock list

#CAMS
#HDFC AMC
#Amber Enterprises
#Asian Paints
#Pidilite
#Fine Organic
#Dmart
#Gland Pharma
#GMM Pfaudler
Read 6 tweets
Low-risk, High-return stocks are what we look for relentlessly

But many of them we know but ignore
some of them don't grab financial headlines

Here are 10 low-risk, high return stocks (that we ignore):
What I mean by “high-return”?

These stocks have OUTPERFORMED the market:

💹Chart with upwards trend Since IPO
💹Chart with upwards trend Over the last 5 Years or since IPO

These are all long-term winners that will keep on winning
What do We Mean by “low-risk”?

A combination of:

❣️Great management
❣️Broad moat
❣️Financially strong
❣️High ROCE
❣️Low Disruption/Dilution/Volatility
❣️Consistent Organic Growth
❣️Assorted Customers/Suppliers
❣️Low debt
Read 14 tweets
Some Then and Now
India's favourite extreme multi-player online adventure game.
We are against reservation.
Read 7 tweets
STRONG MONOPOLIES :

#IRCTC* 100% Market share in Rail Network.
#IEX* >90% market share in power trading.
#Zydus wellness* >90% market share in sugar free product.
#Eicher motors* >85% market share in 250cc bikes category.
#MCX* >85% market share in commodity trading.
#coalindia India* >80% market share in coal production in India.
#ITC* >75% market share in cigarettes.
#HondaSiel* >75% in portable power generators.
#Hindustan Zinc* >75% market share in primary zinc industry.
#AsahiIndia Glass* >70% market share in automotive glass.
#NRB Bearings* >70% market share in needle roller bearings.
#Pidilite* >65% market share in adhesives.
#CAMS* >65% market share in RTA within mutual fund industry.
#TimeTechnoplast* >65% market share in polymer based industrial packaging.
Read 11 tweets
Sensex scripting history today,by breaching 50000 for 1st time,is vindication of investor faith in @narendramodi gov

#Sensex,from 40000 on Oct8'20 to 50000 in just 74 sessions&from 45000 on Nov4'20 to 50K today,in 32 trading days,reflects economic momentum

Modi naysayers,quiet!
When #StockMarket plummeted to lows of 25000 at peak of #COVID19 crisis,few had envisaged such meteoric rise from index's 3yr low

Plethora of factors fuelled rally

Liquidity push,FII buying,good corporate earnings,mega vaccine roll out&economic traction under @narendramodi govt
Rs 4633 Cr #IRFC IPO has been subscribed 3.49x on final day of 3 day bidding process;Issue received bids for 435 Crore equity shares as against offered size of 124Cr equity shares

35% of #IPO reserved for #Retail investors,saw 3.53x subscription, with #QIB oversubscribed 3.78x💪
Read 7 tweets
CPI@ 4.59% in Dec Vs 6.93% in Nov'20;It is for first time in current fiscal that #CPI,below 6%

In Jan2021,CPI may be lower than RBI forecast of 5.8%,which is good news

#CoreCPI in Dec,5.65% Vs 5.84% MoM

Money market rates,lower than #ReverseRepo,implying low rates here to stay
#FoodInflation 3.41% in Dec,Vs 9.43% in Nov

Vegetable Inflation@ -10.41% Vs 15.63%💪

Fuel&Light Inflation@ 2.99% Vs 1.90%

Housing Inflation@3.21% Vs 3.19%

Clothing&Footwear Inflation@ 3.49% Vs 3.30%

Cereal Inflation@0.98% Vs 2.32% (MoM)

Pulses Inflation@15.98% Vs 17.91%
Apart from #Tesla registering with RoC,big news is,IRFC's IPO of 4600Cr;opens on 18th Jan,in price band of 25-26

#IRFC,set up in 1986,is first NBFC in PSU sector,to go public

#IRCTC listed on 14thOct'19 at Rs644,a 101% premium to book price of 320&has been a huge wealth creator
Read 4 tweets
#Nomura says,India will be fastest growing Asian economy in FY22,with GDP growth of 9.9;GDP growth to be 32.4% in 1QFY22&10.2% in 2QFY22

Fee weeks back #GoldmanSachs had upgraded India's GDP growth forecast from 10% to 13% for FY22

#IMF is at 8.8%& #Moody's at 8.6%

#Modinomics
Few
@narendramodi govt's decision to sell 20% in IRCTC at base price of Rs 1367,via #OFS tomr,is a great move

1367 is,15.5% discount to Wednesday's closing of Rs1618;52 week high&low is Rs 1995 &775

#IRCTC got listed last yr&was subscribed a whopping 112x

GoI owns 87.4% stake
Read 10 tweets
Did a 11 years #dataanalysis to find out what are some of the well known brands that has gone for #IPO and what would have been the returns if we have bought them on listing day instead of IPO, and hold onto it for a month. #IRCTC #ipoinvestment #investment #nifty #stockstowatch Image
And here's the list of IPOs and its monthly returns sorted based on recent listing period. #INDIGO #DMART #RBLBANK #INDIAMART #PNB #CDSL #THYROCARE Image
The detailed article can be accessed from this link squareoff.in/single-post/Bi…
Read 3 tweets
आजकल एक प्रोपेगंडा कुछ लोगों द्वारा फैलाया जा रहा है की लखनऊ दिल्ली के बीच शुरू हुई अत्याधुनिक सुविधाओं से लैस सेमी हाई स्पीड ट्रेन #तेजस प्राइवेट है!
जानकारी के लिए आपको बता दूं कि तेजस प्राइवेट ट्रेन नहीं है!न ही कोई प्राइवेट कंपनी तेजस का संचालन कर रही है!
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continue to...
कुछ लोगों द्वारा रेलवे के प्राइवेटाइजेशन का भ्रामक एजेंडा फैलाया जा रहा है! #IRCTC द्वारा स्वतंत्रत रूप से तेजस का संचालन किया जा रहा है! IRCTC भारतीय रेलवे की सहायक कंपनी है!

और इसकी मातृ कंपनी भारतीय रेल ही है!

continued to...
इसलिए ऐसे बुद्धिजीवियों के भ्रामक एजेंडे में आने की जरूरत नहीं है! ये वही लोग हैं जो कुछ दिनों पहले लालकिले को बिकवा चुके थे...!
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#IRCTC
#IndianRailways
Read 5 tweets
Received a mail from IRCTC customer care. @IRCTCofficial @RailMinIndia

Dear Customer,

Kindly note that credential like mail id & mobile number once get registered under any user id related to irctc the same credential cannot be relocated or re user at any other user id of
IRCTC even after deactivation of same user id.

Why such rule? How would I find a unique number in the market to purchase? What if after purchasing a number I find out it is associated with an existing IRCTC account of another person.
The number is mine and I should have the right to register. The account is mine and I should have the right to deactivate my account and free the number. Deactivating don't mean deleting and all the history will be maintained privately. This is an Access & Security problem.
Read 5 tweets
#LKO #LUCKNOW
#COMESUMEXPRESS
#SatyamCaterersPvtLtd
@PMOIndia #NAMO #RealityCheck
Everything just on papers!
So #Reasonable menu but the mentioned items not being sold! Image
Salesman: Asheeesh when asked for Rs.15 #JantaKhana told: "Itne mein kya aata hai saab, ye item hum nhi bechte (not available, we don't sell this item)"
When asked for Standard Tea @RS.5/- as mentioned on irctc menu displayed on counter, they said:
"Its not being sold (Hum ye nhi bechte..), only Dip Chai(Tea) @RS.7/- available or take Masala Chai @RS.20/-"
Read 4 tweets

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