Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #israelex19v2

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Four big issues at stake in tomorrow’s Israeli elections.
*First & most remarked-on is the political future of Bibi Netanyahu. Now Israel’s longest-serving PM, he seemed invincible until this summer, when Lieberman used his party’s keystone role to deny Bibi a govt coalition. 1/
If Bibi wins a right-wing majority, he won’t just have earned a ninth political life; he’ll have earned an electoral mandate that could grant him immunity from prosecution on four major corruption cases; a decisive win may deter the AG from bringing the indictments at all. 2/
2nd issue at stake: annexation & the last faint hopes for a negotiated two-state solution. Some pooh-pooh Bibi’s pledge to annex territory as election posturing. But: he wants immunity from prosecution, & this is almost certainly a part of the price his coalition would demand. 3/
Read 11 tweets
What will happen after Israel's elections on 17 September? Here are the only logical scenarios. (They all sound unlikely to inconceivable.) #Israelex19v2 👇
1. Likud and other right-wing and ultra-Orthodox parties (possibly including Otzma) win 61 seats, without Liberman. They squeeze Netanyahu, but in the end there's a narrow religious-nationalist coalition. Netanyahu stays.
2. Likud and other right-wing parties fall short of 61, but win plurality of "recommendations" for PM. Liberman buckles and joins the same right-wing government that Israel could have had after April's vote. Netanyahu stays.
Read 16 tweets
Should Israel annex the #JordanValley? Opposition says territory must remain in Israeli hands forever, but: there's a difference between annexing strategic territory as a process of DIVERGENCE (separating from the Palestinians) and as part of CONVERGENCE.
Is Israel, despairing of the Palestinians, unilaterally setting its borders by taking what the territory it needs for defence and renouncing what it doesn't? Or is annexation a prelude to annexing the whole West Bank and drawing circles around the Palestinians you don't want?
This is a distinction the opposition could have drawn, but hasn't. Separation vs. Entanglement. Instead Blue and White tells Netanyahu: a) that was our idea, b) we don't think you're serious. #Israelex19v2
Read 5 tweets
THREAD: Israel believes a Trump/Rouhani meeting is a done deal. It is impossible to overstate the failure for Benjamin Netanyahu's claims regarding his statesmanship. Imagine for a moment Netanyahu's reaction had Obama announced his desire to meet Rouhani. haaretz.com/israel-news/ne…
Blue&White isn't blowing it up either because 1. they're still operating under the impression one does not criticise the prime minister about foreign affairs (lol) or 2. because they don't want to provoke the inevitable Trump/Netanyahu public kumbaya over Iran, if they criticise.
How stressed is Netanyahu? Speaking with his cabinet, the prime minister just confused Boris Johnson with Boris Yeltsin (RIP).
Read 21 tweets

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