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Eastern #Ukraine Update:

Ukrainian troops continued to consolidate gains around #Lyman on October 2 and 3 and likely made gains in the direction of the #Luhansk Oblast border. /1
isw.pub/RusCampaignOct3
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

#Russia's MoD stated that Russian troops struck Ukrainian positions in Yampolivka on October 2, confirming that Ukrainian troops control territory about 15km northeast of Lyman and within 10km west of the Luhansk Oblast border. /2
isw.pub/RusCampaignOct3
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

#Russian sources also stated that Ukrainian troops took control of #Terny and #Torske, 15km northeast and 13km east of #Lyman, respectively. /3
isw.pub/RusCampaignOct3
Read 10 tweets
1/ Official :
The Armed Forces of Ukraine have liberated 5 settlements near Lyman in the Donetsk Region and around 5k Ru soldiers (but we still don't know exactly who moved out and in so it could be less) are almost trapped in the area of #Lyman
Several scenarii could unfold now
2/ Ukr can "provoke" reaction from Russians and wait until they have no more ammo to fight back as no one can send them more.
they can also (they already do that) pick appart & interdict any attempts of breaking in/out, (to help the trapped troops or to escape).
they can also
3/ wait for the night to come to produce their max effort, (just teasing defense and exhausting Ru troops during the day) during the night, using their superior night vision / materials / skills.. doing so a couple of days before just waiting for Ru morale to definitely crumble.
Read 11 tweets

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