Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #jpow
Most recents (5)
1/23 It's easy to find bullish and bearish elements in the charts to fit you bias, but being a maxi can be risky. Remember:
Markets ebb and flow
Data constantly changes
Your bias only needs to match the TF you are trading
A 🧵 on the #data influencing the #BTC trend and PA.
#NFA
Markets ebb and flow
Data constantly changes
Your bias only needs to match the TF you are trading
A 🧵 on the #data influencing the #BTC trend and PA.
#NFA
2/23 Before we dive into the macro for #Bitcoin, let's look at what's happening this week. It's rare to have a Daily MA #GoldenCross and a Weekly MA #DeathCross happening on the same asset.
3/23 The #GoldenCross printed and the #DeathCross between the 200 & 50 WMA's is coming on the next candle. Knowing why we have conflicting signals isn't as critical as knowing how price will react, but if I had to guess, I'd say, short term manipulation.
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Bears & bulls in $WTI $BRENT here's a list of catalysts that flip #oil markets green & RED in the next 90 days.
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Bears & bulls in $WTI $BRENT here's a list of catalysts that flip #oil markets green & RED in the next 90 days.
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ON the - SIDE
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1 = #CPI if HOT obviously spooks markets .
2 = .50 is less an issue .
3 = .75 is messy !
4 = Real issue this week is 3 other issues.
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SUMMARY OF ECONOMIC PROJECTIONS
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FED FUNDS / TERMINAL RATE
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#JPOW TONE & ANSWERS TO ?s
Nice article here .
👇
1 = #CPI if HOT obviously spooks markets .
2 = .50 is less an issue .
3 = .75 is messy !
4 = Real issue this week is 3 other issues.
👇
SUMMARY OF ECONOMIC PROJECTIONS
👇
FED FUNDS / TERMINAL RATE
👇
#JPOW TONE & ANSWERS TO ?s
Nice article here .
👇
Did someone warn you of the current #inflation, #recession, and #bearmarket in equities? Did you get out or reallocate in time? Breaking even? Maybe even profit?
Did you pay a subscription for those warnings late last year?
I started warning friends about it in 2016.
Read on🧵
Did you pay a subscription for those warnings late last year?
I started warning friends about it in 2016.
Read on🧵
When I said that I was warning my friends about it in 2016, I did so because it was clear that #Trump would not be a good president for the US & world #economy long-term, and would increase the odds of #inflation and rising #interestrates.
Late 2016 DMs in Norwegian to a friend:
Late 2016 DMs in Norwegian to a friend:
🏦Fed Jargon 101: A Primer on Hawks, Dots & Monetary Policy🏦
No matter what type of trader u are —discretionary, macro, crypto, chad, virgin— everyone obsesses abt the Fed.
But why? Here's a 🧵 on how Fed moves markets, controls ur PnL & the odd lingo we use to describe it.
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No matter what type of trader u are —discretionary, macro, crypto, chad, virgin— everyone obsesses abt the Fed.
But why? Here's a 🧵 on how Fed moves markets, controls ur PnL & the odd lingo we use to describe it.
👇
1/ Beta
#1 reason any trader cares about the Fed is to predict beta.
What's that?
Say u made 120% returns in 2020. Are u a genius or did u just own a buncha tech stocks as #jpow cranked the moneyprinter? Beta is the overall equity market risk (aka rising tide floats all boats).
#1 reason any trader cares about the Fed is to predict beta.
What's that?
Say u made 120% returns in 2020. Are u a genius or did u just own a buncha tech stocks as #jpow cranked the moneyprinter? Beta is the overall equity market risk (aka rising tide floats all boats).
To be "long beta" means ur net long stocks. "Short beta" means ur net short.
Beta on a single asset refers to correlation to an equity benchmark (eg SPY).
β>1: more volatile than SPY
0<β<1: less volatile
-1<β<0: less volatile & anticorrelated
β<-1: more volatile & anticorrelated
Beta on a single asset refers to correlation to an equity benchmark (eg SPY).
β>1: more volatile than SPY
0<β<1: less volatile
-1<β<0: less volatile & anticorrelated
β<-1: more volatile & anticorrelated
