Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #lâchepaslapatate

Most recents (2)

1/11 Yesterday I presented an update on the progress that Canadians have made to #FlattenTheCurve of #COVID19. We also looked at some of the short-term predictions from our real-data forecasting models. canada.ca/content/dam/ph…
2/11 The #COVID19 forecast for 🇨🇦 is looking better, though we are not entirely out of the woods yet. We must remain mindful that our projections are only as reliable as our actions. #PlankTheCurve #PhysicalDistancing #WashYourHands
3/11 If we maintain measures that keep the #COVID19 growth rate down and prevent outbreaks and potential rebound of spread, we stand the best chance of remaining on this favourable trajectory. #KeepItUp #PlankTheCurve
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1/10 Today I presented an update on #GOC modelling that includes two types of approaches: 1. forecasting for short-term predictions & 2. dynamic modelling for hypothetical “if, then” planning scenarios. #COVID19
2/10 In forecasting models, #GOC uses real data from #COVID19 cases in 🇨🇦 to make short-term predictions of the number of cases & deaths we might expect if #epidemiology drivers & #publichealth measures stay relatively stable.
3/10 Today’s #GOC forecast model gives a short-term prediction out to May 5th of between 53,000-67,000 #COVID19 cases & 3,300-3,900 deaths, but ↑ cases in high-risk individuals can ↑ case fatality rate, leading to underprediction.
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