Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #la05
Most recents (16)
After the Supreme Court's Voting Rights Act ruling required Alabama to create an additional Black congressional district, similar lawsuits could win elsewhere.
The next tweets look at the changes plaintiffs are seeking in two cases with strong odds to win in Louisiana & Georgia
The next tweets look at the changes plaintiffs are seeking in two cases with strong odds to win in Louisiana & Georgia
Louisiana's case seeks a new Black VRA seat in Baton Rouge & northeastern LA. storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.usco…
The graphic below shows the GOP's gerrymander davesredistricting.org/join/3e0a3c85-…
& the plaintiffs' remedial map. #LA05 (yellow) would become 52% Black & likely Dem davesredistricting.org/join/a3b85806-…
The graphic below shows the GOP's gerrymander davesredistricting.org/join/3e0a3c85-…
& the plaintiffs' remedial map. #LA05 (yellow) would become 52% Black & likely Dem davesredistricting.org/join/a3b85806-…
One of multiple Georgia cases seeks a new Black VRA seat west of Atlanta storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.usco…
The graphic below shows the GOP's gerrymander davesredistricting.org/join/7635e15b-…
& the plaintiffs' illustrative map. #GA06 (teal) would become 50.2% Black & safely Dem davesredistricting.org/join/49f162d4-…
The graphic below shows the GOP's gerrymander davesredistricting.org/join/7635e15b-…
& the plaintiffs' illustrative map. #GA06 (teal) would become 50.2% Black & safely Dem davesredistricting.org/join/49f162d4-…
2022 #Midterms Simulation: #ArtoftheGerrymander
A Republican House win will be built on gerrymanders (TX/GA/FL/TN/LA, etc.)
To illustrate the need for fair maps, I'm calculating the results using the 2022 votes, but if every state had a Democratic gerrymander. #ElectionTwitter
A Republican House win will be built on gerrymanders (TX/GA/FL/TN/LA, etc.)
To illustrate the need for fair maps, I'm calculating the results using the 2022 votes, but if every state had a Democratic gerrymander. #ElectionTwitter
Methodology:
I’ll apply the difference in Presidential margin to the House result. Thanks @davesredist @mikemathieu @vest_team + @DKElections @PoliticsWolf
Keen to see how my maps perform over the decade; tried to comply with state law if partisan intent were allowed to stand.
I’ll apply the difference in Presidential margin to the House result. Thanks @davesredist @mikemathieu @vest_team + @DKElections @PoliticsWolf
Keen to see how my maps perform over the decade; tried to comply with state law if partisan intent were allowed to stand.
#ArtoftheGerrymander: #Alabama
Trump 62.0% - Biden 36.6%
Real delegation: 6R-1D
Gerrymandered: 5R-2D
Δ Share of D seats: 14% => 28%
Easy Democratic pick-up of a safe new African American seat.
davesredistricting.org/join/ff857256-…
Trump 62.0% - Biden 36.6%
Real delegation: 6R-1D
Gerrymandered: 5R-2D
Δ Share of D seats: 14% => 28%
Easy Democratic pick-up of a safe new African American seat.
davesredistricting.org/join/ff857256-…
Alabama is 2/7 Black, yet the Alabama GOP's newly unveiled congressional gerrymander draws 6 safe seats for white Republicans & just the 7th District for a Black Dem. But it's easy to draw a Black 2nd District, & an ongoing lawsuit seeks to compel it. See:
The Voting Rights Act should require a second Black VRA congressional district in Southern states such as AL, LA, & SC, but given the far-right turn of a Supreme Court determined to destroy the VRA, I don't expect this lawsuit to succeed
Louisiana is 1/3 Black, but GOP is trying to pass another congressional gerrymander with just 1 Black Dem & 5 white Rs. Civil rights groups have proposed several maps that redraw #LA05 as a second Black district. A lawsuit is likely news-emails.bindg.com/v1/newsletter/… aboutblaw.com/Z9H#page=16
LOUISIANA: in 2012, Rs packed Black voters in NOLA & Baton Rouge into one snakelike seat (#LA02 below), and dominate the other five. Dems view it as a blatant gerrymander, and now that they have the governorship, they'll have a seat at the redistricting table.
Louisiana's population is 33% Black, and it's now possible to draw *two* fairly compact Black majority seats: #LA02 based in NOLA & another connecting Baton Rouge w/ Lafayette, Alexandria or even Monroe (#LA05 below). Expect Dems to fight/sue for this additional seat.
However, drawing a second Black majority district would likely also mean a dramatic reconfiguration of #LA05, where Julia Letlow (R) was just elected and enjoys plenty of bipartisan goodwill. This is where the politics could get complicated for Gov. John Bel Edwards (D) & others.
Julia Letlow wins #LA05 House special election tonight.She is 1st Republican woman elected to represent Louisiana in Congress and fills the vacancy created by the death of her husband,GOP Rep.-elect Luke Letlow,who died of COVID-19 5 days before he was to be sworn into the House.
NRCC Chair Emmer on #LA05 race:”Congratulations to Julia Letlow on her victory.Julia has overcome tremendous adversity and is an inspiration to all of us. Julia will be a powerful, conservative voice for the people of Louisiana and I look forward to working with her in Congress."
House GOP Leader McCarthy on Julia Letlow #LA05 special election win.
after a 4+ month election hiatus, I am BACK with live election results for you with @DecisionDeskHQ for two special US House elections in Louisiana, filling vacancies in #LA02 and #LA05. Polls close at 8 pm Central and 9 pm ET – live results will be here! businessinsider.com/louisiana-2nd-…
NEW: @jbletlow will win the special election for #LA05 outright without needing to advance to a runoff, Insider and @DecisionDeskHQ project businessinsider.com/louisiana-2nd-…
Letlow, a university administrator, and widow of the late Rep.-elect Luke Letlow, will add to the growing ranks of Republican women in the US House, and will be the first woman to represent Louisiana in Congress since former Sen. Mary Landrieu #LA05
#Louisiana LA-02 #SpecialElection #Election2021-March20
Support KAREN CARTER PETERSON #LA02 & @DemsWork4USA
➡️actblue.com/donate/dw_la02
#YesWeCan #KeepItBlue #WinBlue
#LApol #LApolitics #CST
#Healthcare #Medicare #Medicaid #Education
#Democrats #liberals #moderates
#DemsWork4USA
Support KAREN CARTER PETERSON #LA02 & @DemsWork4USA
➡️actblue.com/donate/dw_la02
#YesWeCan #KeepItBlue #WinBlue
#LApol #LApolitics #CST
#Healthcare #Medicare #Medicaid #Education
#Democrats #liberals #moderates
#DemsWork4USA
🔁Elect🌟KAREN CARTER PETERSON🌟#LA02
Register
sos.la.gov/ElectionsAndVo…
IwillVote.com
🎓
campusvoteproject.org/stateguides/lo…
ID
voteriders.org
Issues? 833-336-VOTE
#YesWeCan #WinBlue
#LApol #LApolitics #Louisiana
#Democrats #moderates
#DemsWork4USA
Register
sos.la.gov/ElectionsAndVo…
IwillVote.com
🎓
campusvoteproject.org/stateguides/lo…
ID
voteriders.org
Issues? 833-336-VOTE
#YesWeCan #WinBlue
#LApol #LApolitics #Louisiana
#Democrats #moderates
#DemsWork4USA
Candidate Spotlight: ⚡️KAREN CARTER PETERSON⚡️for #LA02
#Louisiana #LA02 #DemsWork4USA #WinBlue #DemCast #Democrats #SpecialElection
mailchi.mp/democratsworkf…
#Louisiana #LA02 #DemsWork4USA #WinBlue #DemCast #Democrats #SpecialElection
mailchi.mp/democratsworkf…
🔁#Louisiana LA-05 #SpecialElection #Election2021-March20
Support CANDY CHRISTOPHE #LA05 & @DemsWork4USA
➡️actblue.com/donate/dw_la05
RT
#YesWeCan #FlipItBlue #WinBlue
#LApol #LApolitics #CST
#Healthcare #Medicare #Medicaid #Education
#Democrats #liberals #moderates
#DemsWork4USA
Support CANDY CHRISTOPHE #LA05 & @DemsWork4USA
➡️actblue.com/donate/dw_la05
RT
#YesWeCan #FlipItBlue #WinBlue
#LApol #LApolitics #CST
#Healthcare #Medicare #Medicaid #Education
#Democrats #liberals #moderates
#DemsWork4USA
🔁Elect🌟CANDY CHRISTOPHE🌟#LA05
Register
sos.la.gov/ElectionsAndVo…
IWillVote.com
🎓
ID
campusvoteproject.org/stateguides/lo…
voteriders.org
Issues? 833-336-VOTE
#YesWeCan #WinBlue
#LApol #LApolitics #Louisiana #CST
#Democrats #moderates
#DemsWork4USA
Register
sos.la.gov/ElectionsAndVo…
IWillVote.com
🎓
ID
campusvoteproject.org/stateguides/lo…
voteriders.org
Issues? 833-336-VOTE
#YesWeCan #WinBlue
#LApol #LApolitics #Louisiana #CST
#Democrats #moderates
#DemsWork4USA
Candidate Spotlight: ⚡️Candy Christophe for #La05
#SpecialElection #DemsWork4USA
mailchi.mp/democratsworkf…
#SpecialElection #DemsWork4USA
mailchi.mp/democratsworkf…
From me this morning: taking inventory of current/upcoming House vacancies. The Crystal Ball's ratings for special elections:
#LA02 Safe D
#LA05 Safe R
#TX06 Likely R
All three elections will use jungle primaries. OH-11 & NM-1 may also open up soon.
centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/ar…
#LA02 Safe D
#LA05 Safe R
#TX06 Likely R
All three elections will use jungle primaries. OH-11 & NM-1 may also open up soon.
centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/ar…
And, of course, it wouldn't be an article from me without a Louisiana history lesson. Specifically, looking at how Julia Letlow’s #LA05 candidacy fits with a pattern (stories from @LamarWhiteJr & @RTMannJr are linked in). #lalege
If I'm discussing special elections that will take place in the next few months in my article, @skmoskowitz has a longer-term look at the 2022 House cycle. Seth's advice? Watch the generic ballot.
centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/ar…
centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/ar…
Balance of power in the U.S. House in new 117th Congress begins at 222 Democrats & 211 Republicans, with #NY22 undecided & #LA05 vacant.
One of the smallest House majorities. 1/x
One of the smallest House majorities. 1/x
It was 20 years ago today, 3 January 2001, that the House began new 107th Congress with 221 Republicans, 211 Democrats, 2 independents and 1 vacancy.
Senate began 50-50. In June 2001, Jim Jeffords left GOP and became independent aligned with Democrats, who took over majority. 2/
Senate began 50-50. In June 2001, Jim Jeffords left GOP and became independent aligned with Democrats, who took over majority. 2/
In January 1953, House convened with 221 Republicans, 211 Democrats, 1 independent, and 2 vacancies.
By early Nov. 1953, Ds narrowed it to 218R-215D, after Harrison Williams (D-NJ) was elected to succeed Clifford Case (R). (They'd later serve together in Senate.) @wildstein 3/
By early Nov. 1953, Ds narrowed it to 218R-215D, after Harrison Williams (D-NJ) was elected to succeed Clifford Case (R). (They'd later serve together in Senate.) @wildstein 3/
Louisiana Congressional delegation tonight on the death of #LA05 Republican Congressman-elect Luke Letlow from complications related to COVID-19: "We are devastated to hear of Luke Letlow's passing. Luke had such a positive spirit, and a tremendously bright future ahead of him."
LA delegation on the passing of Rep-elect Letlow: "He was looking forward to serving the people of Louisiana in Congress, and we were excited to welcome him to our delegation where he was ready to make an even greater impact on our state and our Nation."
LA delegation on the passing of Rep-elect Letlow: "More than anything, Luke was a loving husband, father, brother, and son, and his family – like so many others who have been affected by this evil disease – needs our prayers."
Republican Luke Letlow won #LA05 House runoff election tonight per AP and will succeed his former boss, retiring 3rd term GOP Rep. Ralph Abraham. Letlow, who served as Abraham's chief of staff, defeated Republican Lance Harris for the central and northeastern LA district seat.
NRCC Chair Tom Emmer on #LA05 House election results: "Congratulations to Luke Letlow on his victory. Luke will be a strong, conservative voice for the people of Louisiana and I look forward to working with him in the House.”
The map below proves it'd be possible to draw two African-American districts in Louisiana...and still make it *more* compact than the current map (right now, the 5R-1D map packs African-American voters into #LA02).
Expect a showdown over this in 2021.
Expect a showdown over this in 2021.
Under this scenario, New Orleans's #LA02 would go from 62% to 52% AA and #LA05 (parts of Baton Rouge, Alexandria and Monroe as drawn here) would go from 35% to 50.1% AA.
Right now, African-Americans are 33% of Louisiana's population but have an opportunity in just one of the state's six districts. But Edwards (D)'s reelection makes it possible for Dems to at least fight for 2/6. #LAGOV
Do you know who oversees Elections in your State?
In 41 states, it's the Secretary of State (#SoS)
And 10 of them are up for re-election.
#ElectionSecurity #VotingRights
#Elections2019 - #KY #LA #MS
#Elections2020 - #MO #MT #NC #OR #VT #WA
THREAD of All Democratic Candidates
In 41 states, it's the Secretary of State (#SoS)
And 10 of them are up for re-election.
#ElectionSecurity #VotingRights
#Elections2019 - #KY #LA #MS
#Elections2020 - #MO #MT #NC #OR #VT #WA
THREAD of All Democratic Candidates
All Democratic Candidates for Secretary of State
#Elections2019 in (currently GOP) - #KY #LA #MS
#Elections2020 in (currently GOP) - *#MO #MT #OR *#WA *#WV
#Election2020 Dems in #NC #VT
(*No Dem Candidates YET
in #MISSOURI, #WASHINGTON OR #WestVirginia)
#SoS2020
THREAD
#Elections2019 in (currently GOP) - #KY #LA #MS
#Elections2020 in (currently GOP) - *#MO #MT #OR *#WA *#WV
#Election2020 Dems in #NC #VT
(*No Dem Candidates YET
in #MISSOURI, #WASHINGTON OR #WestVirginia)
#SoS2020
THREAD
KENTUCKY #Election2019
Democratic Candidate #KY Secretary of State
Heather French Henry
heatherfrenchhenry.com
@missamerica2000
vs GOP Michael Adams
VOTE NOVEMBER 5, 2019
Register by October 7.
Application here: elect.ky.gov/SiteCollection…
#SecretariesOfState #SoS
THREAD
Democratic Candidate #KY Secretary of State
Heather French Henry
heatherfrenchhenry.com
@missamerica2000
vs GOP Michael Adams
VOTE NOVEMBER 5, 2019
Register by October 7.
Application here: elect.ky.gov/SiteCollection…
#SecretariesOfState #SoS
THREAD
Hey #LOUISIANA #LA
VOTE NOVEMBER 6, 2018 #Midterms
THREAD of all Democratic Candidates with twitter & websites
& VOTER INFO with Links
Register by October 9 in-person; October 16 by GEAUX
Early voting Oct. 23-30 (not Sunday)
Apply for Absentee Ballot by Nov 2
#VoteBlueLouisiana
VOTE NOVEMBER 6, 2018 #Midterms
THREAD of all Democratic Candidates with twitter & websites
& VOTER INFO with Links
Register by October 9 in-person; October 16 by GEAUX
Early voting Oct. 23-30 (not Sunday)
Apply for Absentee Ballot by Nov 2
#VoteBlueLouisiana
VOTER REGISTRATION #LOUISIANA
Register Online here: voterportal.sos.la.gov/VoterRegistrat…
Find your Voter Precinct here: voterportal.sos.la.gov/Home/VoterLogin
Registrars voterportal.sos.la.gov/Registrar
Registration info: sos.la.gov/ElectionsAndVo…
THREAD
Register Online here: voterportal.sos.la.gov/VoterRegistrat…
Find your Voter Precinct here: voterportal.sos.la.gov/Home/VoterLogin
Registrars voterportal.sos.la.gov/Registrar
Registration info: sos.la.gov/ElectionsAndVo…
THREAD
Democratic Candidates for #Louisiana #LA01
Lee Ann Dugas
facebook.com/pg/Dugas4Congr…
@LeeDugas2001
Jim Francis
jimfrancisforcongress.com
@JimFrancisLA01
Tammy Savoie
tammysavoie.com
@tammyforla
vs Steve Scalise (R)
Lee Ann Dugas
facebook.com/pg/Dugas4Congr…
@LeeDugas2001
Jim Francis
jimfrancisforcongress.com
@JimFrancisLA01
Tammy Savoie
tammysavoie.com
@tammyforla
vs Steve Scalise (R)
According to @ballotpedia, these US House seats have NO DEMOCRATIC challengers.
☑️#AL01
☑️#AL03
☑️#GA14
☑️#ID02
☑️#KS01
☑️#KY05
☑️#LA01
☑️#LA04
☑️#LA05
☑️#MI10
☑️#MS03
☑️#MO03
☑️#NC03
☑️#OH06
Why not?
h/t @PiperPerabo
#SaturdayMorning
#AMJoy
☑️#AL01
☑️#AL03
☑️#GA14
☑️#ID02
☑️#KS01
☑️#KY05
☑️#LA01
☑️#LA04
☑️#LA05
☑️#MI10
☑️#MS03
☑️#MO03
☑️#NC03
☑️#OH06
Why not?
h/t @PiperPerabo
#SaturdayMorning
#AMJoy
I refuse to believe that all of those districts are hopeless.
There are two brave women (@GwenCombs and @HaydenShamel) running in the deepest red Arkansas districts.
AR has 4 house seats.
They are all red.
#SaturdayMorning
#AMJoy
There are two brave women (@GwenCombs and @HaydenShamel) running in the deepest red Arkansas districts.
AR has 4 house seats.
They are all red.
#SaturdayMorning
#AMJoy
These Dem candidates may be long shots to win those red seats.
So what?
It's not always about winning.
Sometimes, it's just about changing hearts and minds, even if it's just a few, so next election, they might vote blue.
#SaturdayMorning
#AMJoy
So what?
It's not always about winning.
Sometimes, it's just about changing hearts and minds, even if it's just a few, so next election, they might vote blue.
#SaturdayMorning
#AMJoy
