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[Thread] Leicester 0 vs 2 Man Utd - Analysis

Build-up:
United use a 3-3-3-1 to build up that shits into 2-4-3-1 mid-block in Leicester's half. #mufc
Leicester City shape:
5-3-2 out of possession
3-1-4-2 then later 3-1-4-1-1 (Iheanacho plays off Vardy). #mufc #lcfc
Out of possession: Leicester looking to create a 3v3 with United's midfield. A similar idea to West ham. No time for Pogba and Bruno on the ball so Matic is Forced wide.
Tielemans pushes up on Matic as you can see in the picture. #MUFC
Read 14 tweets
Earlier this week I posted a thread on the 2018/19 financials for the Big Six Premier League clubs. Today I am going to look at the numbers for the Other 14 clubs #AFCB #BHAFC #BurnleyFC #CardiffCity #CPFC #EFC #FFC #HTAFC #LCFC #NUFC #SaintsFC #WatfordFC #WHUFC #WWFC
Obviously, there will be a significant impact on these numbers in the 2019/20 season (and probably 2020/21 as well) as a result of the COVID-19 lockdown, which has resulted in clubs earning much less revenue for a few months, but how did it look before the pandemic struck? ImageImage
Other 14 Premier League clubs generated £2.2 bln of revenue, but £2.6 bln of expenses (including £1.5 bln wages and £0.6 bln player amortisation) meant £393m operating loss. This was improved by £241m profit on player sales, offset by £35m interest, giving £188m loss before tax. Image
Read 35 tweets
Now that all the Premier League clubs have published their 2018/19 financials, we can compare the results, but we will do this a little differently by separating the analysis into two parts, as the numbers are so different for: (1) the Big Six clubs; and (2) the Other 14 clubs.
Today’s thread will focus on the 2018/19 financial results for the Big Six Premier League clubs #AFC #CFC #LFC #MCFC #MUFC #THFC. Clearly, there will be a significant impact on these numbers in 2019/20 following the COVID-19 lockdown, but how did it look before the pandemic?
Big 6 Premier League clubs generated £3.0 bln of revenue, but £3.1 bln of expenses (including £1.7 bln wages and £0.7 bln player amortisation) meant a £97m operating loss. This was improved by £193m profit on player sales, offset by £23m interest, giving £33m profit before tax.
Read 36 tweets
Newcastle United’s 2018/19 financial results cover a season when they finished 13th in the Premier League, 3 places lower than the previous year. Steve Bruce replaced Rafael Benitez as manager after the season ended. Some thoughts in the following thread #NUFC
#NUFC profit before tax improved by £18m from £23m to £41m, very largely due to profit on player sales surging from £4m to £25m, as revenue dropped £2m (1%) from £178m to £176m. There was minimal expense growth of just £1m. Post-tax profit increased from £19m to £35m.
The largest #NUFC revenue decrease was broadcasting, which fell £2.5m (2%) to £124m, mainly due to the worse finishing place in the league, though commercial was also down £0.5m (2%) to £28m. In contrast, match day rose £0.9m (4%) to £25m.
Read 50 tweets
Crystal Palace’s 2018/19 financial results covered a season when they finished “in a respectable” 12th place under Roy Hodgson. This secured a seventh successive year in the Premier League, their longest ever spell in England’s top division. Some thoughts follow #CPFC
#CPFC improved from a £36m loss before tax to a £5m profit, very largely due to profit on player sales (mainly Aaron Wan-Bissaka’s move to #MUFC) surging from £2m to £46m, though revenue also rose £5m (3%) to a club record £155m. Partly offset by expenses increasing £8m.
All three #CPFC revenue streams grew, led by broadcasting, which rose £3.2m (3%) to £124.4m. There were also increases in commercial, up £1.0m (6%) to £16.4m, and match day, up £0.9m (7%) to £14.6m. Note: this revenue split is taken from the club’s Annual Review.
Read 44 tweets
Manchester United have announced financial results for Q3 of 2019/20, incorporating the first 9 months of the season. This covers January to March 2020, so provides some early insight into the impact of the football lockdown. Some thoughts in the following thread #MUFC
#MUFC swung from £11m profit before tax to £29m loss for Q3, as revenue fell by £28m (19%) from £152m to £124m, partly offset by £15m (18%) reduction in wages to £69m. Hit by interest payable rising £22m from £3m to £25m (forex losses). Loss after tax £23m due to £6m tax credit.
The main reason for #MUFC £28m revenue reduction was broadcasting, which more than halved from £54m to £26m, due to £15m provision for COVID-19 rebate and playing in the far less lucrative Europa League, compared to the previous season’s Champions League.
Read 47 tweets
West Bromwich Albion’s 2018/19 financial results covered a season when they finished 4th in the Championship following relegation, losing in the play-offs semi-final. Manager Darren Moore replaced by James Shan in March, followed by Slaven Bilic in June. Some thoughts follow #WBA
#WBA managed to hold pre-tax losses at £7m, despite a “significant” £54m (43%) reduction in revenue from £125m to £71m, as they cut expenses by £50m and increased profit on player sales by £4m to £10m. After tax, the loss remained at £6m, thanks to a £1m tax credit.
The main reason for #WBA £54m revenue reduction was broadcasting, which nearly halved in the Championship, falling from £102m to £53m, though commercial also decreased £5m (30%) to £11m, while gate receipts were only down £0.1m (2%) to £7.3m.
Read 45 tweets
Southampton’s 2018/19 financial results covered a “second consecutive difficult season” when they finished 16th in the Premier League. Manager Mark Hughes was replaced by Ralph Hasenhüttl in December 2018. Some thoughts in the following thread #SaintsFC
#SaintsFC went from £35m pre-tax profit to £41m loss, a swing of £76m, mainly due to profit on player sales decreasing by £48m from £69m to £21m (Virgil van Dijk sale prior year). Revenue also down £3m (2%) to £150m, while expenses grew £25m. After tax, £29m profit to £34m loss.
#SaintsFC £3m revenue fall was driven by broadcasting’s £4m (4%) decrease from £117m to £113m, mainly due to fewer Premier League shown live. Match day was also down £2.2m (11%) from £19.2m to £17.0m, but commercial rose £3.4m (21%) from £16.4m to £19.8m.
Read 39 tweets
Burnley’s 2018/19 financial results covered a season when they finished 15th in the Premier League, securing a fourth consecutive season in the top flight, and competed in Europe for the first time in over 50 years. Some thoughts follow #BurnleyFC
#BurnleyFC profit before tax dropped from a club record £45m to £5m, mainly because profit on player sales fell £24m from £31m to £7m, though revenue was also slightly lower at £138m and expenses increased £15m. Profit after tax was down from £37m to £4m.
#BurnleyFC £1m (1%) revenue fall was very largely driven by broadcasting’s £7m (5%) decrease from £122m to £115m, due to lower prize money for finishing 15th (against 7th prior year). In contrast, commercial rose £4.6m (39%) to £16.5m and match day was up £0.7m (13%) to £6.3m.
Read 39 tweets
This thread revisits the impact of the coronavirus pandemic on the football world, specifically focusing on the Premier League. Although England’s top flight may be in a stronger position than lower leagues, it still faces immense financial challenges, due to lost revenue.
First, the usual caveat that many of the numbers used are estimates, based on figures that are not current (largely 2018/19 accounts), but they should give a decent indication of the impact. As John Maynard Keynes asserted, “It is better to be roughly right than precisely wrong.”
On the face of it, Premier League clubs should be fine, given that they generate an impressive £5.2 bln revenue between them. However, this disguises the fact that the Big Six account for £3 bln of this total, i.e. around 60%, leaving £2.2 bln shared between the other 14 clubs.
Read 44 tweets
Huddersfield Town’s 2018/19 financial results accounts cover a season when they finished 20th in the Premier League, so were relegated after 2 years in the top flight. Manager David Wagner was replaced by Jan Siewert in January 2019. Some thoughts in the following thread #HTAFC
After these accounts closed, chairman Dean Hoyle sold a 75% controlling ownership stake to Pure Sports Consultancy Limited, a previous shirt sponsor, owned by lifelong #HTAFC fan Phil Hodgkinson. Danny Cowley was appointed manager in September, assisted by his brother Nicky.
#HTAFC profit before tax fell £26m from £30m to £4m, as revenue decreased £6m (5%) from £125m to £119m, profit on player sales halved from £6m to £3m and expenses rose £17m. After tax, prior season’s £26m profit was down to £3m, as the tax charge dropped from £4.1m to £0.5m. Image
Read 39 tweets
Tottenham Hotspur’s 2018/19 financial results covered a successful season when they reached the Champions League final, finished fourth in the Premier League and got to EFL Cup semi-finals. Home games played at Wembley until new stadium opened in April. Some thoughts follow #THFC
#THFC profit before tax dropped by £52m from £139m to a still excellent £87m, as revenue rose £80m (21%) to a club record £461m, but profit on player sales fell £62m to £11m and expenses increased £70m. Profit after tax decreased £44m from £113m to £69m.
All three #THFC revenue streams had significant growth: broadcasting rose £43m (22%) from £201m to £244m, due to reaching the Champions League final; commercial increased £26m (24%) from £109m to £135m; while match day was up £11m (15%) from £71m to £82m.
Read 49 tweets
Fulham’s financial results for 2018/19 cover a season when they were relegated back to the Championship after just one year in the Premier League (finishing 19th). They dismissed two managers: Slavisa Jokanovic in November & Claudio Ranieri in February. Some thought follow #FFC
#FFC reduced their loss from £45m to £20m. However, the club still lost money, despite revenue rising £100m from £38m to £138m following promotion, as competing in the Premier League increased expenses by £63m, while profit on player sales fell £11m to £3m. Image
The main driver of the #FFC £100m revenue increase was broadcasting, which rose £87m from £22m to £109m, due to the significantly more lucrative Premier League TV deal, though commercial also grew £8m (88%) to £18m, while gate receipts were up £3.7m (53%) to £10.7m. Image
Read 41 tweets
AFC Bournemouth’s 2018/19 financial results covered a season when they finished 14th in the Premier League, securing a fifth consecutive year in the top flight. Some thoughts follow #AFCB
#AFCB loss before tax almost tripled from £11m to £32m, very largely due to higher staff costs and a small £4m (3%) drop in revenue from £135m to £131m, though profit on player sales rose slightly from £1.3m to £3.1m.
#AFCB £4m revenue fall largely due to broadcasting income dropping £3.6m (3%) to £116m, due to a lower finish in the league, though match day also fell £0.3m (6%) to £5.0m, partly offset by commercial rising £0.2m (2%) to £10.2m. Other income (player loans) up £2.8m to £8.0m.
Read 39 tweets
#CardiffCity financial results for 2018/19 covered a season in the Premier League following promotion, but their stay in the top flight was brief, as it culminated in relegation to the Championship after they finished in 18th place. Some thoughts in the following thread.
Unfortunately, the 2018/19 season will also be remembered for the tragic death of striker Emiliano Sala in a plane crash following his transfer from French club Nantes. #CardiffCity are disputing the payment of a transfer fee, but have “prudently” booked a £19.5m provision.
#CardiffCity swung from £39m loss before tax in the Championship to £3m profit, thanks to revenue surging £90m from £35m to £125m, though competing in the Premier League increased expenses by £31m. Still reported £0.8m loss after tax, due to £3m tax charge.
Read 40 tweets
Leicester City’s 2018/19 financial results covered a season when they finished 9th in the Premier League for the second year in a row. Brendan Rodgers replaced Claude Puel as manager in February. Some thoughts in the following thread #LCFC
Despite the tragic loss of club chairman, Vichai Srivaddhanaprabha, in a helicopter accident in October 2018, #LCFC have made great progress since King Power International acquired the club in 2010 with “a renewed commitment to investing growing revenues back into the club.”
#LCFC went from £2m profit before tax to a £20m loss, even though revenue rose £20m (12%) to £178m and profit on player sales was up £20m to £58m, as costs grew £61m, due to investment in the squad and the “transfer fee” for Brendan Rodgers. After tax, club posted a £17m loss.
Read 41 tweets
Liverpool’s 2018/19 financial results covered a season when they won the Champions League for the 6th time and finished runners-up to #MCFC in the Premier League with 97 points, the most scored without winning the title. Some thoughts in the following thread #LFC
#LFC profit before tax fell from £125m to £42m, as profit on player sales dropped £79m to £45m, though revenue rose £78m (17%) to a record £533m. This was offset by £83m cost growth following significant investment in the squad. Profit after tax down from £106m to £33m.
All three #LFC revenue streams increased, particularly broadcasting, which rose £41m (19%) to £261m, mainly due to the Champions League triumph, and commercial, up £34m (22%) to £188m. Match day was slightly higher at £3m (4%) to £84m.
Read 46 tweets
Wolverhampton Wanderers 2018/19 financial results covered a “successful” season, when they finished 7th in their first season back in the Premier League since 2012, reached the FA Cup semi-final and qualified for the Europa League. Some thoughts in the following thread #WWFC
Since being bought by Chinese investment group Fosun International in July 2016, #WWFC is a club transformed, helped by a close relationship with super-agent Jorge Mendes. Under charismatic manager Nuno Espirito Santo, Wolves can realistically compete for European qualification.
#WWFC swung from £57m loss before tax in the Championship to £20m profit in the Premier League, a £77m improvement, as revenue surged from £26m to a club record £172m and profit on player sales was up £4m to £12m, though costs also increased significantly in the top flight.
Read 40 tweets
West Ham’s 2018/19 financial results covered a season when they finished 10th in the Premier League and were eliminated in the 4th found of both the FA Cup and Carabao Cup. Manuel Pellegrini replaced David Moyes as manager in May 2018. Some thoughts in the following thread #WHUFC
#WHUFC swung from £18m profit before tax to a £28m loss, a £46m deterioration, despite revenue rising £15m (9%) to a club record £191m, as profit on player sales fell £17m to £13m and investment in the squad led to a £45m increase in expenses.
The main driver of #WHUFC £15m revenue increase was broadcasting, which rose £9m (7%) to £127m, due to a better Premier League position. There was also useful growth in the other revenue streams: commercial was up £4m (12%) to £36m, while match day was up £3m (11%) to £27m.
Read 41 tweets
As seen in the recently published UEFA revenue distributions, a lot of money can be earned from European competitions, especially after the 54% increase in TV money in the 2018/19 Champions League. This thread looks at the impact on English clubs in more detail.
UEFA TV money earned by English clubs increased by a third (£105m) in 2018/19 from £322m to £427m, split between £352m from the Champions League and £75m from the Europa League. In fact, their European revenue has more than tripled in just four years – from only £129m in 2015.
UEFA TV money is denominated in Euros, so there is an impact from exchange rates movements, a “Brexit bonus” if you will, as Sterling has weakened against the Euro from 1.34 to 1.13. However, the difference is not that material with the exception of 2015 and 2016.
Read 37 tweets
1: Let’s do this, #SaintsFC! 🔴⚪️

Follow live 👉 sfcne.ws/LCLive [0-0]
10: #LCFC in front...

Ben Chilwell slots home the rebound after @AngusGunn01 made a fine stop to deny Harvey Barnes. [0-1]
12: A double blow, as #SaintsFC go down to ten men.

@ryanbertrand3 is sent off for a foul on Ayoze Pérez. [0-1]
Read 13 tweets
A previous thread explained the differences between a football club’s profit and loss account and its cash flow statement, as it is important to understand where the money has been spent. This thread will look at how this works for each of the 20 Premier League clubs in 2017/18.
#AFC went from £52m operating profit to £42m operating loss, due to lower revenue after failing to qualify for the Champions League, compounded by higher wages and player amortisation plus Wenger pay-off. However, £120m profit on player sales resulted in £70m profit before tax.
#AFC cash flow boosted by favourable £58m movement in working capital (increase in creditors). Spent £29m (net) on players (purchases £110m, sales £81m). Paid £20m for Emirates loan (£11m interest & £9m debt) plus £12m tax. Net cash inflow of £51m was highest in Premier League.
Read 42 tweets
There is much talk about the so-called “Big Six” pulling away from the rest of the Premier League financially, but is this actually true? This thread looks at this question from the perspective of revenue, wages and total player costs #AFC #CFC #LFC #MCFC #MUFC #THFC
For the purpose of this analysis, we will take the 7th highest club in terms of revenue and wages for each season between 2010 and 2018. This means that the 7th placed club is not always the same. For example, for the last 4 seasons’ revenue this was #EFC, #LCFC, #WHUFC & #NUFC.
The highest revenue in the 2018 Premier League was #MUFC £590m, followed by #MCFC £503m, #LFC £455m, #CFC £448m, #AFC £389m, #THFC £379m and #EFC £189m. The highest growth since 2010 came at #MCFC with £378m (or 300%).
Read 20 tweets
In preparation for the upcoming 2018/19 Premier League season, I thought that it might be interesting to look at the transfer spend over the last decade, including the growing impact on debt. The analysis is split between 3 periods: last 3 years, last 5 years and last 10 years.
The transfer fees spend is taken from the clubs’ cash flow statements, as this is the only completely accurate source of data. However, it is worth noting that this does not always represent the full cost of transfers, due to the (increasing) use of stage payments.
In the very few cases where a cash flow statement was not available, e.g. if a club only published abbreviated accounts while they were in lower leagues, I have taken data for those years from the Transfermarkt website.
Read 24 tweets

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