Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #leave

Most recents (24)

LIST OF @UKLabour #LEAVE CONSTITUENCIES IN #EURef.

Seat,

Percentage of #LEAVE vote

Contact details for messages to MP

Walsall North @EddieHughes4WN 74.2% #LEAVE

Kingston upon Hull East @KarlTurnerMP 72.6% #LEAVE

Stoke-on-Trent North @RuthSmeeth 72.1% #LEAVE
@UKLabour #LEAVE CONSTITUENCIES IN #EURef.

Doncaster North @Ed_Miliband 72% #LEAVE

Great Grimsby @OnnMel 71.4% #LEAVE

Dudley North @IanAustinMP 71.4% #LEAVE

Barnsley East @Steph_Peacock 70.7% #LEAVE

Ashfield @GloriaDePiero 70.5% #LEAVE
More @UKLabour #LEAVE CONSTITUENCIES IN #EURef.

Bolsover @DennisSkinnerMP 70.2% #LEAVE

Dagenham and Rainham @JonCruddas_1 69/9% #LEAVE

Hartlepool @MikeHillMP 69.6% #LEAVE

Normanton, Pontefract and Castleford @YvetteCooperMP 69.3% #LEAVE
Read 34 tweets
LIST OF CONSERVATIVE MPS IN LEAVE VOTING CONSTITUENCIES:

Boston and Skegness @mattwarman 74.9% #LEAVE

South Basildon and East Thurrock @Metcalfe_SBET 73% #LEAVE

Castle Point @RebeccaHarrisMP 72.7% #LEAVE

Great Yarmouth @BrandonLewis 71.5% #LEAVE

More to come:-
LIST OF CONSERVATIVE MPS IN LEAVE VOTING CONSTITUENCIES Contd'

South Holland and the Deepings @SouthHollandCF 71.1% #LEAVE

Stoke-on-Trent South @JackBreretonMP @SoTConservative 70.8% #LEAVE

Dudley South @mikejwood 70.4% #LEAVE

Thurrock @JackieDP 70.2% #LEAVE

More:
LIST OF CONSERVATIVE MPS IN LEAVE VOTING CONSTITUENCIES, MORE:

Clacton @GilesWatling 70% #LEAVE

North East Cambridgeshire @SteveBarclay 69.4% #LEAVE

Louth & Horncastle 69.4% #LEAVE facebook.com/LouthandHornca…

Hornchurch & Upminster @JuliaLopezMP 69.4% #LEAVE

And more:
Read 52 tweets
What the hell is @jeremycorbyn doing?
Why is he enabling #Tory #Brexit?
Is this the final betrayal?
No, it isn't.
It's the predicted effect of decisions taken 2-3 years ago. All things considered, it's not as bad as it could have been (thanks to #StopBrexit crowd).

Thread.
1/n
To understand why, I need to outline 2 important mechanisms that most people, politicians and commentators seem to ignore, dismiss or simply don't get. They have different and somewhat opposite consequences, but are both decisive in the current & foreseeable predicaments.
2/n
1st and foremost: the biggest constraint that applies to political decision-making comes from the past decisions & policies.
It is a massive constraint.
Cameron COULD NOT convincingly campaign for #Remain, because his own policies CREATED the discontent channelled by #Leave.
3/n
Read 23 tweets
A (not so pleasant) Europhile on Twitter suggested I read the Fact Sheet of the Treaty of Lisbon. Me being me found another document of "adopted texts" for the Treaty which made interesting if not dull reading. My next few tweets will mention what I found.
EUs adopted texts suggests the creation of;
European Treasury for tax coordination
European Defence Union for common defence policy
Common asylum & immigration policy
Energy Union
European Energy Agency
European Bureau of Investigation & Counter terrorism
On energy... integrate energy markets combining national reserves..."EU policy constraint on State's right to determine conditions for exploiting its energy resources, choice of different sources and
Read 7 tweets
Even more gold from @BESResearch -- while I do think that online opinion polls are generally extremely problematic due to the likely significant selection bias that it introduces, there is still some signal in the data that tells us about the nature of #leave support in 2016.
Waves 7/8 asked participants what they expect how the EU referendum is going to pan out... i.e. it asked what probability respondents attach to a #Leave vote, some subsequent waves ask whether people regret how they vote.
20 - 30% of respondents stated the probability of a #Leave success is less than 40%. Now, the nice thing is the BES also subsequently asked, how people voted and whether they regret how they voted -- it asks whether people are #remainernow
Read 5 tweets
1. A short story of #Brexit in four acts. Act 1) in 2010 Coalition comes to power and presses on with dramatic #austerity, wrecking the UK's social compact... causing massive economic harm...leading to 2015 General Election
2.... in which Cameron promised an #EUref, while secretly speculating on another hung parliament with #LibDems blocking such a referendum theguardian.com/world/2019/jan… Yet, Act 2) lots of #austerity disgruntled #LibDems & 2010 non-voters, along with some Cons voters switched to..
3. #UKIP in 2015 General Election. #LibDems got wiped out, #Cons gained 27 seats from LibDems (out 28 overall seat gain), while #Labour lost massively to #SNP -- allowing Cameron to go alone, being pushed by #Brexiteers in #Conservative party to go ahead with #EUref.
Read 9 tweets
The most powerful person in the UK is now Jeremy Corbyn. If #brexit happens it will be on his terms; if we remain it will be because he has backed a referendum and, if remain is to win it is likely to have been led by him. Remarkable.
And the penny may soon drop- his pathway to power is not through competing with the Tories to own #leave but instead by turning #Remain into a socialist cause. #brexit
What's more, #remain will have to accommodate the fact that Corbyn is their best path to victory. And Corbyn is not going to dance to a centrist tune. (And thanks for all the gifs and emoticons- appreciated).
Read 3 tweets
Sulla #Brexit Theresa May ha commesso molti errori quasi tutti evitabili (segue)
Ha iniziato con un peccato originale. Votando e sostenendo il #Remain nel #referendum sulla #Brexit (segue)
Arriva al governo credendo di aver messo al tappeto l’unico vero kingmaker nel Partito Conservatore @BorisJohnson senza il quale al referendum sulla #Brexit i #Leave non avrebbero prevalso sui #remain (segue)
Read 13 tweets
1/11 For a long time we didn't have the money to apply for #citizenship. Now we can manage, just barely, as long as we don't use a lawyer, so we started the process in earnest last June. I had friends fill out all the reference pages (two different friends for each of us).
2/11 We worked out when all of us had been out of the country&started to fill in the forms. Soon it became clear we had a better chance if we applied as a whole family. My EU husband applied for& received Settled Status, then took&passed the Life in the UK test, then
3/11 took&passed the spoken English test. Finally we were ready. Now we discover the passport checking service has been privatised. My husband hasn't been able to get in touch with them to find out how we can submit our applications without losing all four of our passports
Read 11 tweets
#BrexitChaos - thread: need for definitions:

#NoDeal #nodealbrexit means crashing out: no arrangements with the #EU or other member states, no transition period. Means losing all existing trade deals & years of global negociations
#WTO ≠ trade deal (look it up!) 1/9
@theresa_may #WithdrawalAgreement is the framework for a future #UK #EU future relationship. Allows for an orderly #Brexit with transition period, but leaves many issues to resolve, trade deals and regulations to negotiate, which will take many years and be costly. No "dividend"!
It is possible to #StopBrexit and #Remain. This means staying in the #EU with all current benefits, reciprocal rights and protections, free trade and movement for goods, services and people within the EU. To do this, Govt must #RevokeA50 (Article 50=notice given to #Leave 3/9
Read 10 tweets
Lets try sth -- using large scale @Survation estimates of support from a comprehensive 20k strong poll across the UK, we can see which constituencies have swung from #Leave in 2016 to #Remain if there was a rerun of the 2016 #EUref ...a map and the 10 biggest swings to Remain
Constituency #Southampton, #Itchen
#Leave in 2016 59.96
Estimated #Leave % in 2018 42.60
Estimated swing to #Remain -17.36
#Westminster Constituency: #Kingston upon Hull North
#Leave in 2016: 59.97
Estimated #Leave % in 2018 45.15
Estimated swing to #Remain -14.82
Read 53 tweets
New @cage_warwick paper with @EleAla on "Who is NOT voting for Brexit anymore?" Using local area estimates from @chrishanretty based on data from a 20k @Survation poll we study how the level & geography of support for Leave has changed since 2016... goo.gl/CkUkgD 1/
Swing away from #Leave is widespread and happening broadly across the UK, specifically in England, Wales, Cornwall and the North. Overall estimated level of support for Leave is 6 percentage points lower across UK, but masks significant heterogeneity. 2/
We follow similar approach as in earlier work with @essobecker and @DennisNovy to decompose the geographic variation to identify which factors are capturing the variation across the UK in the swing away from #Leave to #Remain.... 3/
Read 8 tweets
@VictoriaLIVE @ProfRWinston @Aisleyne1 @BBCTwo @BBCNews Let's look at A's reasons for voting #Leave:
"Us being able to fix our our problems. I think the #NHS, our teachers are underpaid, and I believe that we put so much money into the EU."
a) We CAN fix our own problems. Public services are 100% managed by own Govt —

/1.
@VictoriaLIVE @ProfRWinston @Aisleyne1 @BBCTwo @BBCNews — except the bits Govt privatised! The EU does not interfere with how our Govt runs the NHS or its education policy or the police force, etc.

The competences of the EU are defined by treaty. They tend to be issues that extend beyond national borders.

/2.
@VictoriaLIVE @ProfRWinston @Aisleyne1 @BBCTwo @BBCNews Typical areas include trade, environment & security.

Think about it. When was the last time you heard the #NHS complaining to the EU abt underfunding? Or schools complaining the the EU abt kids going hungry? Never. They complain to our Govt cos' OUR GOVT is responsible.

/3.
Read 11 tweets
@IanDunt @BBCNews Just watched the 17.10 News Bulletin and now the 22.10. The piece about the #PeoplesVoteMarch opened with a statement saying that it was ‘THOUGHT to be the largest Brexit demonstration to date’. Face slap. Also time was given to #Farage's 'much smaller demonstration
@IanDunt @BBCNews but one of a series' and further time given 10? Leave supporters who were on the march. In 17.10 2 mins was given to the March, 1 min to Leave / Ukip events. Ridiculous. Also an interview with Farage but no i'view with anyone from #PeoplesVote. Or from Labour or Cons hierarchy
@IanDunt @BBCNews reacting to the March. This is abysmal reporting. Totally missing the real story - which is the size of the march, so large it is almost without historical precedent, despite lacking the organising power of a political party or major charity. Also no assessment of its potential
Read 8 tweets
Whilst UK has unilaterally offered all EU citizens rights under no deal - businessinsider.com/uk-will-offer-… ... don't expect others not to take the low path of using citizens as pawns in despicable games ->
I am glad UK has taken the moral high ground here .. it should have made this offer to EU citizens on day 1 but at least it has taken that path even though it was late.
Any doubts I had over voting for #brexit (and there were many) - blog.gardeviance.org/2016/04/on-eur… - have firmly been dealt with by the negotiations over the years. I would have no doubt in voting #leave today. Zero. Zilch. Nada.
Read 3 tweets
Lässt sich der #Brexit noch aufhalten? Das denken offenbar einige Beobachter des Brexit-Chaos in Deutschland. Auch von einem zweiten Referendum liest man derzeit oft. Ich glaube: Der Brexit wird kommen. Warum? Ein Thread: 1/
2/ Gestern lange mit einem Freund darüber gestritten. Seine Ansicht: Die Briten erkennen, dass der #Brexit nur schaden anrichtet. Wer das denkt, hat die #Leave-Kampagne nicht verstanden.
3/ @REWearmouth war für die @HuffPostUK in Thorntree. Hier haben über 80 Prozent (!) für den Brexit gestimmt, so viel wie nirgendwo sonst. Fürchten die Menschen sich vor No-Deal? Nein, wie diese Aussage eines Leavers zeigt: huffingtonpost.de/entry/brexit-m…
Read 14 tweets
Thread: How are UK online news outlets covering #Brexit in 2018? An analysis, with data and charts!

Part 3: Who’s outperforming the Shadow Cabinet in terms of influencing the #Brexit debate?

Answer: A small handful of Conservative & Labour Backbench MPs...

Read more...
For previous pieces (and methodology), see:

DExEU vs Shadow DExEU: and

Cabinet vs Shadow Cabinet:
So in yesterday's analysis, we saw how the Labour Frontbench had failed to drive column inches across online news outlets. Today, I look at how the Backbenchers and @LibDems are influencing the #Brexit debate.
Read 24 tweets
@TomTugendhat @Andrew_Adonis Let's look at the facts:
1. The Ref MPs voted for was advisory
2. Cameron then made it binding in the minds of voters who don't understand the niceties of our constitution, which was shabby & underhand of him, because he created a political imperative to take the Ref advice

/1.
@TomTugendhat @Andrew_Adonis 3. Parliament never formally made the decision to leave, but gave Mrs May the power to trigger #Article50 through the shameful A50 Bill (launched before its rubbish White Paper was released), which converted Parliament into an irrelevant rubber stamp in the #Brexit process.

/2.
@TomTugendhat @Andrew_Adonis 4. Under pressure from the Economic Ruin Group (ERG), Mrs May triggered A50 prematurely, without impact assessments and, crucially, without agreement in her party as to what form #Brexit should take, let alone a plan.

/3.
Read 20 tweets
“All the reasons I am now getting involved in campaigning for a vote on the #Brexit deal with the hope to stop Brexit.” @fiocca1983 in @PMPmagToday. @RemainerNow #PeoplesVote @PeoplesVote_UK vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/2018/08/21/i-v…
“Growing up, my family were always going on about how #immigrants are to blame for many things wrong in this country. I took on those views, I was conditioned to think them” @fiocca1983 says in @PMPmagToday @RemainerNow #Brexit #PeoplesVote @PeoplesVote_UK vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/2018/08/21/i-v…
In 2016 @fiocca1983 thought “We don’t need #EU to trade, we can do deals with the rest of the world instead. 2 weeks to get #Doctor’s appointment! Less #immigrants would make that faster for sure!” He tells @PMPmagToday @RemainerNow #Brexit @PeoplesVote_UK vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/2018/08/21/i-v…
Read 11 tweets
As we are back in campaigning mode with #Leave on the back foot, what is the most important thing we have learned since #EURef2016 that means we should #StopBrexit?
- That #Brexit will leave us worse off in every scenario?
- That the Referendum was advisory, not an ‘instruction’ to the Government?
Read 28 tweets
I just heard something that makes me super angry at the fucking scumbag @BorisJohnson

My younger son’s cricket team is run by a lovely man, a 1st generation Pakistani immigrant. He is not well off, but works tirelessly to Coach the boys. His wife wears a head scarf. During
a match yesterday, an opposing boy sledged coach’s son at the crease by saying “I’m going to throw the ball into you mum’s letterbox”. Coach apparently almost in tears with repressed rage. I want #BorisJohnson to FUCK OFF AND LEAVE THIS COUNTRY ALONE
Our liberty, peace and society are NOT playthings for the fat nasty conman’s immoral career ambitions. We need to drive this bastard #BorisJohnson out of our national politics with pitchforks.
Read 5 tweets
1/5 Brexit Britain is in as ugly, bitter & dangerous state as I can ever recall. Political parties, the press, communities & families are hopelessly split &, as this epic summer blazes on, the two sides slump exhausted, like medieval armies plotting the final & decisive battle.
2/5 Someone, perhaps one or all of these politicians or an outsider like Gina Miller or Sadiq Khan, simply HAS to rise up, statesman-like, & make real the #PeoplesVote that is surely our last chance of delivering this country from the fast approaching #Brexit catastrophe.
3/5 They’ll need a persuasive & emotionally engaging vision on why #Europe is a great & civilising influence in our national life & how we can ALL make things better for the millions who felt so alienated by it that they were easy meat for the #Leave sharks in the first place.
Read 5 tweets
1 fois encore, les menaces et intimidations du président #Trump sur Theresa #May à propos du #Brexit rappellent qu'il est dépositaire d'1 projet idéologique cohérent, à la fois nationaliste et mercantiliste, soutenu et déployé par le milliardaire US Robert #Mercer... #thread
2) Au coeur de l'interview au #Sun du président US #Trump, on retrouve en effet les piliers de sa doctrine politique: le peuple, ici britannique, vs des élites qui trahiraient le vote du #Brexit, la volonté de démanteler les bureaucraties étatiques ou supra-étatiques type UE...
3)...et la menace de #Trump à #May sur 1 accord commercial des #EtatsUnis avec l'#UE en cas de #Brexit doux démontre l'approche mercantiliste"bilatérale"où les partenaires US sont mis en concurrence et amenés à se soumettre par la position dominante US. washingtonpost.com/world/europe/i…
Read 22 tweets
Blocking accounts (trolls & bots) thread
A lot of #remain ers don't really understand the situation they are facing on Twitter, they see an online debate where #Leave and #Remain put their points forward and whoever has the best logic wins.

1/n

#stopbrexit #FBPE #PeoplesVote
That isn't what's happening. At this point #Leave (left or right) don't need to convince people of anything, they don't need to win debates.

All they need to do to win is to stop #Remain from reaching people and the tactics they are using are designed to do that.

2/n
Those tactics are to distract, discredit & disrupt Remain attempts to convince people.

They use name calling & insults. This is to discredit #Remain.

Also they hope to goad Remainers into an emotional response so they appear overly motivated and therefore less convincing.
3/n
Read 9 tweets

Related hashtags

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just three indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3.00/month or $30.00/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!