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Rick Rieder
@RickRieder
As my colleague Bob Miller recently pointed out, while the #Fed’s policy rate hike pause has received all the attention of late, the #FOMC Minutes released this week make it clear that the balance sheet discussion will be the next big thing for markets to focus on.
Indeed, the fact that the #FOMC spent three consecutive #policy meetings discussing the balance sheet in detail is telling, and we expect to see Chair Powell provide Congress with approximate numbers and rough timing for an end to balance sheet reduction during Feb 26 testimony.
The week after that we’ll pay close attention to nonfarm #payrolls, which have been very strong, in contrast to other #economic data points. In particular, in coming months we’ll be curious to see if the labor force participation rate (LFPR) continues rising.
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#payrolls #FOMC #policy #Fed #economic #LFPR

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