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2022 #Midterms Simulation: #ArtoftheGerrymander

A Republican House win will be built on gerrymanders (TX/GA/FL/TN/LA, etc.)

To illustrate the need for fair maps, I'm calculating the results using the 2022 votes, but if every state had a Democratic gerrymander. #ElectionTwitter ImageImageImageImage
Methodology:

I’ll apply the difference in Presidential margin to the House result. Thanks @davesredist @mikemathieu @vest_team + @DKElections @PoliticsWolf

Keen to see how my maps perform over the decade; tried to comply with state law if partisan intent were allowed to stand.
#ArtoftheGerrymander: #Alabama
Trump 62.0% - Biden 36.6%
Real delegation: 6R-1D
Gerrymandered: 5R-2D
Δ Share of D seats: 14% => 28%
Easy Democratic pick-up of a safe new African American seat.
davesredistricting.org/join/ff857256-… ImageImageImage
Read 111 tweets
NEW: @JakeAuch, a US Marine veteran and current Newton City Councilor, has narrowly won the crowded Democratic primary to replace @joekennedy in #MA04, @DecisionDeskHQ projects, narrowly defeating former Brookline select board member @jessemermell businessinsider.com/massachusetts-… Image
Auchincloss is all-but-assured to go on to win the general election in this safely Democratic district, which voted for Hillary Clinton by over 24 points in 2016, against GOP nominee Julie Hall. #MA04 includes some suburbs around Boston & stretches down to the South Coast region
Auchincloss performed particularly well in the South Coast region. He was backed by VoteVets, the With Honor Fund, a slew of local elected officials and groups including the mayors of New Bedford and Fall River, and secured the endorsement of the Boston Globe editorial board
Read 4 tweets
It's primary election day in Massachusetts where Democratic Senator Ed Markey is being challenged by Rep. Joe Kennedy III.
16th term #MA01 Rep. Richard Neal, Ways & Means Chair & endorsed by Speaker Pelosi, faces Democratic primary challenger Alex Morse, supported by Ocasio-Cortez and progressive Justice Democrats who helped 3 Democratic primary opponents defeat Reps Clay, Engel & Lipinski this year.
It's open #MA04 House race today with Democratic Rep. Joe Kennedy III running for US Senate instead of a 5th House term.
Read 7 tweets
‼️PROGRESSIVES‼️

We must remember down-ballot candidates.

This is a list of progressive/leftist congressional candidates endorsed by at least one of these groups:

@BrandNew535
@BoldProgressive
@justicedems
@pdamerica
@RoseCaucus

#UniteLeft
#Progress2020
Please remember:

⚠️STATE CANDIDATE PRIMARIES MAY BE ON DIFFERENT DATES THAN THE PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY⚠️

Double check your registration at least 1 MONTH 🗓 before any election you plant to vote in.

Also, endorsements are an ongoing process
Some races have 2 different candidates endorsed by different groups, so they’re both listed.

Legend:
📖➡️ platform/issues link
💵➡️ donation link

If the pinned tweet is related to their campaign, I included it.

Now, onto the (long) list.
Read 83 tweets
Hey #Massachusetts #MA
You need to register by October 17th to be able to vote in #Midterms2018 on NOVEMBER 6.
THREAD of all your Democratic Candidates with twitter & websites.
And VOTER INFO with all the Links you need!
#MA01 #MA02 #MA03 #MA04 #MA05 #MA06 #MA07 #MA08 #MA09
VOTER REGISTRATION in #MASSACHUSETTS #MA
Register Online here: sec.state.ma.us/OVR/Pages/Chec…
Check Registration here: sec.state.ma.us/VoterRegistrat…
Find Polling Place
sec.state.ma.us/wheredoivotema…
Application: sec.state.ma.us/ele/eleifv/how…
Send to Local Election Officials: sec.state.ma.us/ele/eleclk/clk…
Democratic Candidate for SENATOR for #Massachusetts
#MA01 #MA02 #MA03 #MA04 #MA05 #MA06 #MA07 #MA08 #MA09

DEM Incumbent
Elizabeth Warren
elizabethwarren.com
@elizabethforma

vs Geoff Diehl
#VoteBlueMA
VOTE November 6, 2018
Early Voting: Oct 22 - Nov 2
Read 20 tweets
Hey #MASSACHUSETTS!
You need to register by AUGUST 15 to vote in your SEPTEMBER 4 #PrimaryElection #PRIMARIES
Here's a THREAD of All the Democratic Candidates.
CHOOSE & VOTE!
#MA01 #MA02 #MA03 #MA04 #MA05 #MA06 #MA07 #MA08 #MA09
VOTER REGISTRATION in #MASSACHUSETTS
Register Online here: sec.state.ma.us/OVR/Pages/Chec…
Check Registration here: sec.state.ma.us/VoterRegistrat…
Find Polling Place
sec.state.ma.us/wheredoivotema…
Application: sec.state.ma.us/ele/eleifv/how…
Send to Local Election Officials: sec.state.ma.us/ele/eleclk/clk…

THREAD
Democratic Candidates for #MASSACHUSETTS #MA01
DEM Incumbent Richard Neal
nealforcongress.com

Tahirah Amatul-Wadud
tahirahforcongress.com
@TahirahCongress

VOTE September 4, 2018
#PrimaryElection #Primaries
Read 20 tweets

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