Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #mcmPanicEuphoiraIndex

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lets start with forward looking charts

I have been posting $BDI for quite sometime...and as you can see it has been an exceptional forward cue on changes in direction for $SPX - its not great for scale of move but rather TIME...

Trouble starts in Q2 based on this /1
have been presuming $SPX would left translate to the $VOL projections on this chart...but getting increased less optimistic about Jan/Feb left translation...

UNTRANSLATED this points to April/May/June - lets just call it mid May...which is essentially same thing $BDI implies /2
have to finish #mcmPanicEuphoiraIndex array chart BUT we have new 5 year highs in these emotional tools

AS YOU KNOW I RIGHTLY SUGGESTED in NOV...multi-year highs increase time/effort to balance NOW WE HAVE NEW CONFIRMATIONS - very skeptical of a quick topping process $SPX /3
Read 66 tweets

lets get this going - will be adding to this over the evening

Gee - someone is pretty bearish #putcalls

NOT ONLY that #CNBS is warning of a #blackswan because of their concerns about put option activity

AAII Bulls are still amazingly tepid... /2
on the shorter-term AAII Bulls are starting to reach a more elevated level BUT this is still low vs history /3
Read 67 tweets

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