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Sunday evening #sNOw update:
Continuing the trend from this morning, today's model data has not been encouraging for snow lovers. In fact with high-res (3km hourly) model data now within range, the path for snow accumulation seems to now be south of the metro in north/central MS.
Continuing the trend from this morning, today's model data has not been encouraging for snow lovers. In fact with high-res (3km hourly) model data now within range, the path for snow accumulation seems to now be south of the metro in north/central MS.
The main culprit for this southward shift is the further intrusion of dry air into the I-40 corridor, as mentioned could happen in Saturday's blog. Here's the NAM3 model showing moisture anomaly (green is not rain, but above normal moisture where accumulation is most likely).
Bottom line: some light snow or flurries are possible in the metro from around dawn until lunchtime, but I would be surprised to see accumulation, other than a dusting on exposed objects/bare ground in the immediate metro. Winter is not over. Don't lose hope. #memsNOw
Sunday AM Snow Update: latest models continue to show minor amounts (1/2" or less) of snow on Monday.
When? Dawn-ish through early afternoon. Temps: 31-36.
NWS impact forecast has lowered from "minor" to "limited" impacts. #memsnow
When? Dawn-ish through early afternoon. Temps: 31-36.
NWS impact forecast has lowered from "minor" to "limited" impacts. #memsnow
Overnight and early AM models/ensembles range from 0.1"-0.8", almost all < 0.5". Highest chances for more than this are SOUTH of the metro (central MS could get 1-2"). Less to our north. #memsnow
Here's the probability of 1"+ of snow with 95% confidence (meaning there's only a 5% chance of 1" outside of the lightest green). Notice the metro is not within this area. Doesn't mean we won't get a dusting or light accumulation, but 1" is highly unlikely. #memsnow
