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1🧵Thoughts on the timing of Covid-19.
Key points to note:
First, the extraordinary stability of CoV-2 during 2020
Second, a lot can be explained if CoV-2 in Wuhan mutated to become more TRANSMISSIBLE in Oct/Nov 2019 (rather like Omicron)
Key points to note:
First, the extraordinary stability of CoV-2 during 2020
Second, a lot can be explained if CoV-2 in Wuhan mutated to become more TRANSMISSIBLE in Oct/Nov 2019 (rather like Omicron)
2/ As @mattwridley and @Ayjchan point out in their excellent #OriginOfCovid book, this may well have started with the authorities in Wuhan deciding to cover up a small local problem.
3/ How might events have unfolded?
Covid-19 started with either a lab-leak or a zoonotic spill-over. But when?
CoV-2 was extraordinarily stable from Jan 2020 to the arrival of Alpha in Nov 2020.
Covid-19 started with either a lab-leak or a zoonotic spill-over. But when?
CoV-2 was extraordinarily stable from Jan 2020 to the arrival of Alpha in Nov 2020.
