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2022 #Midterms Simulation: #ArtoftheGerrymander

A Republican House win will be built on gerrymanders (TX/GA/FL/TN/LA, etc.)

To illustrate the need for fair maps, I'm calculating the results using the 2022 votes, but if every state had a Democratic gerrymander. #ElectionTwitter ImageImageImageImage
Methodology:

I’ll apply the difference in Presidential margin to the House result. Thanks @davesredist @mikemathieu @vest_team + @DKElections @PoliticsWolf

Keen to see how my maps perform over the decade; tried to comply with state law if partisan intent were allowed to stand.
#ArtoftheGerrymander: #Alabama
Trump 62.0% - Biden 36.6%
Real delegation: 6R-1D
Gerrymandered: 5R-2D
Δ Share of D seats: 14% => 28%
Easy Democratic pick-up of a safe new African American seat.
davesredistricting.org/join/ff857256-… ImageImageImage
Read 111 tweets
NEW List of Dem candidates running for Congress in 2022 against GOP incumbents! Please take a minute and follow them! It’s the least we can do to show our support for the folks who are literally trying to save our democracy! RESISTERS RESIST #VoteThemAllOut2022
@abbybroyles vs Stephanie Bice House #OK05 electoral objector
@adammgentle vs Mario Diaz Balart House #FL25 electoral objector
@AlishaKShelton vs Don Bacon House #NE02
@AndreaRSalinas House #OR06
@AngieNixon vs Scott Franklin House #FL14 electoral objector
@AnnieAndrewsMD vs Nancy Mace House #SC01
@anthonyjtristan vs Michael Cloud House #TX27 electoral objector
@ashley_ehasz vs Brian Fitzpatrick House #PA01
@AramisAyalaFL House #FL10
@atticaforky House #KY03
@baxterstapleton vs Michael Turner House #OH10
Read 38 tweets
Hey #MISSOURI!
Here’s a THREAD all your Democratic Candidates for #Midterms2018!
with Photos, Twitter & Websites.
AND Voter Info links to Registration, Absentee, Voter ID, Poll Worker
VOTE NOVEMBER 6, 2018!
#MO01 #MO02 #MO03 #MO04 #MO05 #MO06 #MO07 #MO08
#VoteBlueMO #VoteBlue
VOTER REGISTRATION in #Missouri
Where to Vote: voteroutreach.sos.mo.gov/PRD/VoterOutre…
Application here: s1.sos.mo.gov/votemissouri/r…
Request an application be mailed to you here: s1.sos.mo.gov/elections/goVo…
Election authority addresses: sos.mo.gov/elections/goVo…
ElectionComplaints: sos.mo.gov/elections/elec…
Democratic Candidate U.S. SENATOR #Missouri #MO
Dem Incumbent Claire McCaskill
clairemccaskill.com
@McCaskill4MO

vs Josh Hawley
VOTE NOVEMBER 6, 2018!
#MO01 #MO02 #MO03 #MO04 #MO05 #MO06 #MO07 #MO08
#VoteBlueMO #Midterms2018
Read 15 tweets
Hey #Missouri!
#PrimaryElection on AUGUST 7th!
Here's a THREAD of all your Democratic Candidates
and Voter Info
With Photos & Links!
#VoteBlueMO
#MO01 #MO02 #MO03 #MO04 #MO05 #MO06 #MO07 #MO08
Missouri Candidates List
s1.sos.mo.gov/candidatesonwe…
Districts Map: sos.mo.gov/CMSImages/Elec…
Dem Candidates SENATOR #Missouri #MO
Incumbent Claire McCaskill
clairemccaskill.com
@McCaskill4MO
Angelica Earl
teammissouri.net
@AngelicaForMO
David Faust
Travis Gonzalez
travisgonzalezmo.com
John Hogan
Leonard Steinman
Carla "Coffee" Wright
coffeewrightussenate.com
Democratic Candidates #Missouri #MO01

Incumbent Lacy Clay
lacyclay.org
@LacyClayMO1

Cori Bush
votecoribush.com
@CoriBush

Joshua Shipp
gofundme.com/us-congress

VOTE AUGUST 7th!
#VoteBlueMO
Read 16 tweets
According to @ballotpedia, these US House seats have NO DEMOCRATIC challengers.

☑️#AL01
☑️#AL03
☑️#GA14
☑️#ID02
☑️#KS01
☑️#KY05
☑️#LA01
☑️#LA04
☑️#LA05
☑️#MI10
☑️#MS03
☑️#MO03
☑️#NC03
☑️#OH06

Why not?

h/t @PiperPerabo
#SaturdayMorning
#AMJoy
I refuse to believe that all of those districts are hopeless.

There are two brave women (@GwenCombs and @HaydenShamel) running in the deepest red Arkansas districts.
AR has 4 house seats.
They are all red.
#SaturdayMorning
#AMJoy
These Dem candidates may be long shots to win those red seats.
So what?
It's not always about winning.
Sometimes, it's just about changing hearts and minds, even if it's just a few, so next election, they might vote blue.
#SaturdayMorning
#AMJoy
Read 5 tweets

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