Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #mtal

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Wow. The death of the Legal Marijuana Now Party candidate in #MN02 is invalidating the Nov. 3 election in that district, & means there's going to be a special election in February.

This is a Dem-held seat (since 2018) that the GOP is targeting.
Um, indeed: If #MN02 has to be vacant thru January, it gives GOP a decent shot to actually take over MN's House delegation (if they flip #MN07) which would mean MN casts its vote for Trump in the event of an electoral college tie.
This means: Dem Rep. Collin Peterson's re-election bid in #MN07 (rated a toss-up by @CookPolitical) suddenly could be potentially decisive if this were to go to an EC tie.

(Dems would *also* need an idiosyncratic upset in either #MTAL or #AKAL, and more, for this to matter.)
Read 3 tweets
This is great: mcimaps.com/what-if-the-el…

If electoral college ties, Trump is heavily favored. But Dems have outside shot at getting House to deadlock.

How?

1) hold now-Dem/tied delegations, plus
2) TWO of following:
—flip #MTAL
—flip #AKAL
—net 1 in FL
—net 1 in KS
—net 5 in TX
The biggest problem for Biden revealed by @mcimaps's analysis isn't that the conditions outlined there are impossible. Rather, it's that they're especially implausible in a world in which Trump does well enough to tie the electoral college.
If all those conditions still happened to be fulfilled, then Senate would be voting for a VP who may be elevated to the presidency -- & that's the *next* Senate voting with the *current* vice-president's tie-breaking vote. (And 50/50 does seem a plausible result for Nov. 3.)
Read 3 tweets
19% of precincts reporting (all in Luzerne County) in #PA08 GOP primary to take on Dem Rep. Matt Cartwright. Former Trump admin official Jim Bognet leads 43-19
16% of precincts reporting in #PA01 Dem primary to take on Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick, and Christina Finello leads 76-24. She became front runner after a better-funded opponent dropped out after filing deadline
48% of precincts reporting in #IN05 primaries. On Dem side, Christina Hale's lead has expanded to 39-27. For GOP, Victoria Spartz still up 39-19
Read 62 tweets
Here is your 🚨 Super Junesday mega-thread🚨 with all the races @businessinsider covering today with results from our friends at @DecisionDeskHQ. Here’s our main post with a presidential primary map and links to the down-ballot races we’re watching:
businessinsider.com/june-2-preside…
First, there’s the Democratic primary for #IASen, where DSCC-backed Theresa Greenfield is facing Mike Franken, Eddie Mauro, and Kimberly Graham to run against GOP Sen. Joni Ernst. If no candidate gets >35% of the vote, the race goes to a party convention businessinsider.com/iowa-senate-de…
The most-watched House primary today is in #IA04, where embattled GOP Rep. Steve King — after losing his committee assignments and being largely shunned by his party — is facing a well-funded primary challenge from GOP State Sen. Randy Feenstra businessinsider.com/steve-king-vs-…
Read 10 tweets
THREAD

Q2 Fundraising is over, and Democrats did a great job!

But I was chatting with @ybbkaren and an interesting question came up:

With SO MANY great candidates, how do we decide who needs donations the most? Many are worthy, but our personal funds are not unlimited.
So I came up with an idea for my own list of Dems who need $$$ based upon the following criteria:

*They have won their primary
*They are trying to flip “swing” GOP-held seats (per @CookPolitical ratings)
*They are behind their GOP opponents in “Cash on Hand” (per @OpenSecretsDC)
That’s not to say that other Democrats in swing districts are not worthy. They are. But the following, from a strategic $$$ perspective, might be the best place to donate *for now*.

This is the list of those House candidates, and their donation links, based on that criteria:
Read 27 tweets
The GOP's silence about ripping children from their parents is deafening.

Guess who *is* stating a clear moral position on this...Your 2018 Democratic swing district nominees. I've threaded their positions below. Please RT and follow all. #FlipEverything. Save America's soul.
Katie Porter - #CA45 @katieporteroc
Kathleen Williams - #MTAL @WilliamsForMT
Read 40 tweets
It's Super Tuesday, & my cheat sheet has ballooned to include 33 important elections: docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…

So here's a quick thread highlighting some (lower-profile) races you should absolutely be paying attention to today!
You know the big ones:
—Will Dems be shut-out in any of the 3 crowded Orange Co districts (#CA39, #CA48, #CA49)?
—Will the GOP be shut out in one/both of California's Senate & Gov race?
What else?
In New Mexico, state Rep. Debbie Rodella is facing a primary challenger in the Democratic primary (Susan Herrera). Rodella has killed progressive legislation, such as automatic voting registration. See: dailykos.com/stories/2018/4…
Read 11 tweets

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