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Updated model (details below). Still to early to estimate the impact of school opening. Current IFR ~ 0.07%. Estimated 50000 (34000 - 72000) <65j and 360 (240 - 540) >65j currently infected, means we're catching between 5% to 10% of infections. #covid19be cc #natconcovid 1/ 
This model is now estimated exclusively on information from deaths, except for the last month where cases are used to better model recent trends. Despite low deaths the model estimates a high number of (young) infected people.
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These are two more model inferences: evolution of test detection rate and total amount having been infected. 3/4
