Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #nationalsecuritystrategy
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Surely every serious national security strategist understands the distinction btwn Govts Geopolitical decisions and th military's detailed scenario planning & action program. A govt can decided on basis of expected value of outcome or worst case scenarios-the latter is paralyzing
2/ns The critical issue in China-India conflict is that,as of now (2020), #China controls the #escalatory ladder. So India's #National #Security Apparatus has to make assumptions about when and how #CCPpla will escalate, if it loses the first few steps on its escalatory ladder!
3/ns The worst case scenario for us is therefore the one in which after loosing previous escalations, #CCP China escalates to a full fledged war/attack on India, by shifting US-facing troops and highest quality equipment towards India. This has proved paralyzing for past Govts!🤔
#NationalSecurityStrategy #Credibility #DualisticTrdPol Bearing costs is the only credible way to signal a change in policy. Higher tariffs & NTBs on imports from China are credible, precisely because they also impose some cost on ourselves. Empty Talk is cheap and non-credible.
2/lad #Ladakh This thread seems credible given the clearer maps: https://t.co/jhJwNGZbFv
2/nss In a #democracy, a #voluntary #private #boycott of #CCPchinaInc organized by #civil #society, can be a powerful instrument, if and when, 100s of 1000s of free people voluntarily bear the higher cost of not buying cheap chinese goods. 👍🏼👍🏼👍🏼
Trump just can't let it go: "We will attempt to build a great partnership with those countries (Russia/China)." #NationalSecurityStrategy
Trump then goes on to talk in great detail about yesterday's call with Putin, CIA tip about St Petersburg attack. "That's the way it's supposed to work, that's the way it's supposed to work."
Anybody who was still wondering if all of the tough talk about Russia in the #NationalSecurityStrategy aligns with Trump's own thinking just got their answer
