Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #naturalexperiments

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What is the epidemiological impact of a #falsenegative #COVID test? An important question in a high vaxx/low NPI context, but one that cannot be studied in a experiment for obvious reasons. Enter the UK, a reliable supplier of #naturalexperiments. 🧵⬇️
➡️bit.ly/3DhqQv5 Image
On Oct 15, @UKHSA suspended an #Immensa lab, because of community reports of neg PCR tests following a pos lateral flow. There was loads of excellent reporting e.g. by @rowenamason @tomjs @JamieGrierson. NHS TT estimates that 43,000 individuals may have been given a .. 2/N ImageImage
false negative result most concentrated in South West of England. Even across all of England, a notable increase in both absolute # and relative % of PCR tests matched to a positive LFD tests producing a negative result from early Sept to early Oct 3/N Image
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