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1/26 Texas C19 Update: Here comes the Hospitalization Peak
THREAD:
* Testing metrics peaked between 1/10 & 1/14 and are declining fast as of 1/16
* Thus, Cases reported this week are falling off a cliff
* Hospitalization peak should be 1/26 as I predicted 2 weeks ago?!!!
1/n
THREAD:
* Testing metrics peaked between 1/10 & 1/14 and are declining fast as of 1/16
* Thus, Cases reported this week are falling off a cliff
* Hospitalization peak should be 1/26 as I predicted 2 weeks ago?!!!
1/n
1/26 Testing
Tests filed by date specimen collected < 8 days old is incomplete
As of 1/16:
* Pos% declines to 32.71%
* Testing peaked 1/10
* Positive tests peaked 1/12
* Positivity Rate peaked 1/14
* Decline steepening as of 1/16, which is now showing in cases
.
2/n
Tests filed by date specimen collected < 8 days old is incomplete
As of 1/16:
* Pos% declines to 32.71%
* Testing peaked 1/10
* Positive tests peaked 1/12
* Positivity Rate peaked 1/14
* Decline steepening as of 1/16, which is now showing in cases
.
2/n
1/26 - Cases
* Case 7DMA now in a precipitous drop, down to 41K. Confident in saying Case peak was 1/17
* 7DMA rate of decline now at 18%
* Going back to testing @ 1/16 and comparing to reported cases through that date, conversion % indicates Case peak as well
* #ovah
.
3/n
* Case 7DMA now in a precipitous drop, down to 41K. Confident in saying Case peak was 1/17
* 7DMA rate of decline now at 18%
* Going back to testing @ 1/16 and comparing to reported cases through that date, conversion % indicates Case peak as well
* #ovah
.
3/n
