Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #newstart
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＞セルゲイ・リャブコフ副首相のコメルサントの質問に対する回答です🎙
米国が新START条約を復活させることに真の関心があるのなら、ロシアの安全保障上の利益を考慮する以外に選択肢はないことを認識しなければならない。
全文を読む: is.gd/QBdg4k
米国が新START条約を復活させることに真の関心があるのなら、ロシアの安全保障上の利益を考慮する以外に選択肢はないことを認識しなければならない。
全文を読む: is.gd/QBdg4k
セルゲイ・リャブコフ外務副大臣の #NewSTART 条約に関するコメルサント紙の質問に対する回答 🎙。
❓質問:国務省は、ロシアが新START条約への参加を停止する動きは法的に無効であると述べた。
この声明について、外務省のコメントはどうなるのか。
❓質問:国務省は、ロシアが新START条約への参加を停止する動きは法的に無効であると述べた。
この声明について、外務省のコメントはどうなるのか。
我々は、この種のメディアによる流用を、ロシアに新STARTの枠組みを復活させ、米国が何の障害もなく戦略兵器を監視する能力を保持することを確実にするために行われたワシントンの政治宣伝キャンペーンの一環と見ている。
私たちは、何度も私たちの法的根拠を詳しく述べてきた。
私たちは、何度も私たちの法的根拠を詳しく述べてきた。
Russia's suspension of #NewSTART, 🇸🇪 & 🇫🇮 role for nuclear disarmament, prospects for US-Russian-Chinese cooperation & Iran’s uranium enrichment: our #STAND team's regular thread on recent news and analyses to #underSTAND #nuclear #deterrence and #threats (no endorsement).(1/9) 
Putin’s announcement to suspend Russia’s🇷🇺 participation in the #NewSTART treaty may signal the end to formal #arms #control (bit.ly/3EpGB5J). @WarOnTheRocks, @HannaNotte argues that the US should use all means to reverse Russia’s decision (bit.ly/3IMc6tm).(2/9)
Also @WarOnTheRocks, @ProfOnderco and Clara Portela discuss the consequences of NATO’s Nordic enlargement on Swedish🇸🇪 and Finnish🇫🇮 bridge-building in the field of #nuclear #disarmament (bit.ly/3xKtg41). Joining NATO could impede their role as mediators.(3/9)
Last yr #UkraineWar became the organizing principle of Russian foreign policy
➡️7 trends
1 Full turn to non-West
2 China’s junior partner
3 Less leverage vis middle powers
4 Struggle in the neighbourhood
5 Russia MFA sidelined
6 Wagner normalized
7 End of compartmentalization
🧵
➡️7 trends
1 Full turn to non-West
2 China’s junior partner
3 Less leverage vis middle powers
4 Struggle in the neighbourhood
5 Russia MFA sidelined
6 Wagner normalized
7 End of compartmentalization
🧵
1. Full turn to the non-West:
Judging its break with the West to be total & irreversible, Russia's leadership has intensified its (pre-existing) turn to #MENA, #Africa, #LATAM, #Asia-Pacific.
Shunned & sanctioned, Russia needs to make up for losses wherever it can... (2/22)
Judging its break with the West to be total & irreversible, Russia's leadership has intensified its (pre-existing) turn to #MENA, #Africa, #LATAM, #Asia-Pacific.
Shunned & sanctioned, Russia needs to make up for losses wherever it can... (2/22)
This year, Lavrov already visited 8 African states, Iraq, & hosted Pakistani & Egyptian FMs.
Russia's push to expand engagement does resonate.
Last spring, #MENA states for instance refused to take the West’s side vs Russia - for complex reasons: docs.house.gov/meetings/FA/FA… (3/22)
Russia's push to expand engagement does resonate.
Last spring, #MENA states for instance refused to take the West’s side vs Russia - for complex reasons: docs.house.gov/meetings/FA/FA… (3/22)
Aus #Putin|s großer Rede über den Krieg in der #Ukraine Live: Russland sei offen für einen konstruktiven Dialog mit dem Westen und biete seit vielen Jahren an, an einem gemeinsamen Sicherheitssystem zu arbeiten. Nach dem Leak zu #Belarus fällt ihm nichts anderes ein....
2/x #Putin: Wir verteidigen unsere Heimat und das Leben der Menschen, und das Ziel des Westens ist unbegrenzte Macht. Sie haben den Geist aus der Flasche gelassen, ganze Regionen ins Chaos gestürzt ...
3/x Putin: "Auf einer kürzlichen Konferenz in #München gab es endlose Anschuldigungen gegen Russland, es gab das Gefühl, dass sie wegschauen wollen von dem, was die Vereinigten Staaten in den letzten 10 Jahren getan haben,
🇷🇺🔥🇺🇦 #Rusia Vs #Ucrania - Día 363 - Iniciamos #hilo sobre la #GuerraEnUcrania.
🟥 En el siguiente vídeo se puede ver cómo un cuadricóptero ucraniano alcanza un carro de combate T-80BV ruso (seguramente ya fuera de servicio) con una granada de 40mm.
🟥 #RETWEEETMEPLEASE 🙏
🟥 En el siguiente vídeo se puede ver cómo un cuadricóptero ucraniano alcanza un carro de combate T-80BV ruso (seguramente ya fuera de servicio) con una granada de 40mm.
🟥 #RETWEEETMEPLEASE 🙏
🇷🇺🔥🇺🇦 #Rusia Vs #Ucrania - Día 363 - Este es, para quien no lo haya leído, nuestro informe diario sobre la #GuerraEnUcrania correspondiente a la jornada de ayer, lunes 20 de febrero de 2023 ⬇️
revistaejercitos.com/2023/02/20/gue…
revistaejercitos.com/2023/02/20/gue…
🇷🇺🔥🇺🇦 #Rusia Vs #Ucrania - Día 362 - En unos minutos empezará el esperado acto en el que #Putin ofrecerá si discurso sobre el estado de la Nación. Como dice @mrsahuquillo se espera que sea más beligerante ⬇️
A French nuclear umbrella, tensions over New START, proliferation risks in the Middle East, deterrence in Asia, & emotions in nuclear brinkmanship: our #STAND team's regular thread on recent news and analyses to #underSTAND #nuclear #deterrence and #threats (no endorsement).(1/8)
Calls for a 🇫🇷French #nuclear umbrella for Europe have multiplied in recent months. While this is not a feasible idea, Paris could take steps to strengthen Europe’s deterrence, assess #STAND’s @lydiawachs & @liviuhorovitz in a new SWP Comment (GER).(2/8)bit.ly/3HhxQLC
The 🇺🇸Biden admin found 🇷🇺Russia to be in noncompliance with its #NewSTART treaty obligation to facilitate inspections 👉bit.ly/3HPKOl4. See the full US report 👉bit.ly/3HtfQxL & the threads by @james_acton32 for background 👉 bit.ly/3X3t8XS.(3/8)
At Conference of Disarmament in Geneva yday, #Russia slightly more conciliatory on #NewSTART:
-"Important" that treaty continues to operate
-This fact means its parties "share an understanding of the risks emanating from a situation of strategic uncertainty and unpredictability"
-"Important" that treaty continues to operate
-This fact means its parties "share an understanding of the risks emanating from a situation of strategic uncertainty and unpredictability"
-#NewSTART "keeps a window of opportunity open" for continued dialogue on strategic stability, with a focus on developing a possible agreement to replace it.
-US-RUS understandings reached in Geneva (2021) "retain the potential for the resumption and development of a comprehensive and substantive dialogue on future arms control, incl. involving all key players."
#BREAKING
#UnitedNations issues public guidance for Monday:
• #UN General Assembly Emergency Special Session re: #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine at 10a Eastern
#Putin #Zelensky
#UnitedNations issues public guidance for Monday:
• #UN General Assembly Emergency Special Session re: #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine at 10a Eastern
#Putin #Zelensky
NEW
US State Dept issues readout of Sec State #AntonyBlinken's meeting today in #PhnomPenh, #Cambodia, with #Ukraine's foreign minister, Dmytro #Kuleba.
#Russia
US State Dept issues readout of Sec State #AntonyBlinken's meeting today in #PhnomPenh, #Cambodia, with #Ukraine's foreign minister, Dmytro #Kuleba.
#Russia
#BREAKING
WH issues stmt from US Nat'l Security Advisor #JakeSullivan re: #Russia's new missile strikes in #Ukraine:
"The [US] & our allies and partners will continue to provide Ukraine w/ what it needs to defend itself. ... We will stand w/ Ukraine for as long as it takes."
WH issues stmt from US Nat'l Security Advisor #JakeSullivan re: #Russia's new missile strikes in #Ukraine:
"The [US] & our allies and partners will continue to provide Ukraine w/ what it needs to defend itself. ... We will stand w/ Ukraine for as long as it takes."
A la @laBnF, début de la table ronde organisée par @FRS_org sur la guerre en #Ukraine avec Xavier Pasco, @IFacon, @BrunoTertrais, @AntoineBondaz, @VincentTourret, Emmanuelle Maitre, Elisande Nexon & Carole André-Dessornes. A suivre sur youtube #UkraineWar
#UkraineWar Pour @IFacon de @FRS_org, un putsch de l'armée russe contre #VladimirPoutine est peu probable #UkraineWar
Deuxième intervention avec @VincentTourret, chargé de recherche à la @FRS_org, qui dresse un premier de la campagne militaire russe #Ukraine #UkraineWar
Unbelievable, we have #NewSTART figures on the MFA website: mid.ru/web/guest/maps…
...as well as traditional concerns on 56 Trident-II launch tubes, 41 'non-nuclear' B-52H heavy bombers and 4 MM-III "training silos". So +101 deployed and non-deployed launchers.
...as well as traditional concerns on 56 Trident-II launch tubes, 41 'non-nuclear' B-52H heavy bombers and 4 MM-III "training silos". So +101 deployed and non-deployed launchers.
I hope that over the next five years we'll see such releases on a regular basis, and those will become more Russia-focused.
And, of course, the US should be proactive regarding Russian concerns with #NewSTART implementation.
"Strategic deterrence ... if that fails, nothing else in the department of Defense works as planned" @US_Stratcom Commander Adm Charles Richard tells Senate Armed Services Committee, warning of danger from nuclear #Russia & #China
#China "at some kind of an inflection point... well ahead of the pace to double their [nuclear] stockpile by the end of the decade" per @US_Stratcom's Adm Charles
"In the very near term China will possess a credible nuclear triad"
"In the very near term China will possess a credible nuclear triad"
"#Russia remains the pacing nuclear threat" warns @US_Stratcom's Adm Charles, saying #Moscow's nuclear modernization is 80% complete, while the US is still at zero
HAPPENING NOW: @POTUS talks #Russia after slapping #Moscow with what US officials described as sweeping sanctions for a variety of malign activities
Behold, the instrument of #NewSTART extension overcoming the ratification in Russia timeframe issues : docs.cntd.ru/document/57319…
An "'international protocol" extending the Agreement on ballistic missile and space launch vehicles launch notifications between Russia and China.
An "'international protocol" extending the Agreement on ballistic missile and space launch vehicles launch notifications between Russia and China.
"This Protocol shall be temporarily applied from December 15, 2020 and shall enter into force on the day of receipt through diplomatic channels of the last written notification of the implementation by the Parties of the domestic procedures necessary for its entry into force."
BTW so far I haven't managed to find the relevant ratification documents on the Duma website.
A number of useful public statements both from @USArmsControl Billingslea and @mfa_russia Ryabkov to prepare the ground Vienna event released, so let's make a thread!
1/
1/
For @NAR Billigslea was pretty clear that curently the US beign open to sort things out with Russia and thus prepare a framework for Chinese involvement: asia.nikkei.com/Editor-s-Picks…
And #NewSTART can be extended!:)
2/
And #NewSTART can be extended!:)
2/
This one is even better: asia.nikkei.com/Editor-s-Picks…:
B. pointed to a midrange, non-nuclear, ground-launched cruise missile under development..this weapon is "exactly the kind of defensive capability that countries such as Japan will want and will need for the future"
3/
B. pointed to a midrange, non-nuclear, ground-launched cruise missile under development..this weapon is "exactly the kind of defensive capability that countries such as Japan will want and will need for the future"
3/
New op-ed in @nytimes on the extension of #NewSTART and US/RUS #StrategicStability talks. James H. Anderson, Acting Under Secretary of Defense for Policy: nytimes.com/2020/07/29/opi…
"Increased U.S. nuclear force requirements to ensure credible deterrence against China would affect the United States-Russia strategic nuclear balance and threaten to undermine the prospects for further negotiated reductions."
"These talks need not focus on making China part of an extended New Start agreement. But renewing the treaty for the United States and Russia without conditions for bringing China into a broader arms control process carries risks for future security [...]".
Putin-Trump phone call today: kremlin.ru/events/preside…
BIG emphasis on strategic stability and arms control. Bilateral consultations, #NewSTART, P5 summit, Iranian nuclear programm, regional stability, global nuclear non-proliferation.
Expect a readout in English soon.
BIG emphasis on strategic stability and arms control. Bilateral consultations, #NewSTART, P5 summit, Iranian nuclear programm, regional stability, global nuclear non-proliferation.
Expect a readout in English soon.
"President Trump reiterated his hope of avoiding an expensive three-way arms race between China, Russia, and the United States and looked forward to progress on upcoming arms control negotiations in Vienna."
publicpool.kinja.com/subject-in-tow…
publicpool.kinja.com/subject-in-tow…
Official English translation of the Kremlin readout of the latest Putin-Trump call: en.kremlin.ru/events/preside…
Good interview about SS-25 with an expert, who has real knowledge of this weapon both as a practitioner (14 MD) and a researcher (4 TsNII).
...apart from the point about Barguzin, of course. Rail-mobile systems have no added value.
profile.ru/military/poche…
profile.ru/military/poche…
"...The US have always relied on the first disarming strike, for which they intended to use SLBMs, and later added non-nuclear precision weapons to this mission..."
Said a few words to @Vedomosti about #NewSTART future after Lavrov said that there seems to be no such future. (@sandrermakoff weighed in as well).
vedomosti.ru/newspaper/arti…
vedomosti.ru/newspaper/arti…
My point is that both Trump admin still can extend it, and if Biden wins, there's a chance that they will not extend. And China does not need extra obligations at the moment, but they are quite active in P5, discussing nuclear risk reduction, etc.
People at @tass_agency press review helpfully provided a brief translation of comments by me and @sandrermakoff for @Vedomosti on #NewSTART extension: tass.com/pressreview/11…
Ryabkov on Vienna talks:
- agreed to establish a working group on Space
- positive atmosphere, sides ready to move forward
- experts of strategic stability working group (?) to meet in mid-July
- next round in late July/early August
- disagreements on #NewSTART extension remain
- agreed to establish a working group on Space
- positive atmosphere, sides ready to move forward
- experts of strategic stability working group (?) to meet in mid-July
- next round in late July/early August
- disagreements on #NewSTART extension remain
Source:
tass.ru/politika/87953…
tass.ru/politika/87953…
Russia keeps delivering nuclear...papers. An epic piece by A.Khlopkov and @AsyaShavrova on how to extend #NewSTART in terms of procedure: globalaffairs.ru/articles/pyat-…
In Russian at the moment, but sure there will be English translation.
Bottom line: it will need 45 days. AT LEAST.
In Russian at the moment, but sure there will be English translation.
Bottom line: it will need 45 days. AT LEAST.
B-1B as an illustration is a very bad idea though.
Now replaced with Yars TEL, just in case:)
The Community Affairs References Committee releases their report into the Adequacy of #Newstart today.
The senate referred this in July last year and heard evidence from from well respected institutions and think tanks & most importantly income support recipients themselves.
The senate referred this in July last year and heard evidence from from well respected institutions and think tanks & most importantly income support recipients themselves.
The report has now been tabled and the committee has recommended an increase to the #JobSeeker Payment, #YouthAllowance and Parenting Payment rates to ensure people do not live in poverty.
You can read it here: bit.ly/3bP3xuF
You can read it here: bit.ly/3bP3xuF
Thank you to all the community members who gave evidence at the inquiry.
For having the courage to come forward and share your experiences with us.
#Jobseeker #Newstart
For having the courage to come forward and share your experiences with us.
#Jobseeker #Newstart
For many people, #coronavirus means they are navigating the welfare system for the first time. #Centrelink is facing an unprecedented challenge and leaked emails from inside the organisation reveal confusion over new government policies. #abc730 @FarrellPF #COVID19Aus
Amanda Colton applied for #Newstart in January when her casual hours were reduced. “I don't know how many phone calls I've made to #Centrelink. However, I've only spoken to somebody once. And that was after I think waiting for two, two and a half hours.” #abc730 #coronavirus
Amanda Colton’s claim was finally approved after 11 weeks. “You couldn’t say it has achieved the goals #Centrelink is there to achieve, which is to help people as quickly as possible when they're in trouble.” #abc730 #coronavirusaustralia #COVID19Aus
I will be tweeting social welfare stimulus announcements here. #auspol #Covid_19australia
Key announcement: The government has introduced a $550 “time limited” supplement to Jobseeker Payment, Youth Allowance (jobseeker), Parenting Payment and others. #auspol #Covid_19australia
What to make of Trump's support for Putin's proposal for summit of the leaders of Perm 5 members of the UNSC on n-arms control and security issues? What does this mean for #NewSTART, #NPT, and further action on disarmament? Some background & analysis. 1/
A P5 leaders summit on nuclear weapons is a potentially important development. There hasn't been such a mtg since Sept. 2009 when Obama convened UNSC for Resolution 1887. See armscontrol.org/pressroom/2009… This time around real progress is going to be difficult. Some background ... 2/
its important to note that the P5 heads of state summit idea is not a Trump initiative; the WH is responding to an invitation from President Putin sent to the leaders of the P5 members of the UNSC in late-January. Putin spoke about his concept in a speech a few days earlier. 3/
