Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #ny24
Most recents (24)
The #TopMinion phone bank is the unsung hero of 2022
We made over 1,OOO,OOO calls for Republicans around the country, helping our friends win primaries and general elections
While some of them came up short, I'm confident we'll see them soon
Here's who we called for...
(1/xx)
We made over 1,OOO,OOO calls for Republicans around the country, helping our friends win primaries and general elections
While some of them came up short, I'm confident we'll see them soon
Here's who we called for...
(1/xx)
The #TopMinion Phone Bank called all over New York, starting with @claudiatenney in her primary in the new #NY24 district, which she resoundingly won en route to a landslide victory in November
(2/x)
(2/x)
If at first you don't succeed...
@EliseStefanik is a huge supporter of @marcmolinaro, and when her team asked if the #TopMinion Phone Bank could call for him, we did over 5O,OOO calls for him in the #NY19 special
While he came up just short then, he won in November!
(3/xx)
@EliseStefanik is a huge supporter of @marcmolinaro, and when her team asked if the #TopMinion Phone Bank could call for him, we did over 5O,OOO calls for him in the #NY19 special
While he came up just short then, he won in November!
(3/xx)
2022 #Midterms Simulation: #ArtoftheGerrymander
A Republican House win will be built on gerrymanders (TX/GA/FL/TN/LA, etc.)
To illustrate the need for fair maps, I'm calculating the results using the 2022 votes, but if every state had a Democratic gerrymander. #ElectionTwitter
A Republican House win will be built on gerrymanders (TX/GA/FL/TN/LA, etc.)
To illustrate the need for fair maps, I'm calculating the results using the 2022 votes, but if every state had a Democratic gerrymander. #ElectionTwitter
Methodology:
I’ll apply the difference in Presidential margin to the House result. Thanks @davesredist @mikemathieu @vest_team + @DKElections @PoliticsWolf
Keen to see how my maps perform over the decade; tried to comply with state law if partisan intent were allowed to stand.
I’ll apply the difference in Presidential margin to the House result. Thanks @davesredist @mikemathieu @vest_team + @DKElections @PoliticsWolf
Keen to see how my maps perform over the decade; tried to comply with state law if partisan intent were allowed to stand.
#ArtoftheGerrymander: #Alabama
Trump 62.0% - Biden 36.6%
Real delegation: 6R-1D
Gerrymandered: 5R-2D
Δ Share of D seats: 14% => 28%
Easy Democratic pick-up of a safe new African American seat.
davesredistricting.org/join/ff857256-…
Trump 62.0% - Biden 36.6%
Real delegation: 6R-1D
Gerrymandered: 5R-2D
Δ Share of D seats: 14% => 28%
Easy Democratic pick-up of a safe new African American seat.
davesredistricting.org/join/ff857256-…
The AP has called #FL11 GOP primary for Rep. Dan Webster. The longest-serving state legislator in FL history and its first GOP state House speaker since Reconstruction turns back far-right activist Laura Loomer in shockingly tight contest.
Over in GOP primary for open and dark red #OK02, former state Sen. Josh Brecheen leads state Rep. Avery Frix 54.5-45.5. Group affiliated with Club for Growth spent heavily for Brecheen, a former Club fellow.
AP calls #FL13 GOP primary for Trump's candidate, 2020 nominee Anna Paulina Luna. She'll face former DoD official Eric Lynn in seat GOP gerrymandered into 53-46 Trump.
R’s did a nice job of settling quickly on candidates in the winnable Hudson Valley seats: Mike Lawler in 17, Colin Schmitt in 18, and Marc Molinaro in 19.
Watch now for whether higher-profile R’s jump into open 1 and 3 on Long Island. R’s also need a recruit in Katko’s open 22.
Watch now for whether higher-profile R’s jump into open 1 and 3 on Long Island. R’s also need a recruit in Katko’s open 22.
Claudia Tenney also did the GOP a big favor by running in #NY24, which she barely represents. This avoids a needless incumbent faceoff with Jacobs in 23 or a primary with Molinaro in 19. The (likely R) winner of the old #NY23 special will likely be without a chair this fall.
More than anything, she did the GOP a huge favor by not running in a marginal district she’d likely lose in 2024. Notably, she is one of the House Republican Conference’s worst electoral performers.
Here is the DRA link to the proposed changes the Harkenrider Petitioners have submitted to NY Congressional map proposed by Special Master Jonathan Cervas. The proposed changes would have 1 fewer split county be more compact on almost all measures👇
davesredistricting.org/maps#viewmap::…
davesredistricting.org/maps#viewmap::…
The most important proposed changes in the Petitioners map is it undoes the possibly illegal cracking of the Orthodox Jewish community in south Brooklyn & converts the #NY10 "Bill deBlasio Opportunity" district into an Orthodox Jewish opportunity district.
The Harkenrider Petitioners also cleans up the NY Special Master split of Buffalo and draws a much cleaner and more compact #NY24.
Big shakeup in DCCC's House battlefield this AM. The committee named 12 challengers to its "Red to Blue" program, added 3 members to its "Frontline" program, added 8 new GOP/Dem districts to its "In Play" list, and removed 6 GOP-held districts from its target list.
Red to Blue challengers:
#CA22: @RudySalasCA
#CA45: @jfchen
#CO07: @pettersen4co
#IA01: @BohannanIowa
#IA02: @LizMathis1
#IL13: @Nikki4Congress
#MI03: @HillaryScholten
#NM02: @Gabe_NM
#NY01: @VoteJackie4NY
#NY11: @MaxRose4NY
#OH01: @votelandsman
#OH13: @EmiliaSykesOH
#CA22: @RudySalasCA
#CA45: @jfchen
#CO07: @pettersen4co
#IA01: @BohannanIowa
#IA02: @LizMathis1
#IL13: @Nikki4Congress
#MI03: @HillaryScholten
#NM02: @Gabe_NM
#NY01: @VoteJackie4NY
#NY11: @MaxRose4NY
#OH01: @votelandsman
#OH13: @EmiliaSykesOH
NEW List of Dem candidates running for Congress in 2022 against GOP incumbents! Please take a minute and follow them! It’s the least we can do to show our support for the folks who are literally trying to save our democracy! RESISTERS RESIST #VoteThemAllOut2022
@abbybroyles vs Stephanie Bice House #OK05 electoral objector
@adammgentle vs Mario Diaz Balart House #FL25 electoral objector
@AlishaKShelton vs Don Bacon House #NE02
@AndreaRSalinas House #OR06
@AngieNixon vs Scott Franklin House #FL14 electoral objector
@adammgentle vs Mario Diaz Balart House #FL25 electoral objector
@AlishaKShelton vs Don Bacon House #NE02
@AndreaRSalinas House #OR06
@AngieNixon vs Scott Franklin House #FL14 electoral objector
@AnnieAndrewsMD vs Nancy Mace House #SC01
@anthonyjtristan vs Michael Cloud House #TX27 electoral objector
@ashley_ehasz vs Brian Fitzpatrick House #PA01
@AramisAyalaFL House #FL10
@atticaforky House #KY03
@baxterstapleton vs Michael Turner House #OH10
@anthonyjtristan vs Michael Cloud House #TX27 electoral objector
@ashley_ehasz vs Brian Fitzpatrick House #PA01
@AramisAyalaFL House #FL10
@atticaforky House #KY03
@baxterstapleton vs Michael Turner House #OH10
NEW YORK: strategists I've spoken w/ tell me strong census numbers in NYC could help Dems purge as many as *five* of the eight GOP seats in the state.
In the hypothetical below, Dems would gerrymander the current 19D-8R map (left) into as brutal as a 23D-3R rout (right).
In the hypothetical below, Dems would gerrymander the current 19D-8R map (left) into as brutal as a 23D-3R rout (right).
NEW YORK: given what's happening elsewhere in redistricting, it's tough to imagine Dems holding onto the House without aggressively gerrymandering NY (and bypassing the state's new commission).
I basically see two likely scenarios for Dems in NY. A brief thread...
I basically see two likely scenarios for Dems in NY. A brief thread...
New York is poised to lose a seat. But if Dems end up drawing the map, it could be their biggest weapon of the redistricting cycle.
They could merge Stefanik/Tenney (if Tenney's lead holds in #NY22) and severely threaten other Rs, converting a 19D-8R map into 23D-3R (below).
They could merge Stefanik/Tenney (if Tenney's lead holds in #NY22) and severely threaten other Rs, converting a 19D-8R map into 23D-3R (below).
Upstate: under the scenario (above) I've heard floated...
1. #NY27 Jacobs (R) would be axed
2. A safe new Syracuse/Utica #NY22 for Anthony Brindisi (D)
3. A new Ithaca/Kingston district, #NY12, for state Sen. Michelle Hinchey (D)
4. All current Dem incumbents get Biden +10 seats
1. #NY27 Jacobs (R) would be axed
2. A safe new Syracuse/Utica #NY22 for Anthony Brindisi (D)
3. A new Ithaca/Kingston district, #NY12, for state Sen. Michelle Hinchey (D)
4. All current Dem incumbents get Biden +10 seats
One other feature of this play for Upstate: Dems would put Rep. John Katko (R)'s home in Camillus in a Syracuse-less #NY24 (purple), but keep it winnable for themselves in case Katko retires/loses a primary.
Based on a variety of number-crunching sources, esp. @DKElections, it looks like there were at most 16 districts out of 435 that split their tickets between president/House in '20 - likely an all-time low.
For perspective, there were 83 such districts in '08 and 35 in '16.
For perspective, there were 83 such districts in '08 and 35 in '16.
Biden/R districts (9):
#CA21 Valadao
#CA25 Garcia
#CA39 Kim
#CA48 Steel
#FL27 Salazar
#NE02 Bacon
#NY24 Katko
#PA01 Fitzpatrick
#TX24 Van Duyne
Trump/D districts (7/8?):
#IL17 Bustos
#IA03 Axne
#ME02 Golden
#MI08 Slotkin
#NJ03 Kim
#NY22 Brindisi (?)
#PA08 Cartwright
#WI03 Kind
#CA21 Valadao
#CA25 Garcia
#CA39 Kim
#CA48 Steel
#FL27 Salazar
#NE02 Bacon
#NY24 Katko
#PA01 Fitzpatrick
#TX24 Van Duyne
Trump/D districts (7/8?):
#IL17 Bustos
#IA03 Axne
#ME02 Golden
#MI08 Slotkin
#NJ03 Kim
#NY22 Brindisi (?)
#PA08 Cartwright
#WI03 Kind
Correction to first tweet: at most 17, if Brindisi (D) prevails in #NY22. Would still be less than half of the 35 in 2016.
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November 3rd is about more than just getting Trump out of office — it's about rebuilding a better country that works for working people.
Today, I’m proud to throw my support behind 6 candidates who will truly represent our values — not big corporations and special interests. 👇🏿
Today, I’m proud to throw my support behind 6 candidates who will truly represent our values — not big corporations and special interests. 👇🏿
.@dana_balter knows that too many people in this country are sidelined from opportunity, and she knows firsthand what it's like to work paycheck to paycheck.
The people of #NY24 deserve a representative who can carry that perspective and empathy to Washington, and that’s Dana.
The people of #NY24 deserve a representative who can carry that perspective and empathy to Washington, and that’s Dana.
If we are ever going to achieve racial, environmental, and economic justice, we need champions in Congress from every corner of this country. As a fellow nonprofit leader, @karaforcongress shares a deep commitment to serving her community. I look forward to working alongside her.
Help make it happen! Follow and support:
#AR02 @xjelliott
#AZ06 @hiral4congress
#CA25 @ChristyforCA25
#FL16 @GoodforFlorida
#GA07 @Carolyn4GA7
#IL13 @BetsyforIL
#IN05 @HaleIndy
#KS02 @Michelle4Kansas
#MI03 @HillaryScholten
#MN08 @QuinnNystrom
#AR02 @xjelliott
#AZ06 @hiral4congress
#CA25 @ChristyforCA25
#FL16 @GoodforFlorida
#GA07 @Carolyn4GA7
#IL13 @BetsyforIL
#IN05 @HaleIndy
#KS02 @Michelle4Kansas
#MI03 @HillaryScholten
#MN08 @QuinnNystrom
These women can FLIP seats in November:
#MO02 @JillSchupp
#MTAL @WilliamsForMT
#NE02 @karaforcongress
#NY01 @ngoroff
#NY02 @VoteJackie4NY
#NY21 @TedraCobb
#NY24 @dana_balter
#NC02 @DeborahRossNC
#NC06 @KathyManningNC
#NC08 @TimmonsGoodson
#MO02 @JillSchupp
#MTAL @WilliamsForMT
#NE02 @karaforcongress
#NY01 @ngoroff
#NY02 @VoteJackie4NY
#NY21 @TedraCobb
#NY24 @dana_balter
#NC02 @DeborahRossNC
#NC06 @KathyManningNC
#NC08 @TimmonsGoodson
Make sure you’re supporting all of the incredible women who can help EXPAND the House majority:
#OH01 @KateForCongress
#OH10 @TimsDesiree
#PA01 @FinelloForPA
#TX02 @SimaforTX
#TX21 @wendydavis
#TX23 @GinaOrtizJones
#TX24 @candacefor24
#WA03 @ElectLong
#OH01 @KateForCongress
#OH10 @TimsDesiree
#PA01 @FinelloForPA
#TX02 @SimaforTX
#TX21 @wendydavis
#TX23 @GinaOrtizJones
#TX24 @candacefor24
#WA03 @ElectLong
Improved Dave's #Redistricting App brings me joy! (Gratefully anticipating post-2020). @davesredist @mikemathieu #ElectionTwitter 1/27
@PoliticsWolf @ecaliberseven @DKElections @JMilesColeman @SenhorRaposa @Center4Politics @Redistrict @fairvote @jbview
gardow.com/davebradlee/re…
@PoliticsWolf @ecaliberseven @DKElections @JMilesColeman @SenhorRaposa @Center4Politics @Redistrict @fairvote @jbview
gardow.com/davebradlee/re…
Tested it out with this new KY map. Based on 2016-2019 results, intrigued how it would do in 2020. The #KY04 (R+7 PVI) seems more competitive than the real #KY06 (R+9), with the movement in the Cincinnati and Lexington suburbs. 2/27 davesredistricting.org/join/d389d8e2-…
However, I also did a bunch of Democratic gerrymanders after 2012 redistricting to compare with the real Republican ones. Thought I’d review how my designs performed in light of 2016. The contrast shows just how much of a difference partisan control makes (spoiler: a lot). 3/27
This is the weakest answer I have ever heard. If you’re too afraid of Donald Trump, just say so. Otherwise, defend the Constitution.
If you’re not willing to take a stand - what the hell did we send you to Congress for? Do your job or resign today, Congressman. #NY24
If you’re not willing to take a stand - what the hell did we send you to Congress for? Do your job or resign today, Congressman. #NY24
You can help us hasten Katko’s retirement. #KatkoMustGo #NY24
Chip in here: secure.actblue.com/donate/roger-m…
Chip in here: secure.actblue.com/donate/roger-m…
The R's that betrayed us on #InEqualityAct
@SusanWBrooks (#IN05) R+9
@MarioDB (#FL25) R+4
@RepBrianFitz (#PA01) R+1
@HurdOnTheHill (#TX23) R+1
@RepJohnKatko (#NY24) D+3
@RepTomReed (#NY23) R+6
@RepStefanik (#NY21) R+4
@repgregwalden (#OR02) R+11
@RepJenniffer (#PR) Sponsor
@SusanWBrooks (#IN05) R+9
@MarioDB (#FL25) R+4
@RepBrianFitz (#PA01) R+1
@HurdOnTheHill (#TX23) R+1
@RepJohnKatko (#NY24) D+3
@RepTomReed (#NY23) R+6
@RepStefanik (#NY21) R+4
@repgregwalden (#OR02) R+11
@RepJenniffer (#PR) Sponsor
#NewYork, you've got some splainin to do. Three NY R's on this list.
It's critical that three things happen.
1. Stop this insanity in the Senate. Sign petition actright.com/petition/534
2. Tweet these reps your thoughts on their support for #InequalityAct
3. #Primaries
It's critical that three things happen.
1. Stop this insanity in the Senate. Sign petition actright.com/petition/534
2. Tweet these reps your thoughts on their support for #InequalityAct
3. #Primaries
I can't believe that good Republicans won't stand up in these districts to launch primaries. A betrayal of this magnitude requires defeat. It's that simple. And don't try the, "What if you weaken them and a D wins." Nothing worse than an R that betrays core principles.
New York #NY #Midterms2018
THREAD of All Democratic Candidates with Websites, Twitter
& Voter Info Links
#NY01 #NY02 #NY03 #NY04 #NY05 #NY06 #NY07 #NY08 #NY09 #NY10 #NY11 #NY12 #NY13 #NY14 #NY15 #NY16 #NY17 #NY18 #NY19 #NY20 #NY21 #NY22 #NY23 #NY24 #NY25 #NY26 #NY27
#VoteBlueNY
THREAD of All Democratic Candidates with Websites, Twitter
& Voter Info Links
#NY01 #NY02 #NY03 #NY04 #NY05 #NY06 #NY07 #NY08 #NY09 #NY10 #NY11 #NY12 #NY13 #NY14 #NY15 #NY16 #NY17 #NY18 #NY19 #NY20 #NY21 #NY22 #NY23 #NY24 #NY25 #NY26 #NY27
#VoteBlueNY
Democratic Candidate for Governor of New York
Andrew Cuomo
andrewcuomo.com
@andrewcuomo
vs GOP Marc Molinaro
#VoteBlueNY #Midterms2018
VOTE NOVEMBER 6, 2018
Apply for Absentee Ballot by November 5
Andrew Cuomo
andrewcuomo.com
@andrewcuomo
vs GOP Marc Molinaro
#VoteBlueNY #Midterms2018
VOTE NOVEMBER 6, 2018
Apply for Absentee Ballot by November 5
Democratic Candidate for Lt Governor of New York
Kathy Hochul
kathyhochul.com
@KathyHochul
vs GOP Julie Killian
#VoteBlueNY #Midterms2018
VOTE NOVEMBER 6, 2018
Apply for Absentee Ballot by November 5
Kathy Hochul
kathyhochul.com
@KathyHochul
vs GOP Julie Killian
#VoteBlueNY #Midterms2018
VOTE NOVEMBER 6, 2018
Apply for Absentee Ballot by November 5
Now endorsed by @BarackObama:
@sharicedavids - #KS03
@JasonCrowCO6 - #CO06
@ElectLong - #WA03
@LucyWins2018 - #GA06
@Carolyn4GA7 - #GA07
@SusanPalmerOH - #OH16
@Axne4Congress - #IA03
@lisa4congress - #WA05
@MaxRose4NY - #NY11
@ChrisPappasNH - #NH01
@Lizzie4Congress - #TX07
@sharicedavids - #KS03
@JasonCrowCO6 - #CO06
@ElectLong - #WA03
@LucyWins2018 - #GA06
@Carolyn4GA7 - #GA07
@SusanPalmerOH - #OH16
@Axne4Congress - #IA03
@lisa4congress - #WA05
@MaxRose4NY - #NY11
@ChrisPappasNH - #NH01
@Lizzie4Congress - #TX07
Obama endorsements cont’d:
@IronStache - #WI01
@DrKimSchrier - #WA08
@ScottWallacePA - #PA01
@nancysoderberg - #FL06
@JahanaHayesCT - #CT05
@Abby4Iowa - #IA01
@BetsyforIL - #IL13
@laurenbaer - #FL18
@golden4congress - #ME02
@ElissaSlotkin - #MI08
@HaleyLive - #MI11
@IronStache - #WI01
@DrKimSchrier - #WA08
@ScottWallacePA - #PA01
@nancysoderberg - #FL06
@JahanaHayesCT - #CT05
@Abby4Iowa - #IA01
@BetsyforIL - #IL13
@laurenbaer - #FL18
@golden4congress - #ME02
@ElissaSlotkin - #MI08
@HaleyLive - #MI11
Obama endorsements cont’d:
@danielfeehan - #MN01
@AngieCraigMN - #MN02
@Clint4Congress - #NV02
@karaforcongress - #NE02
@dana_balter - #NY24
@BetsyRaderOH - #OH14
@LindaForNC - #NC02
@HoulahanForPa - #PA06
@SpanbergerVA07 - #VA07
@JenniferWexton - #VA10
@deanbphillips - #MN03
@danielfeehan - #MN01
@AngieCraigMN - #MN02
@Clint4Congress - #NV02
@karaforcongress - #NE02
@dana_balter - #NY24
@BetsyRaderOH - #OH14
@LindaForNC - #NC02
@HoulahanForPa - #PA06
@SpanbergerVA07 - #VA07
@JenniferWexton - #VA10
@deanbphillips - #MN03
New York #Midterms2018
THREAD of All Democratic Candidates with Website & Twitter Links.
Plus Voter Info Links
#NY01 #NY02 #NY03 #NY04 #NY05 #NY06 #NY07 #NY08 #NY09 #NY10 #NY11 #NY12 #NY13 #NY14 #NY15 #NY16 #NY17 #NY18 #NY19 #NY20 #NY21 #NY22 #NY23 #NY24 #NY25 #NY26 #NY27
THREAD of All Democratic Candidates with Website & Twitter Links.
Plus Voter Info Links
#NY01 #NY02 #NY03 #NY04 #NY05 #NY06 #NY07 #NY08 #NY09 #NY10 #NY11 #NY12 #NY13 #NY14 #NY15 #NY16 #NY17 #NY18 #NY19 #NY20 #NY21 #NY22 #NY23 #NY24 #NY25 #NY26 #NY27
Hey #NewYork
VOTE on NOVEMBER 6, 2018
THREAD below of All Democratic Candidates
#Midterms2018
Links to their websites & Twitter.
Plus Voter Info Links ( Registration, Absentee & Poll Worker
But, ALSO,
VOTE on SEPTEMBER 13 in #PrimaryElections for State & Local Offices
#VoteBlue
VOTE on NOVEMBER 6, 2018
THREAD below of All Democratic Candidates
#Midterms2018
Links to their websites & Twitter.
Plus Voter Info Links ( Registration, Absentee & Poll Worker
But, ALSO,
VOTE on SEPTEMBER 13 in #PrimaryElections for State & Local Offices
#VoteBlue
VOTER REGISTRATION in #NewYork
Register Online here: voterreg.dmv.ny.gov/MotorVoter/
Fillable form here: elections.ny.gov/NYSBOE/downloa…
Send to County Boards of Election elections.ny.gov/CountyBoards.h…
Request an Application to be mailed to you: elections.ny.gov/VoterReg/Voter…
#Midterms2018
#VoteBlue
THREAD
Register Online here: voterreg.dmv.ny.gov/MotorVoter/
Fillable form here: elections.ny.gov/NYSBOE/downloa…
Send to County Boards of Election elections.ny.gov/CountyBoards.h…
Request an Application to be mailed to you: elections.ny.gov/VoterReg/Voter…
#Midterms2018
#VoteBlue
THREAD
