Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #oh12
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NEW List of Dem candidates running for Congress in 2022 against GOP incumbents! Please take a minute and follow them! It’s the least we can do to show our support for the folks who are literally trying to save our democracy! RESISTERS RESIST #VoteThemAllOut2022
@abbybroyles vs Stephanie Bice House #OK05 electoral objector
@adammgentle vs Mario Diaz Balart House #FL25 electoral objector
@AlishaKShelton vs Don Bacon House #NE02
@AndreaRSalinas House #OR06
@AngieNixon vs Scott Franklin House #FL14 electoral objector
@adammgentle vs Mario Diaz Balart House #FL25 electoral objector
@AlishaKShelton vs Don Bacon House #NE02
@AndreaRSalinas House #OR06
@AngieNixon vs Scott Franklin House #FL14 electoral objector
@AnnieAndrewsMD vs Nancy Mace House #SC01
@anthonyjtristan vs Michael Cloud House #TX27 electoral objector
@ashley_ehasz vs Brian Fitzpatrick House #PA01
@AramisAyalaFL House #FL10
@atticaforky House #KY03
@baxterstapleton vs Michael Turner House #OH10
@anthonyjtristan vs Michael Cloud House #TX27 electoral objector
@ashley_ehasz vs Brian Fitzpatrick House #PA01
@AramisAyalaFL House #FL10
@atticaforky House #KY03
@baxterstapleton vs Michael Turner House #OH10
So, despite the fact that unvaccinated Americans make up the overwhelming majority of current #COVID19 hospitalizations and deaths, many Ohio Republicans are upset with the vaccine mandate and other rules President Biden announced yesterday.
A thread of some reactions ⤵️
A thread of some reactions ⤵️
#OHSen candidate @JDVance1:
"I have a simple message for America’s business community: DO NOT COMPLY. Do not comply with the mandates. Do not pay the government fines. Don’t allow yourself to be bullied and controlled. Only mass civil disobedience will save us..."
"I have a simple message for America’s business community: DO NOT COMPLY. Do not comply with the mandates. Do not pay the government fines. Don’t allow yourself to be bullied and controlled. Only mass civil disobedience will save us..."
#OHSen candidate @JoshMandelOhio posted a video message from a cornfield in Ohio.
In it, he said his "blood is boiling," lied that Joe Biden is not president, and said if the Supreme Court doesn't stop the mandate, Americans will "know what to do" "when the gestapo show up."
In it, he said his "blood is boiling," lied that Joe Biden is not president, and said if the Supreme Court doesn't stop the mandate, Americans will "know what to do" "when the gestapo show up."
Thread ⤵️
As of Nov. 16 at 2pm ET, only two of Ohio's 13 Republicans in Congress have acknowledged (either in public remarks or statements sent to me) that @JoeBiden is the president-elect.
The @AP and other major news organizations called the race nine days ago.
As of Nov. 16 at 2pm ET, only two of Ohio's 13 Republicans in Congress have acknowledged (either in public remarks or statements sent to me) that @JoeBiden is the president-elect.
The @AP and other major news organizations called the race nine days ago.
On Nov. 9, I reached out to all 13 Republicans in Ohio's congressional delegation with two questions:
1) Do you recognize the results of the election, as projected by the @AP and other major news organizations?
2) Do you agree that @JoeBiden is now President-elect Biden?
1) Do you recognize the results of the election, as projected by the @AP and other major news organizations?
2) Do you agree that @JoeBiden is now President-elect Biden?
As of 2pm ET on Nov. 16, four Ohio Republicans in Congress have not responded to my questions or made public remarks that I've seen about the presidential race:
— #OH1's @RepSteveChabot
— #OH5's @boblatta
— #OH10's @RepMikeTurner
— #OH12's @RepBalderson
— #OH1's @RepSteveChabot
— #OH5's @boblatta
— #OH10's @RepMikeTurner
— #OH12's @RepBalderson
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.@RepDonBacon (R-#NE02): "This (USPS) Bill was not perfect, but the critical role the postal service plays in our country and the fact the postal system will become insolvent next year led me to vote in support." bacon.house.gov/news/documents…
.@RepBost (R-#IL12): "While Congress approved additional funding today with my support, I still share President Trump’s concerns over the process in place for counting an unprecedented number of votes by mail." bost.house.gov/media-center/p…
Rep. @VernBuchanan (R-#FL16): "Millions of Americans, especially seniors, depend on a healthy and functioning Postal Service. I voted for the bill today to make sure the Postal Service has the resources to deliver the mail."
New at @CookPolitical: House rating changes in 20 districts, all towards Democrats. I can’t recall the last time we moved so many races at once, let alone in the same direction.
More @CookPolitical: for the first time this cycle, Democrats have at least as good a chance of picking up House seats as Republicans on a net basis. cookpolitical.com/analysis/house…
(Here’s a graphic corrected for #WA03)
Rep. Susan Brooks (R) retirement moves suburban #IN05 from Solid R to Lean R at @CookPolitical. It's the only Dem-trending GOP-held district in Indiana.
This is a classic upscale Whole Foods district, the kind where Dems made serious inroads in 2016/2018.
Trump improved over Romney in every other IN district. But in #IN05, Trump took just 53% to Romney's 58%.
Trump improved over Romney in every other IN district. But in #IN05, Trump took just 53% to Romney's 58%.
And, an added coup for Dems: Brooks isn't just one of 13 women remaining in the House GOP conference, she's the *recruitment chair* of the NRCC.
Two graphs to illustrate the key take-aways from the #OH12 special election.
First, Balderson's % plotted against Trump's % by county in the district. (The Trump numbers are only from precincts in the 12th dist.) Balderson just a little less than Trump in each county. (Circles ~ to turnout.)
Second turnout in each county plotted against Trump's % in those counties. (Again, only looking at precincts in the 12th dist.) Biggest drop-off in strongest pro-Trump counties.
🚨GOOD NEWS THREAD - HOUSE VERSION🚨
#OH12 left us with a cliffhanger. We all worked so hard to give @dannyoconnor1 an outright win. Yes it's a steep climb, but it could still happen. Either way, we did good!
But let's not overlook the OTHER good House news from last night.
#OH12 left us with a cliffhanger. We all worked so hard to give @dannyoconnor1 an outright win. Yes it's a steep climb, but it could still happen. Either way, we did good!
But let's not overlook the OTHER good House news from last night.
In "Toss-up" #MI08 Democratic primary voters OUT-VOTED Republican primary voters.
Democrat Elissa Slotkin (@ElissaSlotkin) is going to FLIP this seat right out from under incumbent GOP Rep. Mike Bishop.
But only if we help her right now.
Register. Vote. DONATE. Volunteer.
Democrat Elissa Slotkin (@ElissaSlotkin) is going to FLIP this seat right out from under incumbent GOP Rep. Mike Bishop.
But only if we help her right now.
Register. Vote. DONATE. Volunteer.
In "Toss-up" open seat #MI11, Democratic primary voters OUT-VOTED Republican primary voters.
But Democrat Haley Stevens (@HaleyLive) needs to hit the ground running if we want to FLIP this seat.
So let's get started.
Register. Vote. DONATE. Volunteer.
But Democrat Haley Stevens (@HaleyLive) needs to hit the ground running if we want to FLIP this seat.
So let's get started.
Register. Vote. DONATE. Volunteer.
The specific results #OH12 are less important than this:
GOP held it since 1983. In 2016 Trump won by 11 pts, GOP House candidate won by 40.
Today the gap is less than 2,000 votes. Seat up again in Nov.
A DISASTER FOR REPUBLICANS
We need every vote! #BeAVoter #WednesdayWisdom
GOP held it since 1983. In 2016 Trump won by 11 pts, GOP House candidate won by 40.
Today the gap is less than 2,000 votes. Seat up again in Nov.
A DISASTER FOR REPUBLICANS
We need every vote! #BeAVoter #WednesdayWisdom
#BeAVoter means more than showing up at your polling place, although that’s important. Talk about the issues with your friends and family. Organize a group to go to the polls on election day.
Check out Michelle Obama’s new toolkit to register new voters!
whenweallvote.org/volunteer/
Check out Michelle Obama’s new toolkit to register new voters!
whenweallvote.org/volunteer/
Campaigns across the nation need donations and volunteers. Consider giving what you can. Are you in a swing district, or a red state with a vulnerable incumbent? You could make the difference!
Find closest swing districts & get in touch with campaigns:
SwingLeft.org
Find closest swing districts & get in touch with campaigns:
SwingLeft.org
Here's Joe Manchik, the Green Party candidate who will probably make sure that #OH12 goes to an R who doesn't believe in science instead of a D who does.
He believes his ancestors come from a different planet.
(No, I'm not kidding.)
He believes his ancestors come from a different planet.
(No, I'm not kidding.)
As I was saying...the Green Party candidate in #OH12 who might be the spoiler for the Dem in the race believes that his family comes from a different planet.
Great job, y'all. Way to vet your candidates. 🙄🙄🙄
Great job, y'all. Way to vet your candidates. 🙄🙄🙄
Joe Manchik's Green Party vote in #OH12 dropped by 92% between 2016 and tonight. NINETY-TWO PERCENT. This is a huge deal.
The Green Party vote in #OH12 dropped off a cliff tonight. The huge bulk of 2016 Green Party voters in the district pulled the lever for O'Connor.
Tonight's Green Party vote in #OH12 is a tiny group, and most of them aren't winnable as Dem votes under any circumstances. If you're a Dem, don't fret over them. They're not fungible. Let them go.
Let me just make this as clear as possible.
NO @realDonaldTrump rally. NO Congressman Troy Balderson representing #Ohio12th. Only Mr. Balderson who lives in #OH12.
Richmond didn't GOTV. Delaware wasn't wide. It was just wide enough. Trump won that race.
NO @realDonaldTrump rally. NO Congressman Troy Balderson representing #Ohio12th. Only Mr. Balderson who lives in #OH12.
Richmond didn't GOTV. Delaware wasn't wide. It was just wide enough. Trump won that race.
P.S. RNC Chair Ronna McDaniel joined Balderson in declaring victory. ppdnews.us/wt4YfRs
P.P.S. @GOPChairwoman McDaniel is not burying her head in the sand as it pertains to @realDonaldTrump's impact last night. ICYMI: He won that race for Troy Balderson. Further, I do think her doubting the Democrat's ability to compete like this nationwide, is a valid point.
Pundits are making a big deal out of #OH12 having been Republican for decades. When the incumbent steps down, the replacement wins the district by a far narrower margin or if the seat has a Democrat. Kasich, won the district 50-47 in 1982.
Pat Tiberi, the incumbent that stepped down, won the district 52.87-43.83 against Democrat Maryellen O'Shaughnessy. The seat was vacated by John Kasich during that election in 2000. Obama won the district 53% to 46% in 08. Bush won it against Kerry 51-49 (not exactly a blow out).
During those elections mentioned the country was far less divided than it is now. Media attention on a political party was not nearly as negative as it is on Republicans or the current president, Donald Trump. That makes a significant impact on a local election in the spotlight.
If you're on tenterhooks about #OH12 and you haven't yet picked out a congressional race to volunteer for this fall, you should consider doing that.
Find a race near you that's likely to be close and reach out. There are a bunch of guides to which districts are in play—this is one of them. cookpolitical.com/ratings/house-…
US Senate is also also huge, of course, as are govenor and state leg races, particularly with redistricting looming after the 2020 census. More important than what you do is that you lend a hand with something.
CNN is saying Ohio is already going to be a re-count and that no one will be able to call it tonight🤣 Low IQ Lemon is telling everyone O’Connor is about to win.
Now they’re giving the big speech about how proud Democrats should be because the gaps have closed so dramatically and GOP is demoralized. It’s like being on another planet watching CNN, a planet starved of oxygen.
Oh, no one knew who the candidate was in #Ohio says @CNN that’s awkward considering O’Connor hired Obama’s PR company😅 OR #CNNISFAKEASSNEWS
I get that Dems have a huge tailwind. But Twitter seems to forget that they have to WIN these races. Coming close doesn’t matter. And with attention divided all over on Election Day, it’s gonna be harder to generate these media-driven focused special election tailwinds. #oh12
If right to work fails in Missouri, that’s the story of the night, and most reflective of the mood of the nation.
Dems ride along strong anti-Trump tailwinds, yes. Will it win them enough House races? 🤷♂️
THREAD: Special election results in #OH12 (will update throughout the night).
Democrat @dannyoconnor1🇺🇸surges to early lead, as expected. These are early votes👉🏼54% of early votes cast by Democrats vs only 31% by Republicans.
LIVE results👉🏼 nytimes.com/interactive/20…
Democrat @dannyoconnor1🇺🇸surges to early lead, as expected. These are early votes👉🏼54% of early votes cast by Democrats vs only 31% by Republicans.
LIVE results👉🏼 nytimes.com/interactive/20…
Both @dannyoconnor1🇺🇸 and Trump bootlicker, Troy Balderson, expect a long night before final results are in. In this VERY red district, this shouldn’t even be a race‼️
#BlueWave2018
#BlueWave2018
Such a small world isn’t it? The political media company that President Obama used for both his campaigns (founded by O’s buddies) also worked for Tymoshenko for the 2010 Ukrainian elections YES the same election Manafort is currently fighting in court.
Who’s using the high powered company now? None other than O’Connor the Dems are pulling out all the stops for the special election. Don’t fall for it #OH12 #KeepOhioRED
This also makes the Podesta Group a wildcard. John was working with President Obama while his brother was working with Manafort on Team Yanukovych while Obama’s trusted firm was working on Team Tymoshenko? Almost feels like one of those CIA elections doesn’t it🙄
