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2022 #Midterms Simulation: #ArtoftheGerrymander

A Republican House win will be built on gerrymanders (TX/GA/FL/TN/LA, etc.)

To illustrate the need for fair maps, I'm calculating the results using the 2022 votes, but if every state had a Democratic gerrymander. #ElectionTwitter ImageImageImageImage
Methodology:

I’ll apply the difference in Presidential margin to the House result. Thanks @davesredist @mikemathieu @vest_team + @DKElections @PoliticsWolf

Keen to see how my maps perform over the decade; tried to comply with state law if partisan intent were allowed to stand.
#ArtoftheGerrymander: #Alabama
Trump 62.0% - Biden 36.6%
Real delegation: 6R-1D
Gerrymandered: 5R-2D
Δ Share of D seats: 14% => 28%
Easy Democratic pick-up of a safe new African American seat.
davesredistricting.org/join/ff857256-… ImageImageImage
Read 111 tweets
NEW List of Dem candidates running for Congress in 2022 against GOP incumbents! Please take a minute and follow them! It’s the least we can do to show our support for the folks who are literally trying to save our democracy! RESISTERS RESIST #VoteThemAllOut2022
@abbybroyles vs Stephanie Bice House #OK05 electoral objector
@adammgentle vs Mario Diaz Balart House #FL25 electoral objector
@AlishaKShelton vs Don Bacon House #NE02
@AndreaRSalinas House #OR06
@AngieNixon vs Scott Franklin House #FL14 electoral objector
@AnnieAndrewsMD vs Nancy Mace House #SC01
@anthonyjtristan vs Michael Cloud House #TX27 electoral objector
@ashley_ehasz vs Brian Fitzpatrick House #PA01
@AramisAyalaFL House #FL10
@atticaforky House #KY03
@baxterstapleton vs Michael Turner House #OH10
Read 38 tweets
#OH14 @RepDaveJoyce (R) votes "present" on the resolution to censure @RepGosar (R) and strip him of his committee assignments for posting a video on social media that showed him appearing to kill @RepAOC (D) and attacking President Biden.

Most Republicans are voting no.
#OH16 @RepAGonzalez (R), who voted to impeach Trump post-Jan. 6 and is retiring next year, voted against the resolution to censure @RepGosar.

So far, only Republicans @RepLizCheney and @RepKinzinger have voted yes, while Ohio's @RepDaveJoyce voted "present."
Read 4 tweets
Thread ⤵️

As of Nov. 16 at 2pm ET, only two of Ohio's 13 Republicans in Congress have acknowledged (either in public remarks or statements sent to me) that @JoeBiden is the president-elect.

The @AP and other major news organizations called the race nine days ago.
On Nov. 9, I reached out to all 13 Republicans in Ohio's congressional delegation with two questions:

1) Do you recognize the results of the election, as projected by the @AP and other major news organizations?

2) Do you agree that @JoeBiden is now President-elect Biden?
As of 2pm ET on Nov. 16, four Ohio Republicans in Congress have not responded to my questions or made public remarks that I've seen about the presidential race:

#OH1's @RepSteveChabot
#OH5's @boblatta
#OH10's @RepMikeTurner
#OH12's @RepBalderson
Read 6 tweets
Check it out!
ALL Democratic Candidates 50 STATES
#Congress2020 Govs AGs SoS
Postcards (Print&Share)& Donations Links
#PostcardsforAmerica
postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
Ready-made Tweets&Posts for each Candidate
postcardsforamerica.com/all-dem-candid…
FB Albums facebook.com/pg/postcards4U…
Mega-THREAD Image
ALABAMA Democratic Candidates
#AL1 #AL2 #AL3 #AL4 #AL7 & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links for each candidate.Follow & Support!
FB
facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
GoogleDoc pc2a.info/DemCandidatesAL
THREAD
#PostcardsforAmerica Image
ALASKA Democratic Congressional Candidates
Alaska-At-Large & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
#HoldTheHouse #FlipTheSenate
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links
Follow & Support!
Thread:
Shareable Facebook Post: facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
#PostcardsforAmerica Image
Read 51 tweets
Check it out!
ALL Democratic Candidates 50 STATES
#Congress2020 Govs AGs SoS
Postcards (Print & Share!) & Links to Follow & Support!
#PostcardsforAmerica
postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
Ready-made Tweets&Posts for each Candidate
postcardsforamerica.com/all-dem-candid…
FB Albums facebook.com/pg/postcards4U…
ALABAMA Democratic Candidates
#AL1 #AL2 #AL3 #AL4 #AL7 & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links for each candidate.Follow & Support!
FB
facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
GoogleDoc pc2a.info/DemCandidatesAL
THREAD
#PostcardsforAmerica
ALASKA Democratic Congressional Candidates
Alaska-At-Large & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
#HoldTheHouse #FlipTheSenate
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links
Follow & Support!
Thread:
Shareable Facebook Post: facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
#PostcardsforAmerica
Read 51 tweets
Check it out!
THREAD of all the Democratic Candidates!
50 STATES #Congress2020, Govs, AGs, SoS
With Postcards & Links to Follow & Support!
postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
Ready-made Tweets & Posts for each Candidate here
postcardsforamerica.com/all-dem-candid…
FB Albums: facebook.com/pg/postcards4U…
ALABAMA Democratic Candidates
#AL1 #AL2 #AL3 #AL4 #AL7 & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links for each candidate.Follow & Support!
FB
facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
GoogleDoc pc2a.info/DemCandidatesAL
THREAD
#PostcardsforAmerica
ALASKA Democratic Congressional Candidates
Alaska-At-Large & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
#HoldTheHouse #FlipTheSenate
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links
Follow & Support!
Thread:
Shareable Facebook Post: facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
#PostcardsforAmerica
Read 51 tweets
All hands on deck!
On #PostcardsforAmerica website
All Democratic Candidates for ALL 50 STATES #Congress2020, Govs, AGs & SoS
Links (& Postcards) to Follow & Support:
postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
& ➡️ postcardsforamerica.com/all-dem-candid…

Update Sep 12
mega-THREAD Image
ALABAMA Democratic Candidates
#AL1 #AL2 #AL3 #AL4 #AL7 & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links for each candidate.Follow & Support!
FB
facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
GoogleDoc pc2a.info/DemCandidatesAL
THREAD
#PostcardsforAmerica Image
ALASKA Democratic Congressional Candidates
Alaska-At-Large & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
#HoldTheHouse #FlipTheSenate
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links
Follow & Support!
Thread:
Shareable Facebook Post: facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
#PostcardsforAmerica Image
Read 50 tweets
Want to check out all Democratic Candidates?
Pages on the #PostcardsforAmerica website with all Democratic Candidates for ALL 50 STATES #Congress2020, Govs, AGs & SoS
Postcards & Links to Follow & Support:
postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
& ➡️ postcardsforamerica.com/all-dem-candid…

& follow @NDLB2020 Image
ALABAMA Democratic Candidates
#AL1 #AL2 #AL3 #AL4 #AL7 & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links for each candidate.Follow & Support!
FB
facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
GoogleDoc pc2a.info/DemCandidatesAL
THREAD
#PostcardsforAmerica Image
ALASKA Democratic Congressional Candidates
Alaska-At-Large & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
#HoldTheHouse #FlipTheSenate
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links
Follow & Support!
Thread:
Shareable Facebook Post: facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
#PostcardsforAmerica Image
Read 50 tweets
Just a little primer on how @RepDaveJoyce “supports the troops” when he thinks no one is watching.

TL:DR: he doesn’t.
🛑 Joyce voted NO to $3 billion in funding for Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration to prevent and treat substance abuse & to provide resources to support individuals who experience negative mental health impacts from the COVID-19 pandemic.
🛑Joyce voted NO to expanding healthcare to all veterans who lost coverage due to COVID.
Read 16 tweets
The GOP's silence about ripping children from their parents is deafening.

Guess who *is* stating a clear moral position on this...Your 2018 Democratic swing district nominees. I've threaded their positions below. Please RT and follow all. #FlipEverything. Save America's soul.
Katie Porter - #CA45 @katieporteroc
Kathleen Williams - #MTAL @WilliamsForMT
Read 40 tweets
Hey #Ohio
Democratic Candidates (#Primary winners) THREAD
#Midterms2018
VOTE NOV 6, 2018
Register by October 9: olvr.sos.state.oh.us
Find Polling Place: sos.state.oh.us/elections/vote…
#OH01 #OH02 #OH03 #OH04 #OH05 #OH06 #OH07 #OH08 #OH09 #OH10 #OH11 #OH12 #OH13 #OH14 #OH15 #OH16
Voter Registration in Ohio
Online here olvr.sos.state.oh.us
Or Print out here sos.state.oh.us/globalassets/e…
And mail to County Board of Elections, Addresses here:
sos.state.oh.us/elections/elec…
Wonder if you're still registered? Purged perhaps?
KEEP checking here: sos.state.oh.us/elections/vote…
Absentee Ballot OHIO
Request by November 3, 2018
Back by Nov 6
Application here: sos.state.oh.us/elections/vote…
Military Overseas? sos.state.oh.us/secretary-hust…
County Board of Elections: sos.state.oh.us/elections/elec…
Info sos.state.oh.us/publications/o…
Track sos.state.oh.us/elections/vote…
Read 28 tweets
Hey #Ohio
Who are the Democratic Candidates in your District?
This is a THREAD of All Democratic Candidates with their websites #PRIMARIES
VOTE MAY 8, 2018
Register by April 9, 2018 here: olvr.sos.state.oh.us
Find Polling Place here: sos.state.oh.us/elections/vote…
#Midterms2018
#OH #Primaries VOTE MAY 8, 2018
Absentee Ballot Request by May 5, 2018
Back by May 8, 2018
Request here: sos.state.oh.us/secretary-hust…
Info sos.state.oh.us/publications/o…
Early Voting starts April 10 (Military Overseas, Starts March 24)
By mail begins April 11
Track sos.state.oh.us/elections/vote…
Voter Registration in Ohio
Online here olvr.sos.state.oh.us
Or Print out here sos.state.oh.us/globalassets/e…
And mail to County Board of Elections, Addresses here:
sos.state.oh.us/elections/elec…
Wonder if you're still registered? Purged perhaps?
KEEP checking here: sos.state.oh.us/elections/vote…
Read 30 tweets

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