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2022 #Midterms Simulation: #ArtoftheGerrymander
A Republican House win will be built on gerrymanders (TX/GA/FL/TN/LA, etc.)
To illustrate the need for fair maps, I'm calculating the results using the 2022 votes, but if every state had a Democratic gerrymander. #ElectionTwitter
A Republican House win will be built on gerrymanders (TX/GA/FL/TN/LA, etc.)
To illustrate the need for fair maps, I'm calculating the results using the 2022 votes, but if every state had a Democratic gerrymander. #ElectionTwitter
Methodology:
I’ll apply the difference in Presidential margin to the House result. Thanks @davesredist @mikemathieu @vest_team + @DKElections @PoliticsWolf
Keen to see how my maps perform over the decade; tried to comply with state law if partisan intent were allowed to stand.
I’ll apply the difference in Presidential margin to the House result. Thanks @davesredist @mikemathieu @vest_team + @DKElections @PoliticsWolf
Keen to see how my maps perform over the decade; tried to comply with state law if partisan intent were allowed to stand.
#ArtoftheGerrymander: #Alabama
Trump 62.0% - Biden 36.6%
Real delegation: 6R-1D
Gerrymandered: 5R-2D
Δ Share of D seats: 14% => 28%
Easy Democratic pick-up of a safe new African American seat.
davesredistricting.org/join/ff857256-…
Trump 62.0% - Biden 36.6%
Real delegation: 6R-1D
Gerrymandered: 5R-2D
Δ Share of D seats: 14% => 28%
Easy Democratic pick-up of a safe new African American seat.
davesredistricting.org/join/ff857256-…
Welcome to August and to the #Pennsylvania Member of Congress Tracking Report for the week ending 08/01/21.
We’re here to help you keep an eye on what our MoCs are saying🗣 and how they are voting🗳.
bit.ly/3ykbfZd
#MoCTrack 1/25
We’re here to help you keep an eye on what our MoCs are saying🗣 and how they are voting🗳.
bit.ly/3ykbfZd
#MoCTrack 1/25
@IndivisiblePHL @IndivisibleLNH @pa_indivisible @IndivisibleBUX @TuesdaysToomey @indivisibleccpa @indiwhitpain @IndivisibleHCAN @fridays_fire @indivisiblefohi The #Pennsylvania #Indivisible Legislative Scorecard shows you how our MoCs vote re: the Indivisible principles of
1⃣equality
2⃣justice
3⃣compassion
4⃣inclusion
See how YOUR MoCs are doing and how they got these scores here.⬇️
#MoCTrack 2/25
pa-indivisible.com/legislative-sc…
1⃣equality
2⃣justice
3⃣compassion
4⃣inclusion
See how YOUR MoCs are doing and how they got these scores here.⬇️
#MoCTrack 2/25
pa-indivisible.com/legislative-sc…
I know we’re supposed to be excited about the #Infrastructure agreement in the Senate, but I can’t help but think the #GOP succeeded in delaying and slicing it down to the bone.
This @NYTimes infographic tells the story.
#MoCTrack 3/25
learn more ➡️bit.ly/3firsGG
This @NYTimes infographic tells the story.
#MoCTrack 3/25
learn more ➡️bit.ly/3firsGG
#Update We are seeing exciting things for #RankedChoiceVoting!! It would bring #democracy to #elections! My thread of #DownBallotProgressives & causes #NotMeUs🔹 + some w/ #YangGang🔹 +
🌻 @GreenPartyUS #MedicareForAll
Follow @TheRagtagBand
⏬⏬⏬⏬⏬⏬⏬⏬⏬⏬
🌻 @GreenPartyUS #MedicareForAll
Follow @TheRagtagBand
⏬⏬⏬⏬⏬⏬⏬⏬⏬⏬
.@Ally4Congress🔹is running for Congress in #VA11 against corp Dem @GerryConnolly🔹June 21 ‘22*! She’s endorsed by @Leftists4Office @CallForCongress @AC4Congress2020 @LiamOMaraIV and more! #NotMeUs #YangGang
📌Donate: secure.actblue.com/donate/ally-fo…
📌Volunteer: allyforcongress.com/volunteer
📌Donate: secure.actblue.com/donate/ally-fo…
📌Volunteer: allyforcongress.com/volunteer
.@AazamiShervin🔹 is running for #CA30 against corporate Dem @BradSherman🔹 June 7, 2022*! He’s 💯grassroots funded! #NotMeUs #MedicareForAll
📌Donate: secure.actblue.com/donate/shervin…
📌Volunteer: shervin4thevalley.com/join
📌Website: Shervin4TheValley.com
📌Donate: secure.actblue.com/donate/shervin…
📌Volunteer: shervin4thevalley.com/join
📌Website: Shervin4TheValley.com
We need to truly BreakTheDuopoly.org w/ #NationalRankedChoiceVoting. It would restore #democracy! My thread of #DownBallotProgressives that includes #NotMeUs + some w/ #YangGang!
📌Donate: nationalrankedchoicevoting.org/donate
Follow @nrcvorg @TheRagtagBand
⏬⏬⏬⏬⏬⏬⏬⏬⏬⏬⏬
📌Donate: nationalrankedchoicevoting.org/donate
Follow @nrcvorg @TheRagtagBand
⏬⏬⏬⏬⏬⏬⏬⏬⏬⏬⏬
.@ninaturner🔹is running for #OH11 for @RepMarciaFudge🔹seat she will be leaving in an #Election May! @BernieSanders @CoriBush @RoKhanna @OurRevolution @AndrewYang & many more have endorsed! #NotMeUs
📌Donate: secure.actblue.com/donate/snt-web…
📌Volunteer/Website: NinaTurner.com
📌Donate: secure.actblue.com/donate/snt-web…
📌Volunteer/Website: NinaTurner.com
.@GaryChambersJr🔹is running for #LA02 3/20/21 an open seat as @RepRichmond🔹vacates it. He’s 💯grassroots and will fight for someone he doesnt even know #NotMeUs #MedicareForAll
📌Donate: secure.actblue.com/donate/chamber…
📌Volunteer: chambersforcongress.com/take-action/
📌ChambersForCongress.com
📌Donate: secure.actblue.com/donate/chamber…
📌Volunteer: chambersforcongress.com/take-action/
📌ChambersForCongress.com
1/33 Sorry for long thread, but I want to post this before E-Day:
I've worked for years on an unfinished project to draw nonpartisan congressional maps for every state to analyze gerrymandering. This map shows the 2016 pres margin by hypothetical district. State maps to follow.
I've worked for years on an unfinished project to draw nonpartisan congressional maps for every state to analyze gerrymandering. This map shows the 2016 pres margin by hypothetical district. State maps to follow.
2/33 Hypothetical nonpartisan Alabama congressional map with two Voting Rights Act districts (#AL02 & #AL07). Second map shows two Black-majority districts to illustrate a VRA liability.
3/33 Hypothetical nonpartisan Arizona congressional map.
PENNSYLVANIA Democratic Candidates
#PA1 #PA2 #PA3 #PA4 #PA5 #PA6 #PA7 #PA8 #PA9 #PA10 #PA11 #PA12 #PA13 #PA14 #PA15 #PA16 #PA17 #PA18 & AG
Postcards & Links for each Candidate
Follow & Support!
#Congress2020
THREAD #PostcardsforAmerica
All 50 States here postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
#PA1 #PA2 #PA3 #PA4 #PA5 #PA6 #PA7 #PA8 #PA9 #PA10 #PA11 #PA12 #PA13 #PA14 #PA15 #PA16 #PA17 #PA18 & AG
Postcards & Links for each Candidate
Follow & Support!
#Congress2020
THREAD #PostcardsforAmerica
All 50 States here postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
PA1 Democratic Candidate
Pennsylvania 1st Congressional District
#PA1 #PA01
Running against Brian Fitzpatrick
Christina Finello
Borough Councilwoman, Attorney & Psychologist
@FinelloForPA
finelloforcongress.com
Donate secure.actblue.com/donate/christi…
THREAD #Congress2020 #HoldTheHouse
Pennsylvania 1st Congressional District
#PA1 #PA01
Running against Brian Fitzpatrick
Christina Finello
Borough Councilwoman, Attorney & Psychologist
@FinelloForPA
finelloforcongress.com
Donate secure.actblue.com/donate/christi…
THREAD #Congress2020 #HoldTheHouse
PA1 Democratic Candidate
Pennsylvania 1st Congressional District
#PA1 #PA01
Running against Brian Fitzpatrick
Christina Finello
Borough Councilwoman, Attorney & Psychologist
@FinelloForPA
finelloforcongress.com
Donate secure.actblue.com/donate/christi…
THREAD #Congress2020 #HoldTheHouse
Pennsylvania 1st Congressional District
#PA1 #PA01
Running against Brian Fitzpatrick
Christina Finello
Borough Councilwoman, Attorney & Psychologist
@FinelloForPA
finelloforcongress.com
Donate secure.actblue.com/donate/christi…
THREAD #Congress2020 #HoldTheHouse
House members will vote by proxy for the 1st time in chamber's 231-yr history beginning Wed. House clerk posted letters from mbrs who will not be physically present on House floor for votes due to COVID-19 pandemic & have given their proxies to other mbrs.
clerkpreview.house.gov/ProxyLetter#Ac…
clerkpreview.house.gov/ProxyLetter#Ac…
1st term #CA39 Democratic @RepGilCisneros has designated his voting proxy to 1st term #PA06 Democratic @RepHoulahan.
3rd term #VA08 Democratic @RepDonBeyer, who represents one of the closest House districts to Capitol Hill, will vote by proxy for 7th term Democratic #TN09 @RepCohen, chair of the House Judiciary Subcommittee on the Constitution, Civil Rights, and Civil Liberties.
Welcome to the Pennsylvania member of Congress Tracking Report for the week ending March 22, 2020. We are doing things a bit differently this week. All of our content centers on the #COVID19 #coronavirus pandemic.
#MoCTrack 1/28
demcastusa.com/2020/03/22/pen…
#MoCTrack 1/28
demcastusa.com/2020/03/22/pen…
First up, we have a recap of HR 6201, the #FamiliesFirst bill that was passed on Wednesday by the Senate and signed into law.
#MoCTrack 2/28
npr.org/2020/03/19/818…
#MoCTrack 2/28
npr.org/2020/03/19/818…
If you have a chance, check out the #MoCTrack recap of the #FamiliesFirst action in the Senate. There were three attempts to amend the bill (1 good, 2 awful), and it is worth seeing ow our lawmakers voted on those efforts.
#MoCTrack 3/28
bit.ly/3do6mnB
#MoCTrack 3/28
bit.ly/3do6mnB
‼️PROGRESSIVES‼️
We must remember down-ballot candidates.
This is a list of progressive/leftist congressional candidates endorsed by at least one of these groups:
@BrandNew535
@BoldProgressive
@justicedems
@pdamerica
@RoseCaucus
#UniteLeft
#Progress2020
We must remember down-ballot candidates.
This is a list of progressive/leftist congressional candidates endorsed by at least one of these groups:
@BrandNew535
@BoldProgressive
@justicedems
@pdamerica
@RoseCaucus
#UniteLeft
#Progress2020
Please remember:
⚠️STATE CANDIDATE PRIMARIES MAY BE ON DIFFERENT DATES THAN THE PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY⚠️
Double check your registration at least 1 MONTH 🗓 before any election you plant to vote in.
Also, endorsements are an ongoing process
⚠️STATE CANDIDATE PRIMARIES MAY BE ON DIFFERENT DATES THAN THE PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY⚠️
Double check your registration at least 1 MONTH 🗓 before any election you plant to vote in.
Also, endorsements are an ongoing process
Some races have 2 different candidates endorsed by different groups, so they’re both listed.
Legend:
📖➡️ platform/issues link
💵➡️ donation link
If the pinned tweet is related to their campaign, I included it.
Now, onto the (long) list.
Legend:
📖➡️ platform/issues link
💵➡️ donation link
If the pinned tweet is related to their campaign, I included it.
Now, onto the (long) list.
Welcome to MoCTrack for January 5, 2020.
This is our 2019 year in review for all of the tidbits you need about last year’s legislative action. Congress is heading back to DC this week, so now is the time to see how they did last year!
#MoCTrack 1/27
demcastusa.com/2020/01/05/pen…
This is our 2019 year in review for all of the tidbits you need about last year’s legislative action. Congress is heading back to DC this week, so now is the time to see how they did last year!
#MoCTrack 1/27
demcastusa.com/2020/01/05/pen…
The great folks at @538Politics provide our Trump Tracker numbers, showing how often each MoCs vote with #IMPOTUS.
We took all those 2019 numbers and show you each lawmaker’s high and low point, as well as their 2019 average.
#MoCTrack 2/27
bit.ly/2QP6H8v
We took all those 2019 numbers and show you each lawmaker’s high and low point, as well as their 2019 average.
#MoCTrack 2/27
bit.ly/2QP6H8v
@538politics First up a rundown of 2019 in legislation, by the numbers.
#MoCTrack 3/27
bit.ly/2QP6H8v
#MoCTrack 3/27
bit.ly/2QP6H8v
Welcome to the Pennsylvania Member of Congress Tracking Report for the week ending 09/08/19. This is our last recess report before we get back to normal business, as our MoCs are returning to Washington today.
#MoCTrack 1/24
bit.ly/2kp2V9U
#MoCTrack 1/24
bit.ly/2kp2V9U
If you’d like a reminder of where things left off when our MoCs left for recess, check out the Trump Tracker numbers, courtesy of the find folks at @538Politics. It gauges how much your MoC votes in line with the Trump Admin's agenda.
#MoCTrack 2/24
bit.ly/2k6yBk2
#MoCTrack 2/24
bit.ly/2k6yBk2
@538politics The rest of this report is a bit different than our normal offering.
We’ve pulled together info on official website statements, public appearances, town halls, tweets and quotes that each of our 20 MoCs made over the recess.
#MoCTrack 3/24
bit.ly/2kp2DzQ
We’ve pulled together info on official website statements, public appearances, town halls, tweets and quotes that each of our 20 MoCs made over the recess.
#MoCTrack 3/24
bit.ly/2kp2DzQ
Hey #Pennsylvania!
Here’s All the Democratic Candidates (#Primary Winners) for #Midterms2018!
With website & voter info links! Includes info on New vs Old Districts.
#PA01 #PA02 #PA03 #PA04 #PA05 #PA06 #PA07 #PA08 #PA09 #PA10 #PA11 #PA12 #PA13 #PA14 #PA15 #PA16 #PA17 #PA18
Here’s All the Democratic Candidates (#Primary Winners) for #Midterms2018!
With website & voter info links! Includes info on New vs Old Districts.
#PA01 #PA02 #PA03 #PA04 #PA05 #PA06 #PA07 #PA08 #PA09 #PA10 #PA11 #PA12 #PA13 #PA14 #PA15 #PA16 #PA17 #PA18
VOTER REGISTRATION in Pennsylvania
VOTE NOVEMBER 6, 2018 #Midterms2018
Register by Oct 6 here: pavoterservices.pa.gov/Pages/VoterReg…
Check Registration here: pavoterservices.pa.gov/Pages/VoterReg…
Find where you Vote here: pavoterservices.pa.gov/Pages/PollingP…
#BlueWavePA
VOTE NOVEMBER 6, 2018 #Midterms2018
Register by Oct 6 here: pavoterservices.pa.gov/Pages/VoterReg…
Check Registration here: pavoterservices.pa.gov/Pages/VoterReg…
Find where you Vote here: pavoterservices.pa.gov/Pages/PollingP…
#BlueWavePA
Hey #Pennsylvania you get to vote in Primaries on MAY 15, 2018
For Congress & Lt. Gov
THREAD of ALL Democratic Candidates below.
#PA01 #PA02 #PA03 #PA04 #PA05 #PA06 #PA07 #PA08 #PA09 #PA10 #PA11 #PA12 #PA13 #PA14 #PA15 #PA16 #PA17 #PA18
Voter Registration Deadline Apr 16, 2018
For Congress & Lt. Gov
THREAD of ALL Democratic Candidates below.
#PA01 #PA02 #PA03 #PA04 #PA05 #PA06 #PA07 #PA08 #PA09 #PA10 #PA11 #PA12 #PA13 #PA14 #PA15 #PA16 #PA17 #PA18
Voter Registration Deadline Apr 16, 2018
Pennsylvania Primary Election MAY 15, 2018
Registration Deadline Apr 16, 2018
Register here: pavoterservices.pa.gov/Pages/VoterReg…
Check Registration here: pavoterservices.pa.gov/Pages/VoterReg…
Find where you Vote here: pavoterservices.pa.gov/Pages/PollingP…
Registration Deadline Apr 16, 2018
Register here: pavoterservices.pa.gov/Pages/VoterReg…
Check Registration here: pavoterservices.pa.gov/Pages/VoterReg…
Find where you Vote here: pavoterservices.pa.gov/Pages/PollingP…
#Pennsylvania Redrawn District Maps #PADistricts
#NOMoreIncumbents
What is Where Now?
THREAD
Be sure & utilize this newfound fairness and VOTE!
Register here: pavoterservices.pa.gov/Pages/VoterReg…
Form for Absentee here: votespa.com/en-us/Document…
Next Election: Primaries May 15, 2018
#NOMoreIncumbents
What is Where Now?
THREAD
Be sure & utilize this newfound fairness and VOTE!
Register here: pavoterservices.pa.gov/Pages/VoterReg…
Form for Absentee here: votespa.com/en-us/Document…
Next Election: Primaries May 15, 2018
Breaking: @CookPolitical PVI values for the new PA map (h/t @bycoffe). Note: districts were totally renumbered, so careful on before/after. Will walk thru the biggest changes below. 1/ 
