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#Alisson’s #PremierLeague form is an absolute joke! 🔥

He’s faced 7 1v1 situations so far & saved all 7! 🤯

My model predicts an average #PL GK would’ve conceded ~4 goals from those situations by now! 👑

How long do we think he can keep the 100% record? 🤔

#LFC #LiverpoolFC
My model uses a database of #PremierLeague 1v1s to not only calculate the expected save probability of each 1v1 situation but to also predict what the optimal strategy is in each situation & how likely a GK would be to make the save for a given decision (for more see thread👇🏻).
So can #Alisson keep this up?

He obviously cant keep his 100% 1v1 record forever but I think he can keep his way above avg form going as my model finds that #Alisson only decreased the finish difficulty for the opposition striker with his decision making on 1 of the 7 occasions!
Read 3 tweets
🧵 Pre-match press conference thread Gameweek 3 [Friday]

🐦 Liverpool

📢 Jurgen Klopp on Andy Robertson: "Robbo trained the whole week, of course he [is] in contention, no doubt about that."

#fpl #gw3 #CHpressers #lfc #LivChe
📢 Klopp on team news: "Millie [James Milner] will not be ready – I think that's it pretty much. All the rest trained and looked good and sharp."

#fpl #gw3 #CHpressers #lfc #LivChe
☔️ Aston Villa

📢 Dean Smith on team news/injuries: "Ollie Watkins will train with us today and if he gets through training, he’ll be available for selection.

"[Leon Bailey's] progress is going ok but tomorrow will come too soon for him..."

#fpl #gw3 #CHpressers #avfc #AvlBre
Read 49 tweets
THREAD: #Ramsdale to #Arsenal

It will be interesting to see how #Ramsdale gets on at #AFC & how his game evolves.

One thing #AFC know they are getting is a quality 1v1 stopper!

My model suggests #Ramsdale’s 1v1 prowess saved #SUFC ~3 goals more than an average #PL GK would’ve!
In comparison #Leno was average at stopping 1v1s last year & given the brand of football #Arsenal wish to play maybe this was in their thought process when they scouted #Ramsdale.

My model has #Ramsdale as one of the top 5 1v1 stoppers in the #PL & potentially can still improve!
#Ramsdale’s strength vs close range 1v1s is down to his lightning fast speed of thought & speed off the line in combination with his wonderful bravery & tidy spread technique.

This save vs #Wolves is a good example

Rambo creates a huge barrier & snuffs out an excellent chance!
Read 9 tweets
I’ve always thought the discourse surrounding #Pickford is odd

Twitter would make you think he is the worst GK to ever play in the #PremierLeague which isn’t true, he’s an avg #PL shotstopper!

Yes he had a bad 2020 but his recent good form is starting to make up for that

Pickford’s #PremierLeague Save% for #Everton = 68.9

Expected Save% for an avg #PL GK who faced the same shots as #Pickford in that time = 69.0

I understand why people think that #England’s #1 should be better than a middle of the road PL GK but the abuse he gets is just crazy!
Also regarding the #England #1 shirt, the main reason he has it is because currently #Southgate believes that being an average shotstopper is outweighed by the fact he is a level above any other English GK when it comes to distributing the ball, especially when under pressure!
Read 5 tweets

#Henderson’s shot prevention has been class in his first 8 #PremierLeague games & its played a big part in #ManchesterUnited’s success!

He is preventing 3.07 chances occurring per game corresponding to ~0.44 ExG per game!

That’s double #DeGea’s ExG prevented per game!
Here I will compare #Henderson’s cross claiming & sweeping (the two branches of shot prevention) so far this year to #DeGea’s & discuss how this has affected #ManchesterUnited’s defence.

I will use my shot prevention model as sadly mainstream models miss many important actions!

#Henderson’s sweeping has been highlighted after his tidy display vs #THFC & it wasn’t a one off!

So far this year for #ManchesterUnited he has prevented 11 opposition chances occurring by sweeping which corresponds to preventing 0.15 ExG/90 (#PL avg is 0.10 ExG/90)
Read 12 tweets
@WagnerUriel1 @slpng_giants_pt @oatila Estar alerta também p/ações igualmente perigosas q passam desapercebidas e q influenciam fortemente os comportamentos de risco e #letalidade por cooptação, baseadas na oferta de #produtos e/ou #serviços ancorados) em #prazer (pacotes #viagens) ou #medo (#religião, #livros) ex.:👇🏾
@WagnerUriel1 @slpng_giants_pt @oatila Caso 1) #Pacotes de #viagens:
Como pode o pessoal de @123milhas seguir "convidando" as pessoas a escolher seu próximo roteiro de #viagem, nos seus #comerciais de TV (ex.: no canal #SpaceHD #654 na #netclaro) em pleno pico de #pandemia de #covid19, como se não houvesse amanhã, ...
@WagnerUriel1 @slpng_giants_pt @oatila @123milhas como se a vida atual fosse uma #viagem+#festa? Não é à toa que o #filme escolhido por eles @SPACE_Brasil para este domingo (21/03) é “Anjos e Demônios” com Tom Hanks. Só compreensível (mas não aceitável) se o anúncio for destinado a #negacionistas, #bolsomínions e #genocidófilos
Read 104 tweets
#FPLMatchups Mini Man City #GW29 Edition: GW29 Attackers
+ Little Prince Pick of the Week
Welcome back to FPL Matchups; my weekly think piece where I use my coaching lens to explore matchups in the #PL to gain some insight to navigate our #FPL decisions.

#FPLCommunity ♥️♻️🙏🏽
Before I begin, I must warn you that only 3 of the top 20 FPL assets over the past 6 GWs are forwards, and one of them is Iheanacho. Only 8 of the top 20 are MIDs while more than half (11) are defenders or GKs. This trend towards more productive defense was predicted by
@FPLMariner’s attack and defense FDRs weeks ago. Currently, on a scale from 0 to 7 where 0 is best and 7 is worst, there are 17 teams w/ and offensive rating above 3.0 (remember the greater the number, the worse it is). Conversely, only 11 DEF rankings are above 3.0.
Read 45 tweets
Realitäts-Level: Beraterinnen/Berater der Corona-Pandemie
#Fachleute und #Experten sollen Regierungen mit wissenschaftlicher #Expertise und #Fachwissen bei ihren Entscheidungen unterstützen. Auszüge aus der #AITask Realitäts-Level-Analyse für das erste Jahr der Corona-#Pandemie
#AITask hat eine Realitäts-Level-#Analyse von #Beratern der politischen Entscheider zur #Pandemie in 14 Staaten über einen Zeitraum vom 01.02.2020 – 28.02.2021 ausgeführt. 265 #Berater und 63.460 ihrer Aussagen/Einschätzungen wurden mit KI-Unterstützung eingeordnet
Den höchsten #RealitätsLevel der Staaten #AT, #BE, #BL, #CH, #CZ, #DE, #DK, #EN, #FR, #LU, #NL, #PL, #SE, #UK erreichten Berater in #Dänemark (24%), den Niedrigsten in #Schweden (2%), in Deutschland wurde ein Realitäts-Level von 8% im ersten Jahr der #Corona-#Pandemie erreicht Image
Read 9 tweets
#FPLMatchups #DGW28 Edition:
#GW29 Defenders + Little Prince Pick of the Week

Welcome back to FPL Matchups; my weekly think piece where I use my coaching lens to explore matchups in the #PL to gain some insight to navigate our FPL decisions.

#FPLCommunity ♥️
Life events, Der Klassiker & el Derbi Madrileño have prevented me from watching much of the #GW27 matches. I guess I must admit that the big red arrows I’ve been impaled with in FPL recently have also curbed my interest.
The result was interesting as it led to a quite stats heavy matchups article this week.
Among the most famous Buddhist paradoxes is “form is emptiness, emptiness is form.” I find this paradox best explained, however, by Taoism.
Read 38 tweets
#Henderson’s cross claiming has been exceptional in his first 5 #PremierLeague appearances

#Henderson boasts a 100% claim success rate while being twice as active the average #PL GK!

His claiming is preventing #ManchesterUnited conceding chances worth ~0.4 ExG per game!

For comparison, #DeGea cross claiming numbers this year are:

Chances Prevented = 0.81
(Only 41% of DH)

ExG Prevented = 0.15
(Only 35% of DH)

Average Claim Distance = 4.5yrd (Only 78% of DH)

Claim Success = 95%
(95% of DH)

Catch Fraction = 58%
(104% of DH)

For more information on the metrics I quote in the graphics above please see this thread, it explains how I calculate which cross claims prevent chances & which don’t & how I assign ExG values to each claim & why it’s important to look deeper than “total high balls claimed”!
Read 6 tweets

Have #DeGea’s cross claiming & sweeping numbers changed dramatically this season in comparison to last season?

Below I will look into #DeGea’s sweeping & cross claiming performance in the 19/20 #PremierLeague season & compare it with his performance so far this year! Image
Claiming 19/20:

#DeGea prevented 0.77 chances per 90 occurring by claiming crosses

Average #PremierLeague GK prevents 1.10 chances per 90 occurring by claiming crosses

Key points

• Attempts to claim infrequently

• Mostly successful when he does attempt to claim

#MUFC Image
Claiming 20/21:

So far #DeGea has prevented 0.74 chances per 90 occurring by claiming crosses

#DeGea has performed in a very similar manner against crosses this year with his willingness to claim & his success when doing so remaining roughly the same.

#MUFC Image
Read 7 tweets

Iroko é um dos Orixás mais antigos, ele representa o tempo e rege a Ancestralidade. Ele foi a primeira árvore plantada na terra, por onde desceram todos os Orixás, por este motivo ele é o líder de todos os espíritos das árvores sagradas.
Durante as reuniões dos Orixás, onde avaliam a humanidade e o desenvolver da Terra, Iroko está sempre presente, mas apenas
observa e anota o que é concluído por eles, pois quem regerá o tempo de todos os acontecimentos será ele.
Este Orixá, não costuma “baixar”nas giras, mas extremamente respeitado nos terreiros, este Orixá é quem direciona o início e o fim de todo ciclo. Seu poder e fama abrangem diversas culturas, na Babilônia e Mesopotâmia ele é o Leão Alado Enki,
Read 7 tweets
Billet du jour sur le #Brexit et ses conséquences sur notre club de toujours, l'#OM :

Obtention du GBE :
très contraignant, le joueur doit par ex avoir joué 90% des matchs de son équipes (tps en sélection pris en compte). Vous imaginez bien que pr un mec...

#TeamOM #MercatOM
comme #Sanson va falloir réfléchir à le refiler à -50% en Bundesliga.

⚽️ Rôle de Paul Aldridge :
2 solutions, soit il va se faire virer soit il va voir ses affectations revues en conséquence. Pour moi il doit gicler, rôle invisible & très confus jusqu'à présent, il doit partir.
⚽️ Stratégie basée sur le trading :
On estime les ventes FR en UK d'environ 100 à 150 millions par an. C'est clairement une manne financière en moins mais pas forcément symbole de l'écroulement de cette stratégie. Faudra être encore plus malin et attendons nous à voir fleurir...
Read 7 tweets

Palace: Guaita; Clyne, Kouyate, Dann, van Aanholt; Townsend, Riedewald, McArthur, Eze; Ayew, Zaha.

Leeds: Meslier; Ayling, Koch, Cooper, Alioski; Struijk; H. Costa, Klich, Dallas, Harrison; Bamford.

#CRYLEE ImageImage
Yang mau komentar soal #CRYLEE, pertandingan sebelumnya, atau mau curhat soal #FPL? Silakan. Asal jangan curhat soal hasil gacha ya~
Palace ini setiap musim selalu ada yang bikin menarik.

"Winger jadi striker, midfield jadi bek" pernah kita bahas di podcast awal musim. Eberechi Eze juga disorot:…
Read 30 tweets
UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson discusses new restrictions to combat COVID-19…
England imposes new national lockdown to combat COVID-19 resurgence
Prime Minister Boris Johnson ordered England back into a national lockdown after the United Kingdom passed the milestone of 1 million COVID-19 cases and a second wave of infections threatened to overwhelm the health service Image
Read 7 tweets
{THREAD} #Pulisic even easier on the eye as #FPL managers continue to weigh-in on the selection headache of the century, with a mouth-watering selection of midfielders to choose from in the Fantasy Premier League 2020/21 season... ©️🇺🇸
This is a player Chelsea signed back in the transfer window, before immediately loaning him back to Dortmund...

As Hazard departed for Real Madrid, Pulisic was called upon and debuted for 32 minutes in a crushing 4-0 defeat to Manchester United on the opening day.
From a statistical point of view, it was a quiet start for Christian Pulisic 🤫

This was as a result of gradual integration as he climatised to the pace and physicality of the PL 💪

Abraham and Mount were the young players to shine in the spotlight early on💡
Read 14 tweets
Thread of ALL pictures from tonight:
Read 153 tweets
How #PL matches will be different behind closed doors. A guide to the safety measures in place during the match 👇
🏃‍♂️ If there's only one tunnel at the stadium, the away team’s players will enter the pitch first, followed by the home team

📏 When they line up for the #PL anthem, players will now stand in a staggered formation

🛑 Handshakes between the two teams will no longer happen
📏 Benches will be expanded to enable social-distancing. This includes using seats next to the bench or reallocating seats to provide the required distance

⚠️ Those in the technical area must maintain social-distancing, with zones marked out to guide them
Read 10 tweets
What does the #PL postponement mean for #FPL 👇

⬛ All GW30 and GW31 fixtures are postponed and the intention is for the PL to return for GW32 on 4 April, subject to medical advice
Deadlines & points

⬛The deadlines for GW30 & GW31 will remain at their scheduled times

⬛ Given all fixtures have been postponed for these Gameweeks, managers will earn 0 points for their players

⬛ Any activity managers undertake ahead of each deadline will apply to that GW
H2H leagues and #FPL Cup

⬛ If neither manager took points hits that GW then the H2H matches will be drawn and managers will earn 1pt each

⬛ If both managers incurred no points hits, their scores will be zero and their FPL Cup match will be decided by a virtual coin toss
Read 6 tweets
Really engaging Q&A with #AVFC chief exec Christian Purslow via last night's @Villa_Trust AGM. Off today putting some flat-pack up & had it on. CP confirms Kappa budgeted for 30k units of kits this year but 80k cleared. 100k units all set for next year puts...
#AVFC in top 8 in UK & top 15 clubs in Europe commercially for merchandise, an area that's "exploding" at Villa compared to previous 4/5 years. Has been challenges given uncertainty w/ promotion last term, meaning planning impossible to get right. Merch side of Villa...
sub-contracted & run by Kappa, with contract running until 2023. Question came from dad wanting Villa kids' bedding, towels & more merch. Owner of Kappa at Villa Park on Sunday for first time for Spurs game. Elsewhere, #AVFC "banked an incredible windfall benefit" from #HS2...
Read 11 tweets
Está na pauta da sessão de amanhã do #Senado o projeto de lei #PL 5.029/2019, que altera a legislação #eleitoral. O PL gera retrocessos escandalosos nas leis eleitorais e estimula #corrupção, #lavagem de bens e outros #crimes com NOSSO dinheiro. Está aqui:
O #PL5029 altera a Lei dos #Partidos Políticos (Lei 9.096/1995). Um dos maiores problemas é a mudança dos arts. 30 e 31 da lei, para permitir que os partidos usem qualquer sistema de contabilidade do mercado para #prestaçãodecontas. Hoje precisam usar o sistema mantido pelo #TSE
Se cada #partido prestar contas em sistema próprio, será impossível à Justiça Eleitoral usar critérios homogêneos e cruzar informações. As #prestaçõesdecontas dos #partidos, que já não são controladas com eficiência, virarão de vez prestações de faz-de-contas
Read 21 tweets
If Smartphones are Footballers?

#PremierLeague #PL #Uefa #Football Image
The @XiaomiNigeria Black Shark = Kylian Mbappe Image
@oppomobileng F11 = Eden Hazard Image
Read 14 tweets
14/8/2019 - Loss, -16,442. 1 Successful, 1 unsuccessful, 2 scratch trades.
T1 - traded Asian paints based on double doji on daily setup, worked well initially and almost 10k Profit...then trade management was bad. Did not take profits partial on a reversal bar agst trd #SelfNote
T2 - Took a trade again a double doji, rejection on 15mins....not going anywhere scratched it with a loss. #Selfnote Close the trade if its looking iffy, immediately
T3, T4 - Took a trade at the edge of down channel with small triangle formation for breakout, it worked in HPCL - small profit in AXISBANK
Read 9 tweets

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