Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #porvrsl
Most recents (2)
I'm seeing a lot of questions in @GameFlowxPG about the #RCTID and #RSL game, so I'll wade into the deep end here.
The @AnalysisEvolved xG model has this game 1.8 to 2.47 for RSL.
@FotMob has it 2.07 to 1.69 in favor of Portland.
The #WGCF model below is barely Portland.
1/
The @AnalysisEvolved xG model has this game 1.8 to 2.47 for RSL.
@FotMob has it 2.07 to 1.69 in favor of Portland.
The #WGCF model below is barely Portland.
1/
Think of xG models like judges in a boxing match. One may score a shot one way and another a different way due to their own perspectives (both strengths and blind spots).
Usually they agree on the final winner, but often it's a split or majority decision.
2/
Usually they agree on the final winner, but often it's a split or majority decision.
2/
Although one judge may see a shot differently, in aggregate, good xG models will usually agree about a team over a season, and typically even over 5 to 10 games.
Models typically improve over time, if there is acknowledgment about their blind spots and how to improve them.
3/
Models typically improve over time, if there is acknowledgment about their blind spots and how to improve them.
3/
Just read this article in my seat in the Timbers Army waiting for the #PORvRSL #mls match to start. #rctid
Another beautiful night for soccer in Portland.
Iron Front flags a plenty.
