Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #postkeynesian
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Some personal good news in hard times: Joined with wonderful coauthors @Chris_ptz @pvillenueve we just published our paper „The macroeconomic effects of social security contributions and benefits” in the Journal of Monetary Economics doi.org/10.1016/j.jmon… #econtwitter Thread: 
The gist of the paper is to estimate #macroeconomic #multiplier effects of spending on #socialsecurity vs. cutting contributions. The literature shows it is hard to estimate such effects, because spending and revenues are highly endogenous to the business cycle./2
We did a lot of nitpicking work conducting a time series of timing+size+circumstances of major legislations of social security in GER 1970q1-2018q4 (inspired by seminal work of Cristina+David Romer 2010 AER). This shall identify exogenous changes for causal analysis./3
John Maynard #Keynes was born on June 5, 1883, and died too early. Here's a few thoughts on why I keep circling back to him, & why his work forces 2 rethink the way we do & teach #economics, esp. #micro. I am sure this (partial) thread will upset someone: apologies in advance. 1/
#Keynes understood that #macroeconomics is about emergent properties: aggregate outcomes that don't make sense 2 the individuals populating the economy. The logic, e.g., of the #IncomeExpenditure model is that an economy can coordinate along any point on the 45-degree line.. 2/
and that, accordingly, we should expect economies to operate with slack. Then you have the #ParadoxofThrift and all that. He also talked about the #ParadoxofCosts when he discusses redistribution to lower income people who have higher propensity to consume... 3/
