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Bit early still, but Ron DeSantis has the momentum. I'd also note that @FLGovScott didn't lead in the average of polls before either of his elections. With the exception of @PPDNews' 2014 debut, the forecasters had the state going for @CharlieCrist.
floridapolitics.com/archives/27792…
floridapolitics.com/archives/27792…
Just to back up both of those claims, because they're true, here is that link. The result of the final #PPDPoll, juxtaposed to public polls dating back to 9/12/14, included. Wiki also gives a better sense than RCP of the lopsided, inaccurate Crist lean. peoplespunditdaily.com/news/elections…
For those who hit the paywall. Ironically, the St. Pete Poll taken on 10/8 – 10/11 & PPD Poll taken from 10/17 – 10/19, both had Scott +1. UNF had Crist +5; TB Times/Bay News 9/News 13/UF tied at 40%. It was stale, too. But you get the point. Scott didn't lead in the average. 
1. If the election was held today, @FLGovScott would defeat incumbent @SenBillNelson. Not just new polls. Gov. Scott is running very strong among the 18-29 bloc, Hispanic voters and seniors. Senator Nelson has never polled this badly among seniors, who could dominate the vote.
2. We know our own state better than any other fake guru, politico, pundit or pollster. Senator Nelson simply cannot offset his deficit among seniors when Gov. Scott is holding down the margins among traditional Democrat voting blocs, and trouncing him everywhere else.
3. Just got a question about what Bill Nelson has to do. First, he's got to firm up Hispanic support. Win back voters w/ pre-Obama history of split tickets; seniors, white men & women age 30-44, conservative-leaning Hispanic females 30-44. He's not doing any of that, nor TWT #1.
1. Bullshit. About 200 pivot counties swung the election to Donald Trump after voting for Barack Obama. Floridians in Pinellas & Pasco counties, are not racists. Iowans in Union and Clarke counties, are not racists. Michiganders in Monroe, Saginaw and Macomb, not racists.
2. In PA, Appalachia region represents 52 of the 67 counties statewide, which cast 44% of the Keystone vote. They went for @realDonaldTrump by just under 500K votes, up significantly from the roughly 176,000-vote lead Romney racked up over Mr. Obama. They are not racists.
3. In Dane County, WI, home to Madison and Milwaukee, HRC lost only a combined net 1,000 votes versus Mr. Obama in 2012. It was the rest of the state that did her in. Mr. Trump beat Mrs. Clinton by nearly 340,000 votes, far more than Romney's margin just under 100K. Not racists.
