Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #pragmaticequilibrium

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We’ve argued that understanding the dynamics of total global #liquidity is more important than merely focusing on central bank #rate moves, yet when it comes to both rates and liquidity measures, global central banks have made an important pivot toward #PragmaticEquilibrium. Image
Indeed, we estimate the peak-to-trough contraction in our measure of total global #liquidity was about $1.6 trillion over a span of nearly 20 months, and that corresponded to a flattening in the U.S. #Treasury curve and growing anxiety about growth prospects.
However, we estimate that between now and the end of 2020, the @federalreserve will inject near another $350 billion, the #ECB another $250 billion, and should global FX reserve growth remain steady as it has, it will represent another $350 billion in liquidity growth.
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