Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #predictions

Most recents (24)

💡Zététique ou Autodéfense intellectuelle ? (thread)

Lors de mon enseignement des bases de la #PenséeCritique, la « #zététique » et l'#AutodéfenseIntellectuelle m'ont été présentées de façon confondue : il m'a été longtemps difficile de faire la part des choses entre les deux.👇
De plus, sans même parler d'#AutodéfenseIntellectuelle, la définition du terme #Zététique elle-même semble être différente d'une personne à l'autre.
Je vais ici vous en exposer ma compréhension depuis les cours de @RichMonvoisin à son utilisation dans la communauté des #SceptiquesRationnel·les française et parler brièvement des idéologies associées comme l'#AutodéfenseIntellectuelle afin d'éviter les épouvantails.
Read 60 tweets
Why is #ETH dumping? 🫤

Something is not right with Ethereum recently!

Why has #ETHEREUM taken maximum hit after #LUNA crash amongst Large Cap Coins? 😵‍💫

Let's find out the top 3 reasons in this #Thread! 🔍

#Price #Predictions on last thread! 📈
1) #Eth Time Difficulty Bomb #Delayed 🧐
EIP 3238: Inbuilt into Eth is a difficulty time bomb that makes Eth Mining increasingly more difficult. The time it takes to mine a new block will be so long that profitability for miners will drop, and transactions will be too slow.
Developers want miners to stop mining #Eth1.0 and move over to #Eth2.0 upon release. Else, miners could continue using Eth 1.0, similar to the split seen with #Eth & #ETC. Due to delay in Time Difficulty Bomb, Eth 2.0 is directly or indirectly getting delayed, which is not + 😵‍💫
Read 11 tweets
Need to fight back a bit against the "Roko is so bad at military punditry" cucks.

How many of you were calling this in December?

🎯 #Accuracy #Predictions
The one thing I will say is that the probability of a world war has gone up a lot, maybe even to a few percent.

Russia's action in Ukraine was far more risky and maximalist than I expected.
Read 4 tweets
#Predictions as #IdleMusings.
a/ Be prepared for a ton of US media-adjacent & politics-adjacent folk to soon start suddenly telling you at profuse length why case numbers, infection numbers, just. don't. matter. (according to them).
b/ Of course case numbers will actually only matter in practice up to the point where no-one can count more anyway, because testing capacity got overwhelmed. But anyway.

c/ Be prepared for an awful lot of folks in Florida suddenly finding out, the hard way, that vaccine-made Abs >>>>>> mAbs, and for many of them their fav mAbs just won't work on omicron.
Advice? Make your own antibodies, #GetVaccinatedNow
Read 5 tweets
Australia’s Great Barrier Reef spawns in explosion of color during recovery from damage

usatoday.com/story/news/wor…

#GreatBarrierReef #CoralBleaching #spawning #recovery
Research brief: Feedback considerations for grand challenges in biodiversity–ecosystem functioning research

santafe.edu/news-center/ne…

#PublicPolicy #BiologicalFeedback #BiodiversityFeedback #models #HumanCommunities #MultidisciplinaryResearch
Read 13 tweets
Going to break-down how easy it is to use #autoML and more specifically JADBio AutoML. If you need an account to try it out, head over to jadbio.com and grab a free Basic plan. Ready? #data #ML (1/16)
STEP 1: You start by creating a Project on JADBio and generating all your study #data. That could either be data that has been processed and normalized by a #Bioinformatician, or public data available in the known data repositories (2/16)
If you’re using software for #molecular diagnosis like our Partner’s @QIAGEN OmicSoft Lands platform, your data is ready to be uploaded on JADBio. #ML 3/16
Read 17 tweets
Daily Bookmarks to GAVNet 11/14/2021 greeneracresvaluenetwork.wordpress.com/2021/11/14/dai…
This mineral shouldn’t exist on Earth’s surface. But researchers found it inside a diamond.

usatoday.com/story/news/nat…

#diamonds #minerals #discovery #botswana #davemaoite
Read 8 tweets
Daily Bookmarks to GAVNet 11/12/2021 greeneracresvaluenetwork.wordpress.com/2021/11/12/dai…
The Real Tantrum Should Be Over The Disturbing Lack of Celebration (higher yields)

alhambrapartners.com/2021/11/02/the…

#yield #BondMarket #CentralBank #normalization #InterestRates
Identification of LZTFL1 as a candidate effector gene at a COVID-19 risk locus

nature.com/articles/s4158…

#SARSCoV2 #genetics #risk #RespiratoryFailure #GainOfFunction #variants #TherapeuticTargets
Read 8 tweets
1. Is financial market pricing in some heightened Taiwan Strait war risk this week? Yes, a little. No perfect measure. With China on holiday last wk, can attribute some pop of 5-yr CDS price as caused by heighted attention, which happens around Oct with back to back national days
2. To put in context, China 5 Yr CDS value is 48.87, reveals a 0.81% implied probability of default, on a 40% recovery rate supposed. US 5 Yr CDS is 17.4, reveals a 0.29% implied probability of default. Recent increase in US mostly by the debt ceiling fight. #MintTheCoin hahaha
3. @PredictIt betting market doesn't have a Taiwan specific market, but has 3 China related contracts. Betting on who would be confirmed for next US Ambassador to China, and Pres. Xi's chance of staying as party General Secretary for next 10 years.
Read 11 tweets
If millions fewer young people are doing twice-weekly #tests then obviously those numbers will go down.

And that children are no longer #mixing regularly will have significantly reduced #transmission amongst their own and other age groups, i.e. family members.

I'm not sure...
...this is 'news', though it's another failure of (public health) comms if folks are being left confused.

More concerning, however, is the implication the #models - which one assumes were those used to predict the effects of re-opening schools - either didn't or couldn't cope...
...with this entirely #predictable event, and that they will somehow not be able to handle winter #predictions even after young people go back to school in the autumn, and testing resumes 🤔

If 18 months into the pandemic, Government is still just 'driving by #dashboard' then...
Read 4 tweets
I strongly urge all #scientists to return to their laboratories and conduct thorough #research on the topics within their purview.

#Health policy and #restriction decisions are the responsibility of the government and must consider multiple factors. 🇬🇧
#COVID19 #lockdown
1/6
In my opinion, Lancet did very poorly to publish the document accessible from the link: thelancet.com/journals/lance…

This is undue political pressure on the #UK government to try to prevent a return to normal life.
🌅😎⚽️🇬🇧🇮🇹
2/6
While I understand the scientists' concerns, it must be strongly stated that a #pandemic is not forever! 🤞🍀

#Vaccination of the UK population will provide adequate protection. 🛡️
#SARSCoV2 #healthcare #Health
3/6
Read 6 tweets
Daily Bookmarks to GAVNet 05/31/2021 greeneracresvaluenetwork.wordpress.com/2021/05/31/dai…
Declining biodiversity in wild Amazon fisheries threatens human diet

phys.org/news/2021-05-d…

#biodiversity #amazon #fisheries #diet #consequences
The Covid-19 Lab Leak Theory Is a Tale of Weaponized Uncertainty

wired.com/story/covid-19…

#COVID19 #origin #wuhan #LabLeak #weaponization #uncertainty
Read 10 tweets
Daily Bookmarks to GAVNet 05/27/2021 greeneracresvaluenetwork.wordpress.com/2021/05/27/dai…
Pianist Plays Classical Music to Comfort Rescued Blind Elephants

mymodernmet.com/paul-barton-re…

#ClassicalMusic #elephants AbusedAnimals #ComfortCare
Read 10 tweets
Daily Bookmarks to GAVNet 05/23/2021 greeneracresvaluenetwork.wordpress.com/2021/05/23/dai…
Watch a Robot 3D Printing the Rocket for Relativity Space’s First Orbital Launch

singularityhub.com/2021/03/28/wat…

#robotics #3DPrinting #RocketProduction
MOBLOT: A theoretical model that describes molecular oblivious robots

techxplore.com/news/2021-05-m…

#robotics #swarms #models #oblot
Read 10 tweets
Daily Bookmarks to GAVNet 04/16/2021 greeneracresvaluenetwork.wordpress.com/2021/04/16/dai…
Statistical rethinking with brms, ggplot2, and the tidyverse: Second edition

bookdown.org/content/4857/

#BayesianRegressionModels #statistics #tidyverse #OrdinalModelPlots
Why a Chinese invasion of Taiwan would be a catastrophe for China and the world

doxa.substack.com/p/why-a-chines…

#china #taiwan #MilitaryConflict #consequences
Read 8 tweets
This Week's Silver Squeeze #predictions

1- More and more reports physical silver is currently out of stock (due to a large number of new orders)

Most physical silver is refined for being sold. Refineries have a limited capacity (remember March 2020?)
2- Now buying physical is no longer possible even more money will be poured into listed silver stocks, especially the US-listed ones.
(SIL and SILJ (ETF) will show serious volumes and gains)
The Reddit's will discover buying silver (COMEX=CRIMEX) futures is a pro-biz, and an almost impossible road to physical silver for retail investors. CRIMEX-rules are designed to favor/help/defend Wall Street Banksters. (Ask the Hunt Brothers, 1980)
Read 7 tweets
Daily Bookmarks to GAVNet 08/24/2020 greeneracresvaluenetwork.wordpress.com/2020/08/24/dai…
Phenomenal World | Logistics, Labor, and State Power

phenomenalworld.org/interviews/lal…

#labor #state #logistics #power
How Does Commodity Trading Work? Not Well Enough for Some European Banks - Bloomberg

bloomberg.com/news/articles/…

#symbiotic #european #trading #memetic #banks
Read 7 tweets

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