Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #predictions

Most recents (6)

Failed #Predictions.

The German company #Stollwerck (now sadly sold off to a 'Belgian' group) predicted in 1897 that by the year 2000 there would be winged policemen chasing winged thieves.

Also, it predicted mobile #hotels (in the form of multi-storey railroad cars) Image
The flying thief, up close: Image
It is obvious why railroad-hotels were never realized.

Unless bridges and, most-of-all, tunnels would be much higher (and thus inaffordable), these hotels would need a system of railroads of their own! This is too expensive, and wouldn't reach very far. Also, only those people>
Read 4 tweets
Daily Bookmarks to GAVNet 08/24/2020…
Phenomenal World | Logistics, Labor, and State Power…

#labor #state #logistics #power
How Does Commodity Trading Work? Not Well Enough for Some European Banks - Bloomberg…

#symbiotic #european #trading #memetic #banks
Read 7 tweets
Daily Bookmarks to GAVNet 6/25/2020-2…

Tom Rosenstiel on Twitter: I’m not avid on Twitter, but at others’ urging I want to offer a thread in response to @wesleylowery’s powerful essay in the @nytimes…

#journalists #objectivity
Interview: A disease modeler talks COVID-19, contact tracing, and quarantine | NOVA | PBS…

#disease #contact #tracing #modelling
Researchers uncover brain mechanisms in fruit flies that may impact future learning…

#brain #learning #flies
Read 5 tweets
As part of my resolutions for 2019, I want to think more critically about the papers I'm reading. I'll start with "When Will AI Exceed Human Performance? Evidence from AI Experts" (

#AI #predictions #paperreview
The paper "When Will AI Exceed Human Performance? Evidence from AI Experts" analyses predictions about progress in AI from researchers who published at the 2015 NIPS and ICML conferences. Only a quick survey was used to gather the data.
A quick survey does not evoke thoughtful forecasts. It provokes fast thinking and sampling from intuition. Daniel Kahneman's "Thinking fast and slow" provides ample examples of how fast thinking is skewed by bias.…
Read 12 tweets

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