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⚽️FIXTURES TO TARGET [A THREAD]⚽️

In this thread I'll be covering THE BEST fixtures to target for GW5 so you can maximize the number of points you score. So strap in and let's start!😁
🔴Brentford🔴 - ⚪️Leeds⚪️

This game is definitely going to be an eye-catcher! Both of these teams are really exciting to watch.
🔴Toney[7.1m] might explode in this one. Brentford are ranked 5th for goals scored this season [10] and 6th for xG[7.81].

👇🏼TO BE CONTINUED 👇🏼
Toney is definitely hungry for returns after his 2 recent blanks in the last 2 gameweeks. He is averaging 1.80 SH per 90, and 0.73 xGI per 90. Leeds are well known for their bad defense record and Toney could exploit that. Leeds have conceded 46 SHOTS FROM OPEN PLAY[ 5G conceded]
Read 10 tweets
Can Alexander be Great? 🇸🇪

After his recently impressive debut vs LIV, Rey analyses whether the Swede is an asset #FPL managers should consider.

Author: @rey_qur
Statistics: @FantasyFootyFix

#GW6
Isak has been a player I have been looking at since December of last year. He was strongly linked with Arsenal and I was very keen on the gunners to sign him.

For the #FM22 enthusiasts, he’s incredible in the game 🤷🏻‍♂️
Once NEW signed the striker, I was very keen to analyse his movements during the game and if he is fit for the intensity and physicality of the #PremierLeague
Read 14 tweets
#PremierLeague last 5 seasons breakdown of transfers netspend, expenditure and sales with every team broken down (25 long thread)

First Netspend for the last 5 seasons:

#MUFC top the netspend chart with £580m Net
While 4 London clubs after sitting between £350m to £450m
Purchases over the last 5 seasons:
#CFC #MUFC & #MCFC top the purchases charts
Sales over the last 5 seasons:

#ChelseaFC and #MCFC absolutely top the last 5 seasons with with both in that £500m mark
Read 26 tweets
#PremierLeague transfer expenditure, sales and net all combined for 2022 Summer Window -

Lets start with the 2022/23 Summer Net Spend:
#PremierLeague broke a few records this window. ⬛️With near £2.2bn spent and a
⬛️NetSpend of £1.24bn 📈
#PremierLeague 2022/23 Summer windows player purchases

#CFC #MUFC #WHUFC #Tottenham #NottinghamForest top the charts here all spending over £140m with 10 teams in total over £100m
Read 5 tweets
A GK’s handling ability is vital & often under analysed!

Here #DeGea showed how handling can determine a game’s outcome when he parried a 49mph central shot into danger & the rebound was scored!

xRebound xG = 0.09
Actual Rebound xG = 0.47

xG added due to poor handling = 0.38
My handling model uses historic shot data to gauge how often certain shots should be expected to be caught, parried away from danger, & parried into danger in combination with a none shot xG model which assesses how likely rebounds are to be scored based on the parry location
My model found that due the shot’s lower than avg velocity & central trajectory an avg PL GK would expect to parry the ball into an area which resulted in a goal from the rebound only 9% of the time whereas #DeGea pushed it into an area which results in a goal 47% of the time!
Read 8 tweets
I created a betting system for football betting using expected goals (xG) data.

And I am also sharing it for free.

Here is a simple 5-step approach to predicting the upcoming Premier League matches.

[🧵 thread]
Step 1.

👉Create a Match Rating

You can create a match rating by subtracting the away team’s xG difference (xG - xG allowed) from the home team’s xGD over the course of their 3 most recent games.

Let's illustrate the idea using the 2021/22 Brentford-Leicester City game 👇
Step 1. [Example]

- Brentford entered the game with 4.7 xG scored and 4.1 xG allowed, or an xGD of 0.6 (4.7 - 4.1)
- Leicester entered the game with 7.4 xG scored and 3.4xG allowed, or an xGD of 4 (7.4 - 3.4)

👉 The #BRELEI match rating was therefore -3.4 (0.6 - 4).
Read 13 tweets
𝐏𝐑𝐄𝐌𝐈𝐔𝐌 𝐌𝐈𝐃𝐅𝐈𝐄𝐋𝐃𝐄𝐑𝐒

The premium template seems strong with >55% ownership for both Salah and Haaland. In this thread, let’s look at the prospects of Son, De Bruyne, Sterling and Bruno and see if they're worth breaking the template for.

#FPL #FPLCommunity
Also, we will look into Salah’s alleged dip in form post-AFCON. All stats were taken from @FFScout Members Area unless otherwise mentioned.

Abbreviations used:
NPxG – Non-penalty Expected Goals
xA – Expected Assists
NPG – Non-penalty Goals
A – Assists
If you would prefer to read a blog post rather than a thread, check out my article for the award-winning blog @allaboutfpl 👇
allaboutfpl.com/2022/07/premiu…
Read 44 tweets
How do the top six #PremierLeague midfields stack up in terms of creation?

Jordan Henderson as Liverpool’s most dangerous creator from the midfield was surprising to say the least. #LFC
Here it is per 90 minutes, showing top performers for each side. Henderson drops down, Elliott shoots out, KDB is a cut above the rest.
Now if you add Trent Alexander-Arnold and Andrew Robertson to the mix, you see where Liverpool's two main sources of creativity lie, and why the midfield is more industrious rather than creative.
Read 4 tweets
LA FUERZA DE LOS SUEÑOS

El Forest coronó el milagro, venció a Huddersfield en Wembley empujado por una marea roja y jugará la próxima temporada en la Premier League después de 23 años de ausencia. Salud! #NFFC #COYR #PremierLeague
El escenario llamaba a las viejas páginas de la historia: Forest en Wembley. Como a principios de los 90 y especialmente a fines de los 70, cuando ver al equipo de Clough jugar finales era una costumbre. Era el turno para una nueva generación de testigos de hazañas.
Así lo entendieron los 40000 hinchas que agotaron las entradas y coparon Wembley. Desde las primeras estrofas del Mull of Kintyre, hicieron sentir su presencia y la incontenible ilusión que los había llevado desde Nottingham (y todas partes del continente) hasta allí.
Read 23 tweets
My 1st @goalkeeper_com piece:

How many goals were the big 6 GKs worth vs the avg #PL GK?

#Alisson was worth ~19 goals! What more does a GK have to do to get #POTY!

#DeGea was the best shot stopper but his weak shot prevention & distribution meant he was only worth ~3 goals!
#Ederson was the best distributer & his shot preventing was class but his below average shot stopping means his value is far below #Alisson’s!

#Ramsdale’s performances at the end of the season were average but his incredible start means he ended the year with great numbers!
#Mendy was in 2nd place for goal value throughout the year but a poor final few games caused him to drop off, still he was worth ~6 goals to #Chelsea!

#Lloris has gone under the radar this year & while his distribution was pretty weak his shot stopping & sweeping was class!
Read 10 tweets
💃 One last dance!

What madness will ensue on the final day of the Premier League season?

🧵 A thread... Image
⚽️⚽️⚽️ GOAL RUSH ⚽️⚽️⚽️

We're 250/1 that each team in today's #PremierLeague matches score at least one goal. Image
🔵 Jack Grealish is 7/4 to score against his former club and #ManCity win the Premier League title #MCIAVL Image
Read 6 tweets
#LeicesterRoma/#PostMatch 1/5
La qualificazione passa sul binario opposto
Il gol dell'#ASRoma rivela uno dei limiti principali del #Leicester: difendere sul lato debole.
Per scelta gli inglesi tentano di rimpicciolire il campo concentrandosi sul lato forte (dov'è il pallone).
#LeicesterRoma/#PostMatch 2/5
Quando però le pressioni saltano e il campo ribaltato rapidamente, rischia inferiorità numeriche o mostra difficoltà in riposizionamenti e scelte difensive. Lo 0-1 di ieri: fallo laterale con i 10 giocatori di movimento tutti sul lato forte.
#LeicesterRoma/#PostMatch 3/5
#Zalewski è in massima ampiezza (tanto da uscire dall'inquadratura) per stressare quella situazione.
Sul cambio di campo, il Leicester è rapido a scivolare (4v2 nei pressi del pallone) ma passivo nelle scelte difensive concedendo facile profondità.
Read 5 tweets
Data la pubblicità meritata che il BDP creato da @Soccerment_Blog sta avendo nelle discussioni di questi giorni, vorrei integrare questo con un altro interessante indice, ossia la Challenge Intensity di @Wyscout [THREAD]
Il BDP misura quanto il pressing di una squadra influenza il possesso avversario mediante il calcolo del discostamento della percentuale di passaggi riusciti dell'avversario rispetto alla propria media.
Questo ci permette di capire, per esempio, quanto sia difficile giocare contro avversari come Torino e Verona in serie A o il Colonia in Bundesliga o il Leeds di Bielsa in Premier League.

soccerment.com/measuring-pres…
Read 16 tweets
𝘾𝙖𝙥𝙞𝙩𝙪𝙡𝙤 𝙄𝙄: 𝙇𝙖 𝙋𝙚𝙧𝙢𝙖𝙣𝙚𝙣𝙘𝙞𝙖.
📆 Temporada 2️⃣2️⃣➖2️⃣3️⃣

#️⃣ #PremierLeague#FIFA22#BrentfordFC Image
🔊 "𝐸𝑠𝑡𝑎 𝑝𝑙𝑎𝑛𝑡𝑖𝑙𝑙𝑎 𝑡𝑖𝑒𝑛𝑒 𝑙𝑜 𝑛𝑒𝑐𝑒𝑠𝑎𝑟𝑖𝑜 𝑝𝑎𝑟𝑎 𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑚𝑖𝑛𝑎𝑟 𝑎 𝑚𝑖𝑡𝑎𝑑 𝑑𝑒 𝑡𝑎𝑏𝑙𝑎..."

⏫ Pocas altas han habido en el equipo; prácticamente, son regresos de préstamo y un fichaje casi hecho con nuestro club hermano @fcmidtjylland.
𝙍𝙀𝙎𝙐𝙇𝙏𝘼𝘿𝙊𝙎 🔢
📆 𝓐𝓰𝓸𝓼𝓽𝓸

✈️ Manchester United (3-1) ❌
@ivantoney24

🏟️ Liverpool (3-1) ✅
@ivantoney24 (2), @BMbeumo19

✈️🏆 Sunderland (0-2) ✅
⚽ Roerslev, @BMbeumo19

✈️ Aston Villa (1-0) ❌

🏟️ 𝐿𝑜𝑐𝑎𝑙
✈️ 𝑉𝑖𝑠𝑖𝑡𝑎

#️⃣ #Brentford#PremierLeague ImageImageImageImage
Read 50 tweets
🧵¡𝙇𝙖 𝙢𝙞𝙚𝙡 𝙙𝙚𝙡 𝙧𝙚𝙜𝙧𝙚𝙨𝙤 𝙖 𝙋𝙧𝙚𝙢𝙞𝙚𝙧 𝙇𝙚𝙖𝙜𝙪𝙚!

📆 Temporada 2️⃣1️⃣➖2️⃣2️⃣

#️⃣ #PremierLeague#BeeTogether
𝙇𝘼 𝙋𝙄𝙕𝘼𝙍𝙍𝘼 📋

↪️ Formación base: 5-3-2
📂 Presión tras pérdida (60)
📂 Pase largo / Equilibrado (65)

↪️ Ofensiva: 3-5-2
📂 Presión tras pérdida (68)
📂 Armado rápido (67)

↪️ Al ataque: 3-4-2-1
📂 Presión tras pérdida (70)
📂 Pases directos (70)

#Brentford#FIFA22
𝔹𝕣𝕖𝕟𝕥𝕗𝕠𝕣𝕕 ℂ𝕠𝕞𝕞𝕦𝕟𝕚𝕥𝕪 𝕊𝕥𝕒𝕕𝕚𝕦𝕞

#FIFA22#beetogether 🐝
Read 39 tweets
Economic snapshot. A new study by EY highlights how the #PremierLeague and its clubs have continued to generate widespread benefits for the economy, society and the entire football pyramid, despite the significant challenges presented by COVID-19 #SportBusiness
@fcbusiness @utdarena @DailyAFC @SportByFort @MUnitedFR @iemadAFC @OsmanZtheGooner @AFC4AR @PrestwichBlue @InsiderCity_Ar The analysis reveals that Premier League football contributed £7.6bn to the UK economy during the 2019/20 season, which was suspended for more than three months due to the pandemic. Clubs' economic activity has grown by 840 per cent since the 1998/99 season.
@fcbusiness @utdarena @DailyAFC @SportByFort @MUnitedFR @iemadAFC @OsmanZtheGooner @AFC4AR @PrestwichBlue @InsiderCity_Ar The League and its clubs generated a total tax contribution of £3.6bn to the UK Exchequer in 2019/20, £1.4bn of which was accounted for by Premier League players. The total tax contribution underpinned by clubs has increased by £3.1bn since 1998/99.
Read 10 tweets
THREAD:

Today I’ll breakdown #DeGea’s performance in the #PremierLeague using my bespoke GK models!

The headline is for the first time in 3 seasons #DeGea’s shot stopping skills are outweighing his weak shot prevention skills & thus far he has saved #MUFC ~5 additional goals! Image
Shot Stopping:

#DeGea’s shot stopping has been world class, my model predicts he has saved #MUFC ~5 goals more than an average #PL shot stopper would’ve thus far!

The goalmouth map highlights just how hard #DeGea has been to beat, if you don’t hit the corners you won’t score! Image
Shot Stopping:

His Best 3 Saves (Lowest ExSave Saves Made) are below 😮:

1. 24% Save Probability vs Jesus

2. 34% Save Probability vs Almiron

3. 42% Save Probability vs Pukki

They highlight #DeGea big strength, his reflexes & ability to cover huge amounts of the goal area. ImageImageImage
Read 17 tweets
THREAD:

How good has #Ramsdale been for #Arsenal so far?

I’ve seen him described as both “the signing of the season” & “a camera save merchant” but what does the data say?

In this thread I will breakdown his performance in all areas of goalkeeping using my bespoke models

#AFC
Shot Stopping:

#Ramsdale’s shot stopping has been excellent, my model predicts he has saved #AFC ~3 goals more than an average #PL shot stopper would’ve thus far!

He’s basically only conceded vs close range shots in the corners & has pulled a few shots out of the top corners!
Shot Stopping:

His Best 3 Saves (Lowest ExSave Saves Made) are below 😮:

1. 31% Save Probability vs Bowen

2. 52% Save Probability vs Maddison

3. 57% Save Probability vs Moura

They highlight #Ramsdale big strength, his agility & ability to cover huge amounts of the goal area.
Read 16 tweets
/Thread/ #PremierLeague clubs have smashed their own record for combined shirt #sponsorship deals, with the 20 clubs generating £358.75m for the 21-22 season, an increase of £14.25m from last yr. Sleeve sponsors are paying a further £83.75m to the 19 clubs combined (without EFC)
@fcbusiness @utdarena @ChrisWheatley_ @martynziegler @mjshrimper @iemadAFC @DailyAFC @MUnitedFR @TheCitizensBR @PrestwichBlue This growth underlines the league's commercial strength also during the COVID-19 epidemic. The combined total in 2010-11, when @sportingintel first performed this exercise, was £100.45m. Main shirt and sleeve sponsorship deals have become a stable source of income for clubs
@fcbusiness @utdarena @ChrisWheatley_ @martynziegler @mjshrimper @iemadAFC @DailyAFC @MUnitedFR @TheCitizensBR @PrestwichBlue @sportingintel and have become an integral part of their marketing strategies. The international appeal of the Premier League is demonstrated with 14 clubs having sponsors with overseas headquarters based in countries as diverse as the USA, China, Germany, Thailand, the United Arab Emirates,
Read 38 tweets
Existential thread re how much do you love your kids & if you really, really want them over for Xmas holidays?

All thanks to @DGCAIndia @MoCA_GoI & @JM_Scindia @PMOIndia allowing v few flights, so fares > ₹1.5 lac, any sector, #London to #India
In @ShashiTharoor's cattle class
Thought I'd begin with our national carrier @airindiain after a great experience last time

Chose #AMD @ahmairport, one of our few international airports with A

Fare is £1983 (is it a promotion with the movie 83?)
Hey, it's #Gujarat, all business folks, ex Modi town. My bad!
Then went for the pukka #British @British_Airways

Picked #Hyderabad simply because it isn't #Bangalore, trying smaller airports, maybe better given the Covid restrictions

The fare is a whopping £2231. Ok, back to the drawing board !
Read 13 tweets
Provando a maneggiare i dati provenienti da @fbref provo a lanciarmi in qualche analisi statistica sulle squadre dei 5 principali campionati europei.
Oggi parto con la difesa dell'area di rigore e la concessione della rifinitura agli avversari.

[THREAD}
I valori considerati sono:
- Passaggi in area concessi a partita
- Percentuale di ingressi in area concessi tramite cross
- I colori indicano gli expected assist per ciascun key-pass subito
- La grandezza dell'indicatore è data dalla differenza tra assist e xA subiti.
Il grafico crea 4 quadranti che suddivide le squadre tra quelle che concedono più o meno ingressi in area (non importa se per dominio territoriale o se per compattezza difensiva) e se più tramite cross (soluzione indicativamente migliore sulla carta) o in altri modi.
Read 10 tweets
#DeGea’s ability to deal with crosses has quite rightly been criticised.

In the #PremierLeague #DeGea has only prevented 6 opposition chances occurring by claiming crosses!

My model finds this lack of activity means #MUFC concede on average an additional 0.14 ExG every game!
In comparison #Alisson of #LFC has prevented 18 opposition chances occurring by claiming crosses & #Alisson has played 90 fewer minutes!

This difference in cross claiming ability corresponds to #LFC facing on average roughly 0.36 fewer ExG per game in comparison to #MUFC!
Additionally #DeGea’s sweeping numbers have also been low this season.

In the #PremierLeague #DeGea has only prevented 4 opposition chances occurring by sweeping throughballs!

My model finds this lack of activity means #MUFC concede on average an additional 0.07 ExG every game!
Read 9 tweets
Antes de empezar, ACLARACIÓN:

Todas estas opciones son basadas únicamente en tendencias estadísticas. Aún no hay filtro de momios, ni lesionados, ausencias o cualquier otro 'pero' que sirva para descartar apuestas.

Esa tarea ya les toca a ustedes.
🇪🇸 #LaLiga
Levante vs Getafe
Ambos Equipos Más de 1.5 Tarjetas

Real Sociedad vs Mallorca
Real Sociedad ML

Rayo vs Elche
2da Mitad Más de 2.5 Tarjetas

Celta vs Sevilla
Ambos Equipos Más de 1.5 Tarjetas

Villarreal vs Osasuna
Más de 9 Córners
🇮🇹 #SerieA
Lazio vs Inter
Ambos Anotan

Milan vs Hellas
Hellas Más Tarjetas

Empoli vs Atalanta
Atalanta Anota 1er Mitad

Genoa vs Sassuolo
Ambos Anotan

Napoli vs Torino
Torino Más Tarjetas

Juventus vs Roma
Ambos Más 1.5 Tarjetas
Read 8 tweets
#FPLMatchups #GW6: Understanding Vespidae
+ The Alchemist

Hi and welcome back to my weekly matchups article where I use my coaching lens to explore matchups in the #PremierLeague to gain some insight in navigating our #FPL decisions.

#FPLCommunity ❤️♻️🙏
#netthathaul 🎣
I have been intrigued and perplexed about 2 teams in particular this season, the Hornets, and the Bees. Coming out of my wildcard, I recognize that my analysis of Sarr last GW stopped when I saw his team did not attack very much.
This narrow perspective clouded the possibility that Sarr could haul in the next couple of gameweeks. This thought led me to think that I may have a similarly narrow perspective of Brentford.
Read 30 tweets

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