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AB is in the #DeltaWave
Daily cases doubling time: 9.8 days
At this rate we can expect:
5000 daily new cases on Sept 14
8000 daily new cases on Sept 21
(pls see confidence intervals on the graphs)
5-8K daily cases is when we might expect ICUs full
...
1/
Daily cases doubling time: 9.8 days
At this rate we can expect:
5000 daily new cases on Sept 14
8000 daily new cases on Sept 21
(pls see confidence intervals on the graphs)
5-8K daily cases is when we might expect ICUs full
...
1/
The link between cases and severe illness is not broken.
The ratio is different. But the correlation stays.
2/
The ratio is different. But the correlation stays.
2/
In UK, hosp:cases ratio is now reportedly 4x lower.
In Israel this ratio is now 2.5-3x lower than in the 3rd wave.
In AB our ICUs were full at 2000 daily cases.
2000 x 2.5 = 5000
2000 x 4 = 8000
Hence, we could expect to have ICUs full at around 5000-8000 daily cases.
3/
In Israel this ratio is now 2.5-3x lower than in the 3rd wave.
In AB our ICUs were full at 2000 daily cases.
2000 x 2.5 = 5000
2000 x 4 = 8000
Hence, we could expect to have ICUs full at around 5000-8000 daily cases.
3/
