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🧵 How I mastered 90% win rate option trading.

DJ Khaled - They don’t want you to win.

Success is not given overnight , it is a mindset.

Basic overview, strategies & guidance , most common mistakes!

Education ⬇️
Gamma: (GEX) , which is a dollar-denominated measure of option market-makers' hedging obligations.

Things to remember/bookmark:

▪️High GEX env = lot of hedging needed = liquidity is added(+ GEX) or subtracted (- GEX)

▪️+ GEX = + gamma = Long calls go 1.0(delta) as they… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Delta: Measurement of change in option price as stock moves ⬆️ or ⬇️

▪️Between -1 and 1 for every option
▪️-1 to 0 for Puts
▪️0 to 1 for Calls
▪️More “in the money” the strike moves to option, more value it gains, closer it gets to -1 for Puts or +1 for Calls
▪️>90% options… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Read 7 tweets
This is the start of Drip Drops Knowledge!

Remember to hit that follow button if you like the content.

#SPY #SPX $ES_F #QQQ #futurestrading #OptionsTrading #options Image
The first official Knowledge Drop. $GME reported earnings last night and is up over 50% this morning. A short float of 24% (as reported by #Ortex) might have something to do with that. Breakdown in slide, follow me for weekly Knowledge Drops!

#GME #ShortSqueeze Image
Last week, I discussed the concept of a “short squeeze.” This week let’s look at the dynamics of dealer hedging and the concept of a “gamma squeeze.”

#ShortSqueeze #GammaSqueeze #SPY #SPX $ES Image
Read 9 tweets
Somehow our pinned tweet disappeared, so here it is again

This is a thread with information we think valuable:

1) Our Compact Guide to Understanding #Gamma
2) $SPX $Gamma structure Cheat Sheet
3) Our Compact Guide to Options Strategies
4) 2023 Options Calendar... and more
🧵
Version 1.0 of the $SPX #Gamma structure cheat sheet.

Developed in partnership from
@TradeVolatility, great tools for great trades

#SPX #ES_F #options #Futures #trading #Daytrader #VIX #VVIX #Gamma $Gamma #GEX $GEX $SPX $SPY #SPY $QQQ #QQQ #NDX #NQ_F

Our Compact Guide to Options Strategies

According to the teachings of Sheldon Natemberg, 30 years Market Maker, Cboe Educator and author of the options Bible "Option Volatility & Pricing: Advanced Trading Strategies and Techniques"

#SPX #ES_F #options #Futures #trading #VIX
Read 7 tweets
$SPX
Our weekly "NEXT WEEK, The Bear's take, The Bull's take, Our take" is here

For more info read our newsletter
Today's issue will be out in the morning

Subscribe for Free

pointblanktrading.substack.com

#SPX $SPY $ES $SPX #ES_F $GAMMA #GEX $QQQ #QQQ $DIj #trading #options #Futures
NEXT WEEK

The Bear's take:

•Rates and valuations are high
•Looming recession
•Geopolitical tensions ↑
•Very Bearish Gravestone doji on Friday
•More rates coming
•Market is extremely overbougth
•Dollar is going ↑

#SPX #ES_F $SPX #options #trading #Futures $SPY $ES
NEXT WEEK

The Bull's take

•Inflation/Commodities/Oil ↓
•SPX made a higher low and a higher high: Trend change
•Most charts are bullish
• $FAANG chart bullish
•All Breadth indicators are very strong
• $VIX, $VVIX still in strong donwtrend

#SPX #ES_F $SPX #options $SPY
Read 5 tweets
$SPX
Our weekly "NEXT WEEK, The Bear's take, The Bull's take, Our take" is here

For more info read our newsletter
Today's issue will be out tonight

Subscribe for Free

pointblanktrading.substack.com

#SPX $SPY $ES $SPX #ES_F $GAMMA #GEX $QQQ #QQQ
$DIA $IWM #trading #options #Futures
The Bear's take:

•Rates and valuations are high
•Looming recession
•FOMC: FED will be hawkish
•Geopolitical tensions are increasing
•Earnings will be low
•Macro enviroment is ugly
•Layoffs are increasing

#SPX #ES_F $SPX #options #trading #Futures #DayTrading $SPY $ES
The Bull's take

•Inflation/Commodities/Dollar are down ↓
•All indices are above their MA
•Tech leads and charts are bullish
• $FAANG and $TSLA charts are bullish
•Breadth indicators are strong
• $VIX, $VVIX and #DXY in strong donwtrend

#SPX #ES_F $SPX #options #trading
Read 5 tweets
$SPX
Our weekly "NEXT WEEK, The Bear's take, The Bull's take, Our take" is here

For more info read our newsletter (It will be out tomorrow)

Subscribe for Free

pointblanktrading.substack.com

#SPX $SPY $ES $SPX #ES_F $GAMMA #GAMMA #GEX $QQQ #QQQ
$DIA $IWM #trading #options #Futures
The Bear's take:

•Rates and valuations are high
•Looming Recession
•Geopolitical tensions are increasing
•Earnings will be low
•Macro enviroment is ugly
•Layoffs are increasing

#SPX #ES_F $SPX #options #trading #Futures #DayTrading #scalping #odte $SPY $ES #VIX #VVIX
NEXT WEEK

The Bull's take

•Inflation/Commodities/Oil/Dollar are down
•Techs are taking the lead again
• $FAANG chart is bullish
•Breadth indicators are strong
• $VIX, $VVIX and #DXY in strong donwtrend
•Positive divergence from CCI, RSI, ROC, Stochastics
#SPX #ES_F $SPX
Read 5 tweets
Interested in learning about a new BACKTESTED metric with an edge?

We've produced one at GammaEdge (GE) we know you'll like.

Our traders think it's one of the most powerful & actionable metrics we provide.

Ready to learn how it can make you money?

Let's get to work🧵👇
1/ Before we get going, here is what you'll be able to answer by the end:

· What is Gamma?
· What is Gamma Exposure (GEX)?
· What is the GammaEdge GEX Ratio (GR)?
· How is the GR different from Put-Call Ratio (PCR)?
· How to make the GR actionable?

Sound good? 👇
2/ A common gauge of fear in the market is the Put-Call Ratio (PCR).

However, this gauge is flawed.

Why?

Because it does not have a time component.
Read 36 tweets
$SPX
Our weekly "NEXT WEEK, The Bear's take, The Bull's take, Our take" is here

For more info read our newsletter (It will be out tomorrow)

Subscribe for Free

pointblanktrading.substack.com

#SPX $SPY $ES $SPX #ES_F $GAMMA #GAMMA #GEX $QQQ #QQQ
$DIA $IWM #trading #options #Futures
The Bear's take:

•Recession is just around the corner
• Rates and valuations are high
• Geopolitical tensions
• Friday, stocks rise on low volume
• Earnings will be low
•China Covid shutdown hurt earnings
• Market is overbougth
• #VVIX is rising

#SPX #ES_F $SPX #options
NEXT WEEK

The Bull's take

• Inflation/Commodities/Oil/$ are ↓
• $DJI chart is very bullish. $DJT and $IWM also look good
•Up week on increasing volume
• $VIX and #DXY in strong donwtrend
•Breadth indicators are strong
•Positive divergence from CCI, RSI, ROC, Stochastics
Read 5 tweets
If you haven't read it
From our newsletter:
$DJI
"Last Friday it managed - just like the $DJT and $IWM - to make a solid upward breakout... did so on high volume... close above the 20, 50, 100 and 200DMA.
All indicates that this will most likely be the way forward for the #SPX"
" #DJT made an excellent breakout and closed above 20 and 100DMA. It closed right at its 50DMA. Bullish action from a leading indicator. $DJT will have to surpass the conjunction of 50DMA and 200DMA next week, in order to validate more upward moves"
It did that yesterday

#ES_F
$QQQ

"A follow up rally is expected to allow it to break out of the Noise Box and break above at least the 20DMA.
On Monday it broke above the Noise Box, yesterday above the 20DMA, today above the 50DMA"

#QQQ #NDX #TradingSignals #bearmarket #SPX #ES_F #trading #SPX
Read 10 tweets
$SPX
Our weekly "NEXT WEEK, The Bear's take, The Bull's take, Our take" is here

For more info read our newsletter, it will be out later today

Subscribe for Free

pointblanktrading.substack.com

#SPX $SPY $ES $SPX #ES_F $GAMMA $GEX #GAMMA #GEX $QQQ #QQQ
$DIA $IWM #trading #options
NEXT WEEK

The Bear's take:

•Recession is around the corner
• Rates ↑
• Geopolitical tensions
•CPI is coming
• Bearish monthly engulfing candle on the main indexes
• Charts of market leaders are broken
•Bearish flag on the index charts

$ES_F $SPX $SPY #SPX #trading
NEXT WEEK

The Bull's take

•Inflation/Commodities/Oil/ $DXY are ↓
• $DJI and $DJT broke above consolidation
•Higher volume on up days
• $VIX in strong donwtrend
• $VVIX broke below support, is at 2017 levels
•Positive divergence from classic indicators
•Breadth is +
#SPX
Read 5 tweets
$SPX
Our weekly "NEXT WEEK, The Bear's take, The Bull's take, Our take" is here

For more info read our newsletter

Subscribe for Free

pointblanktrading.substack.com

#SPX $SPY $ES $SPX #ES_F $GAMMA $GEX #GAMMA #GEX $QQQ #QQQ
$DIA $IWM #trading
NEXT WEEK

The Bear's take:

• Rates, dollar, employment ↑
• Geopolitical tensions
• $VIX and $VVIX are above 20DMA and uptrending
• $SPX closed below 200, 100, 50 and 20 DMA
• Negative #Gamma regime
• Leading sectors are breaking down
$ES_F $SPX $SPY #SPX #VIX #trading
NEXT WEEK

The Bull's take

•Inflation/Commodities/Oil/ $DXY are ↓
•Seasonality favors up movement
•It was all about heavy $GEX & #Quad witching day
•Indices are very near strong support
• $VIX and $VVIX still in donwtrend
• Breadth indicator (#S5TH) is still holding
#SPX
Read 5 tweets
#Gold
There is a 16 year cycle for gold

The low is expected around 2029

2023 will be year 8 and so far year 5 (2020) is the high

See charts for bullish vs. bearish scenarios

#DXY #USD #goldprice #GOLD #SPX $GLD $SLV #SPX #QQQ $gld $silver #goldstocks #silver #silversqueeze
We are either early in a new 8 year cycle or will be at some point in 2023 so the high for this next 8 year cycle is likely to be the high for this 16 year cycle.

Maybe it comes in 2025

That increases the odds of something like $3000 as next 8 yr cycle high/16 year cycle high
And this is all in the context of the 30 year cycle where this new high in 2025 would become the high for that cycle top

A lot to watch for in the next 2 years!
Read 4 tweets
#Gold
**30 year cycle**
Video review of the "30 year cycle"

There are 16 year cycles that you need to be paying attention to. Charts in following tweets



#DXY #USD #goldprice #GOLD #SPX $GLD $SLV #SPX #QQQ $gld $silver #goldstocks #silver #silversqueeze
Bullish scenario for current 16 year cycle (2022 is year 7)
Bearish scenario for current 16 year cycle (2022 is year 7)
Read 5 tweets
TODAY IN THE MARKETS
$VIX

Down day for the #SPX, and the #VIX closed down -6.26% and below 20DMA

Yesterday: large bearish engulfing candle
Today: Continuation

Despite the lack of sync this looks like a bullish development for $SPX

#ES_F #trading $SPY $ES #options #VIX $VVIX
$XLF
#XLF was rejected at 20DMA

The sector remains above the 200DMA, and near support

For the October #SPX rally to continue it's necessary for #XLF to hold above $34.40

#trading #banks #options #ES_F $SPX $SPY $ES #DayTrading #Futures #inflation #ratehikes #Fed #Financial
$QQQ
It is in "the pinch", right between the 100DMA and the 20DMA.
One is support, the other is resistance

Let's see which side #QQQ comes out on.

It's still in the uptrend channel.

#NASDAQ #IXIC #NDX $NDX #NQ_F #options #trading #Futures #DayTrading #TradingSignals #SPX #ES_F
Read 10 tweets
TODAY IN THE MARKETS
$SPX
A low #CPI triggered a 114-point jump that took it above the dominant trendline. At the open, sell orders above that level initiated a pullback that took it 126 points down to the 20DMA

Not what we would call a 1-day reversal, more upside to come
#SPX
$DIA
Same picture for #DIA, sell orders above Dec 1 high pushed the #DJI lower

It went down after an impressive initial rally
Bounced from 20DMA

#DJIA will continue to lead the rally

Not a pretty candle, but not exactly a 1-day reversal

#DowJones #trading #options #trading
$IWM

Same story

Perhaps an uglier candle, closer to a 1-day reversal than $DIA and $SPX.

$RTY looking much better

Bounced from important support in the trading channel

Big volume today.

#IWM needs to catch up with $DJI for accompanying leadership

$RUT #RUT #RTY_F #trading
Read 12 tweets
Today in the markets
$SPX
An unexpected rally pushed #SPX 50 points higher today on increased volume

We can say it was a successful retest or bounce from the 100DMA

It closed at 20DMA and is now in the "pinch". Tomorrow we'll know which side #SPX is going to come out on

#SPX Image
$DIA
Another rally on higher volume

Today closed above the 20DMA, somewhat bullish if it is able to hold that ground.

Big impulsive green candle, indicating further upside

$DJI #DIA #DIJ $DJIA #industrial $SPX #SPX
#DowJones Image
IWM rose on higher volume. It kissed the 100DMA today, which has offered resistance in recent days

It is still in the "extension" zone of its trend channel.
It needs to get back inside the main channel and break above the 100DMA

#IWM $RUT $RTY #RTY #RUT #options
#trading Image
Read 11 tweets
Our weekly NEXT WEEK, The Bear's take, The Bull's take, Our take is here

For more info read our newsletter coming out later today

Subscribe for Free

pointblanktrading.substack.com

#SPX $SPY $ES $SPX #ES_F $GAMMA $GEX #GAMMA #GEX $QQQ #QQQ
$DIA $IWM #trading
NEXT WEEK

The Bear's take:

• Rates, inflation, dollar, employment ↑
• Geopolitical tensions
• $VIX above TL and 20DMA
• All indices broke below 20DMA
• Negative #Gamma regime
• Dealers are now net short
•Quadruple witching: large negative stack at 3900
$ES_F $SPX $SPY
NEXT WEEK

The Bull's take

•Commodities/Oil/ $DXY are ↓
• Indexes on lower weekly volume
• Breadth indicators still holding
• Indexes are at important supports
• Seasonality favors ↑movement
• Lower #CPI would push the market ↑
• Market ↑ on 50 bps rate hike

#SPX
Read 5 tweets
Today in the markets:
$SPX $SPY $ES

#SPX bounced yesterday from 100DMA, moved higher today on slightly lower volume

Still below 20DMA. Failure to regain that level will be a significant crack in the October rally

Break below 3900 would be the death of the rally

#ES_F #SPX
$DIA $DJI $YM

#DJIA and #DIA have been rejected from 20DMA yesterday and today, but #YM_F closed above it today

It is important for DJI and DIA to close above 20DMA

It bounced yesterday from the lower edge of its trading channel

#DowJones #YM_F #trading #options #DayTrading
$QQQ $NDX $NQ
It bounced yesterday from channel support &continued today with slightly lesser volume

It's still below 20DMA, but still in a short-trend uptrending channel, and a mid-term downward channel

It need to close above 20DMA

#QQQ #NDX #NQ_F
#trading #Options #NASDAQ
Read 9 tweets
The market today:

$SPX / $SPY / $ES

It closed below the key 20DMA in higher volume than yesterday

It's still in its upward trending channel

It bounced from channel support

#SPX #ES_F #trading #options #futures #daytrading #TradingSignals Image
$DIA / $DJI / $YM

It closed below the key 20DMA in higher volume than yesterday

It's still in its upward trending channel

It bounced from channel support

#DIA #DJIA #DowJones #trading #options #Futures #OptionsTrading #DayTrading #TradingSignals #YM_F Image
$QQQ / $NDX / $NQ

It closed below the key 20DMA in higher volume than yesterday

It's still in its short-term upward trending channel and its mid-term downward channel

It bounced near channel support

#QQQ #NASDAQ #IXIC #NDX #trading #OptionsTrading #Futures #NQ_F #daytrading
Read 7 tweets
Our weekly NEXT WEEK, The Bear's take, The Bull's take, Our take is here

For more info read our newsletter coming out tonight

Subscribe for Free

pointblanktrading.substack.com

#SPX $SPY $ES $SPX #ES_F $GAMMA $GEX #GAMMA #GEX $QQQ #QQQ
$DIA $IWM #trading
NEXT WEEK

The Bear's take:

• Rates, inflation, dollar, employment ↑
• Geopolitical tensions
• $VIX at support, #SPX at resistance
• $VVIX is extremely oversold
• #Nasdaq composite rejected at 100DMA
• Dealers are now net short
• $DJT is lagging $DJI

$ES_F $SPX $SPY
NEXT WEEK

The Bull's take

•Commodities/Oil/DXY are ↓
• Excepting $NDX major indices are above 200DMA, all above 20, 50 and 100DMA
•Breadth indicators are bullish
• Seasonality favors move↑
• $FAANG bullish monthly candle
• $DJI to continue leadership
• $Gamma is +
#SPX
Read 5 tweets
Our weekly NEXT WEEK, The Bear's take, The Bull's take, Our take is here

For more info read our newsletter coming out tomorrow morning before the open

Subscribe for Free

pointblanktrading.substack.com

#SPX $SPY $ES $SPX #ES_F $GAMMA $GEX #GAMMA #GEX $QQQ #QQQ
$DIA $IWM #trading
NEXT WEEK

The Bear's take:

•High rates, inflation, dollar
•Powell, and 8 more FEDs are coming
•Geopolitical tensions
• $VIX, $VVIX extremely oversold
• $FAANG struggling with 50DMA
• #Nasdaq rejected at 100DMA
• $RUT under 200DMA
• Short sellers at $SPX 200DMA

$ES_F
NEXT WEEK

The Bull's take

•Commodities/Oil/DXY are ↓
•Indices are above 50DMA
• $DJI to continue leadership
•Breadth indicators are very ↑
•Black Friday record sales
• Seasonality favors ↑ move
• $VIX and $VVIX in strong ↓
• $SMH $XLF $XTN $XLV $XLE ↑

#ES_F #SPX
Read 5 tweets
Our weekly NEXT WEEK, The Bear's take, The Bull's take, Our take is here

For more info read our newsletter coming out tomorrow morning before the open

Subscribe for Free

pointblanktrading.substack.com

#SPX $SPY $ES $SPX #ES_F $GAMMA $GEX #GAMMA #GEX $QQQ #QQQ
$DIA $IWM #trading
NEXT WEEK

The Bear's take:

•High rates, inflation & dollar
•Hawkish #FED minutes coming
•Geopolitical tensions
• $VIX, $VVIX at support
• $FAANG struggling with 50DMA
• #Nasdaq rejected at 100DMA and it's back below 200WMA
•Dealers are near net short

#SPX $SPY $ES $SPX
NEXT WEEK

The Bull's take

•Commodities/Oil are ↓
•All índices are above 20DMA
• $DJI to continue leadership
•Breadth indicatorsa are bullish
• Week down on low volume
• Turkey day seasonality favors up move
• $VIX and $VVIX bounce failed

$ES $SPY #SPX #ES #trading
Read 4 tweets
Our usual "NEXT WEEK, The Bear's Opinion, The Bull's Opinion, Our Opinion."

$Gamma, $VIX, $SPX, $FAANG, a special report on gold, and more

For more information read our newsletter, coming out tonight

#SPX $SPY $ES $QQQ #QQQ $DIA $IWM $GEX $VVIX
pointblanktrading.substack.com
NEXT WEEK

The Bear's take:

•High inflation, and high dollar
•Rising Interest rates
•Recession
•Geopolitical tensions
•Negative $Gamma regime
•$VVIX near important support
•3800 will be strong resistance
•Tech Earnings won't be good

#SPX $SPY $ES $SPX #trading #ES_F
NEXT WEEK

The Bull's take

•Commodities/Oil are down
•Rally confirmed by follow-through day
• Succesfull retest of June lows
•Bullish weekly candle in decent volume
•FAANG chart is bullish
• Earnings reports are better than expected

$ES $SPY #SPX #ES_F #trading #SPX $VIX
Read 5 tweets
Our regular "NEXT WEEK, The Bear's take, The Bull's take, Our take" is here

For more info on the topics read our newsletter. it'll be out tonigth.

Subscribe for free

pointblanktrading.substack.com

#SPX $SPY $ES $SPX
#NASDAQ $QQQ #QQQ
$DIA $IWM
$VIX $VVIX
#Trading
$GAMMA $GEX
NEXT WEEK

The Bear's take:

•High inflation, dollar, and Interest rates
•Recession
•Geopolitical tensions
•Technical destruction of index charts
•Negative $Gamma regime
•Bearish weekly candles
• $VIX & $VVIX are alive and kicking
•Dealers cut a big chunk of their longs
NEXT WEEK

The Bull's take

•Friday's bullish hammer candle
•Extremely low readings in several indicators
•Extreme equity put buying
•Indices are at important regression support
•Commodities are down
•Oil's down

#SPX $SPY $ES $SPX
#NASDAQ $QQQ
$DIA $IWM
$VIX $VVIX
Read 5 tweets

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