Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #risk

Most recents (24)

A look into @SundaeSwap published #Tokenomics vs. #OnChain reality 🔍

A thread 🧵

#Cardano #ADA #SundaeSwap #Transparency #Accountability #NFT #eUTXO #DEX Image
1) It seems like Sundaeswap originally placed tokens into #eUTXOs with respect to the posted #tokenomics, looking at the early eUTXOs. However, it also seems that this intentional separation did not work out.
2) Additionally, looking at the published tokenomics and the on-chain reality captured by the #token distribution over wallets, it becomes hard to identify which portion of the tokens are indented for the advertised use case. Image
Read 10 tweets
Board of Salem Media Group has a fiduciary duty to shareholders to manage risk

Salem Media took a financial hit from publisher @Regnery’s recall of @DineshDSouza’s book ‘2000 Mules.’

Do $SALM shareholders want to assume more risk? #riskmanagement #CopGov
npr.org/2022/09/08/112…
Are largest shareholders of Salem Media Group, parent company of @Regnery, publisher of Dinesh D’Souza’s recalled book 2000 Mules concerned about potential liability risk? $SALM #2000Mules #riskmanagement #CorpGov
“Salem Media Group Inc. ( $SALM) cut its third quarter total revenue outlook, reflecting the postponement of the forthcoming book, 2000 Mules by Dinesh D'Souza, until the fourth quarter.” #2000Mules #CorpGov #riskmanagement via @Nasdaq nasdaq.com/articles/salem…
Read 8 tweets
The LTCM Crisis taught #Quants one thing in common.
Never trust the risk pricing/hedging models blindly.
The Black Scholes option model assumptions and the Value at Risk Metric both failed miserably.
The liquidity assumptions of the #VaR Model provided a false sense of security.
The most worrying thing is that if #LTCM which was a hedge fund managed by two @NobelPrize winners in Economics could not get things right, then what should one expect from humble risk practitioners like myself!?
imagine the amount of risk that is concealed by Black Box Models.
Always backtest and stress test your #risk models.
Not just the mathematical components, but also the semantics, the #hermeneutics, the syntax that is used for coding the automata, and the symbols which are shown on the analytical dashboard.
It is a big #CON industry at work!
Read 9 tweets
1) #yatırımnotları kapsamında @Scala_Kitapci tarafından dilimize kazandırılan #yatırımın tarihi, psikolojisi, teorisi ve pratiğini ele alan, beş ana bölümden ve toplamda 396 sayfadan oluşan,

W.Bernsteın’ın #yatırımındörttemeltaşı kitabını özetlemeye çalışacağım.

#kitap #finans Image
2) “İlk temel taş yatırımın #teorisi.

Daha sonra harcama yapabilmek için #yatırım yaparız.

Aslında yatırımın özü budur: gelecekte #gelir elde etmek için günlük harcamalardan feragat etmek.

Gelecekte yüksek getiri sağlayacak olan düşük fiyatlara sebebiyet veren felaket ve”
3) #risk ortamıdır.

Bir şirketin boyutu bir çok yöntemle ölçülebilir: çalışanların sayısı, #satışmiktarı, #kârlılığı gibi

Fakat en kolay ölçülebilen ve yatırımcılar açısından en önemli rakam şirketin #piyasa #kapitalizasyonudur.

İnsanlar kesinlikle sosyal yaratıklardır.”
Read 21 tweets
FREE #Microsoft #CISO Workshop on End-to-End Security & Strategic Guidlines

WHO should watch & What's in the Workshop?

Thread 🧵

docs.microsoft.com/en-gb/security…
❖ WHO should watch this #Workshop

The workshop is useful for #security_teams, IT teams, #business-leaders, and #cloud teams, but is primarily focused on:

• CIO + IT Directors
#CISO + Security Directors
#Enterprise + Security Architects
❖ Workshop FOCUS on - Key Context & Fundamentals discussion of

#Threat Enviorment and Trends
• Roles & Responsibilities
• Strategy & Recommended Initiatives
Read 6 tweets
Our paper is out!
Current #adaptation projects do not automatically enhance #gender equality | need to be intentionally brought in at planning & implementation stages.

23authors|9sectors|17739 literature|countless meetings

Delighted to have brainstormed👇figure with @Joyashree9
Embedding gender considerations and facilitating #women’s participation in project design and implementation along with #inclusive #policies, training, information access, planning, and monitoring is needed
Additional course correction for #SDG5 is needed.
Our #SDG5plus (SDG5+) approach takes into consideration #intersectionality and gender aspects beyond #women alone, & can help #adaptation actions move towards meeting #genderequality and other #climatejustice goals.
Read 16 tweets
YCharts recently caught up with @brianferoldi & @Brian_Stoffel_ to discuss "Everything Wrong With The P/E Ratio" & we learned some great insights on alternative valuation metrics that we’re excited to share. Let's take a look at $NFLX as an example:

🧵 1/8
The PE ratio isn't always appropriate for every company during its growth cycle. Let's look at $NFLX, a known disruptor company with humble beginnings. The company experienced hyper-growth, before finally maturing into the household name we all recognize today.

2/8
Because the PE ratio doesn’t factor in future growth potential, it’s not the best ratio to use in the early days of companies like $NFLX. For example, the chart below shows #Netflix’s PE ratio in orange during infancy, a whopping 1459.79. Why?

3/8
Read 8 tweets
1) Çetin hocam @cozdegerleme öncelikle ellerinize sağlık hocam 🙏🏼🙏🏼 bu efsane tablolarınızdan yararlanarak #ARCLK şirketinin son dönem finansallarını #eğitimnotları kapsamında özet geçmeye çalışacağım.

#temelanaliz #bilanço #gelirtablosu #finansalokuryazarlık
2) Şirket toplam varlıklarını yılbaşına kıyasla ilk altı ayda arttırmış. Bunu yaparken hem #DönenVarlıklar’ını yani #faaliyetlerini hem de #DuranVarlıklar’ını #yatırımlarını arttırması olumlu bir durum olarak gözükmektedir.

Dönen Varlıklar kaleminde en ağırlık kalemlerin +
3) #TicariAlacaklar ve #Stoklar olduğu görülüyor.

Tic.Alacak kaleminde rakamsal artış olmasına rağmen her dönem ağırlığının %40’larda olması ve ATS kısmında ortalama 120 günlerde seyretmesi işletmenin istikrarlı bir alacak #tahsilat programı olduğunu göstermektedir.
Read 13 tweets
1) #Yatırım #notları alma serisinde, @epsilonyayinevi tarafından yayımlanan Benjamin Graham’ın, 20 ana bölüm ve toplam da 644 sayfadan oluşan kült eseri #AkıllıYatırımcı kitabından aldığım notları özetlemeye çalışacağım.

#temelanaliz #finansalokuryazarlık #kitap #yatırım Image
2) “Bir kez paranızın %95’ini kaybederseniz sadece başladığınız yere geri dönmek için %1900 kazanmanız gerekir.

Aptalca bir #risk almanız sizi öyle derin bir çukura sokar ki geri çıkmak neredeyse olanaksızdır.

#Graham için #akıllı #yatırımcı:” +
3) #sabırlı, #disiplinli ve #öğrenmeye hevesli olmakla birlikte #duygularını dizginleyen demektir.

#Yatırım, çok kapsamlı yapılan bir araştırmayı takiben, yatırılan anaparanın güvenliğini sağlayan ve onun üzerinde yeterli oranda bir getiriyi vaat eden bir işlemdir.” +
Read 28 tweets
If #retirement is on the list of #goals you’re investing for, should the current high #inflation lead to any change in your plans? Here’s our take: (1/5)
If annual inflation is at 7%, monthly #expenses of Rs 50,000 per month today, would become Rs 1.9 lakhs per month, in 20 years. At 5% inflation, it would become only Rs 1.3 lakhs per month. It’s best to overestimate, err on the side of caution and invest accordingly. (2/5)
At the same time, it doesn’t help to panic and look only at the short term. Just stick to your #assetallocation, and continue your SIPs. If you think your #SIP investments won’t take you closer to your retirement goal, consider increasing allocation to equity MFs. (3/5)
Read 6 tweets
👇Today, let's look back at the greatest tail events of the past 30 years and see what we can learn. Tail events are very large, rare stock market deviations that have major consequences for investors. The first tail event is the 1987 crash. #tailhedge #risk
The most consequential crash in United States history. Luckily, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates fast enough to prevent what could have been a complete collapse of the financial system.

Did we learn anything? The true severity of market crashes is hidden by past data.
Before the crash of 1987, the worst down days were close to 13%, 50 years earlier during the Great Depression. In late October 1987, the market lost close to 23%.

The prices for options changed after the crash of 1987. Now, traders priced in a skew to the downside.
Read 14 tweets
As the world watches the Twitter vs #ElonMusk saga unfold, and questions, “What is happening?”, let’s take look at a question that’s been on many investors’ minds for a while - “What does #assetallocation actually mean, and why should I care?” (1/6)
The short answer (within 280 characters), is that asset allocation divides your investments across different asset classes like #equity, debt, #gold etc., in order to achieve a specific investment goal, at a certain growth rate. (2/6)
Why is this necessary? For starters, it ensures that you stay invested for the duration needed, while also helping you decide how much you should invest in sub-asset classes like #large-cap or #mid-cap equity, low duration funds or liquid funds. (3/6)
Read 6 tweets
What is driving the FS Industry to invest more in #GRC &/or ERM Technology?
@irmglobal @IRMIowl @ERMAcademy
Let me try to answer this question in a generalized manner. So, its applicability extends beyond banks, risk insurance and asset management firms.
I think ERM Systems and/or the GRC Systems have now become more regulation oriented across different legal compliance jurisdictions.
Kindly, do note that the ERM/ GRC Models being used are not always the same. Different Industries identify, measure and apply risk controls in an entirely different manner from one another.
Read 23 tweets
Core #CPI (excluding those volatile #food and #energy components) came in at 0.6% month-over-month and rose 6.0% year-over-year.
Meanwhile, headline #CPI data printed at a very strong 1.0% month-over-month and came in at 8.6% year-over-year, spiking higher on #shelter, #gas and food costs.
These persistently outsized gains in #inflation are clearly having an impact on business and #ConsumerConfidence. Also, the #Fed’s favored measure of inflation, core #PCE, increased 0.34% in April, bringing the year-over-year figure for the measure to 4.9%, as of that month.
Read 14 tweets
Multi-country #monkeypox #outbreak: situation update

780 laboratory confirmed cases of monkeypox have been reported to or identified by #WHO from 27 Member States across four WHO regions that are not endemic for monkeypox virus.
1/9

who.int/emergencies/di…
#Monkeypox outbreaks in endemic countries in the #African región, 2022.

1408 suspected and 44 confirmed cases including 66 deaths were reported from seven endemic countries
2/9
WHO #Risk assessment: MODERATE considering this is the first time that many #monkeypox cases and clusters are reported concurrently in non-endemic and endemic countries in widely disparate WHO geographical areas.
3/9
Read 9 tweets
Latest #AI articles from our company.

Introduction to website categorization, which can be used for #content #filtering, #adtech and other purposes. Using #textclassification #ML model.

alpha-quantum.com/blog/website-c…
#automated product #tagging is important for ecommerce websites as it leads to better #conversion, filtering and searchability.
More on this in alpha-quantum.com/blog/automated…
A fast way to use #URL #categorization data is to have it available as #URLdatabase for direct integration to apps and services, e.g. content filtering. Introduction to URL database construction and use in alpha-quantum.com/blog/url-datab…
Read 6 tweets
🚨Worth studying: 👇
"The Anatomy of the Bond Market Turbulence of 1994" - Bank for International Settlements

link in thread below. 🧵

#banks #riskparity #assetallocation #risk #riskmanagement #rates #us10y #bonds

1/ ImageImageImage
2/

Link to the paper from Bank of International Settlements

#banks #riskparity #assetallocation #risk #riskmanagement #rates #us10y #bonds

bis.org/publ/work32.pdf
Read 8 tweets
1. New county-level #risk indicators released by @CDCgov last night.

Here's your look at weekly #transmission levels since Feb 24.

After looking much better in March, we're continuing to see rates of newly reported cases increasing in most US regions.
2. But, as has been the case for a while, when basing risk level on #hospitalization rates and hospital capacity, at least visually, the story is very different.
3. This shows CHANGE in each metric yesterday compared to 1 week prior. Many more places worsening than improving.

14% of the population worsened on the hospital-based measure; only 1% improved.

23% of the population worsened on the transmission-based measure; only 6% improved.
Read 7 tweets
🌍 Our 2022 #Science Board Symposium on "The #Emergent #PoliticalEconomy or #ClimateChange" kicks off with opening remarks from President David Krakauer.

Follow this 🧵 as we provide live coverage of this event all day...
"For those of you who think behavior change can prevent #ClimateChange...behavior WILL change when climate changes. Shutdowns from the pandemic resulted in a reduction of #C02 emissions of about 7.5%."
- SFI/@Harvard Prof Dan Schrag opens our speaker series today
"We *used* to talk about #ClimateChange used to be something that would happen to people in Bangladesh fifty years from now."

Re: #ClimateJustice,
"Children born today are going to deal with climate change they had no role in causing."

- SFI/@Harvard Prof Dan Schrag
Read 56 tweets
Stochastic and Deterministic LGD Loss Given Default Models are different.
Many bankers are unable to understand the different mathematical assumptions that can make the computations.
That is a big risk per se!
@BIS_org
#model #Risk #Validation #Creditrisk #FRM
#MachineLearning
What is a hazard rate assumption?
How can credit risk be modelled using hazard rates?
This is beyond an average #banker.
Most primal bankers only understood the 5 or later the 7Cs of credit.
Accounting, cashflows, creating a charge on assets, foreclosure, special asset mgmt, etc
Actually, Quantitative Risk Management has not helped at all, in my opinion.
Blindly applying maths and statistics has made decision-making worst.
Banking was about relationship mgmt, business model analysis, accounting trickeries, branch operations, etc
Now it's like a lab work
Read 4 tweets
Risk Management is not just about producing tons of reports that nobody wants to read in the office.
I am very angry to note that most of the #ERM/Risk Desks just produce day-end reports, which end up in the dustbin.
Risk Dept. should not be a tick the box function.
what is the point of preparing #VaR Reports, when the fund manager does not understand basic probability?
Rubbish!!
There is no point in hiring a world-class hard science PhD to do risk management work at financial institutions or elsewhere, if the board members have zero numeracy and data science skillsets, the staff in front and back offices have poor technical and academic backgrounds, etc
Read 8 tweets
11pm 04/09/22 #LIVE #Facebook building is 100% blue
an hour later changed and @SimpliSafe app singled out? WTF!

🪡@𝓉𝒽𝓇𝑒𝒶𝒹𝓇𝑒𝒶𝒹𝑒𝓇𝒶𝓅𝓅 𝓊𝓃𝓇𝑜𝓁𝓁 🧵

11pm 04/09/22 #LIVE #Facebook building is 100% blue

facebook.com/alejandra.m.sa…

an hour after post
shared #security
#𝙼𝚒𝚊𝚖𝚒𝚃𝚎𝚌𝚑 @𝙵𝚛𝚊𝚗𝚌𝚒𝚜𝚂𝚞𝚊𝚛𝚎𝚣 @𝙼𝚒𝚊𝚖𝚒𝙼𝚊𝚢𝚘𝚛 @𝚞𝚜𝚖𝚊𝚢𝚘𝚛𝚜 @𝙲𝚒𝚝𝚢𝚘𝚏𝙼𝚒𝚊𝚖𝚒 #𝙼𝚒𝚊𝚖𝚒𝚃𝚎𝚌𝚑𝙼𝚘𝚗𝚝𝚑 @𝙼𝚊𝚢𝚘𝚛𝙳𝚊𝚗𝚒𝚎𝚕𝚕𝚊 @𝙼𝚒𝚊𝚖𝚒𝙽𝚎𝚠𝚃𝚒𝚖𝚎𝚜 @𝙻𝚎𝚟𝚒𝚗𝚎𝙲𝚊𝚟𝚊

@𝚃𝚑𝚎𝙱𝚒𝚝𝚌𝚘𝚒𝚗𝙲𝚘𝚗𝚏
Read 4 tweets
Daily Bookmarks to GAVNet 04/09/2022 greeneracresvaluenetwork.wordpress.com/2022/04/09/dai…
Global supply chain risk and resilience | VOX, CEPR Policy Portal
voxeu.org/article/global…
#GlobalSupplyChains, #EconomicAnalysis, #risk, #resilience, #robustness
Researchers Identify 'Master Problem' Underlying All Cryptography | Quanta Magazine
quantamagazine.org/researchers-id…
#ComputationalComplexity, #CryptographySecurity, #OneWayFunctions
Read 13 tweets

Related hashtags

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3.00/month or $30.00/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!