Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #risk

Most recents (24)

#Important #News! #Threade

#Israel #Jerusalem #Russia #Syria

#Russia's #ambassador to #Syria released this week what some saw as a veiled threat to #Israel if Israel continued to #bomb #Iranian positions in the war-torn country.
On February 6th, 20 #Syrian and #Iranian military officials were #killed in an airstrike on a target near #Damascus. The attack also resulted in #Syrian air defense systems accidentally firing on a #Russian 172-passenger plane.
The plane was able to land safely at a nearby airport. However, #Russian #ambassador Alexander Yefimov was not interested in the Israeli justifications. In an interview with Sputnik arabic, Yefimov described the #Israeli #attacks as “#provocative and very #dangerous”.
Read 8 tweets
We are in a New Age of #risk. Bear with me, folks. We have lived through an unprecedented decade of #monetary experimentation on a scale unknown in modern times and, certainly, never seen since the end of the #gold standard. Cash - traditionally a cornerstone of risk management +
+ Is now generating zero-to-negative returns. The only way to hold it is to make a bet on a massive decline in risky assets valuations going forward. As uncertainty (and risk) of negative and more deeply-negative yields on deposits rises (and it is rising), we've converted cash +
+ into a risky asset, making cash holdings speculative, rather than purely defensive. Next up: gold. This still holds value as a purely defensive play, but risks are rising here too. First, risk of sell-off in a general markets correction (when investors dump all assets they can+
Read 12 tweets
#Straddles vs #Strangles ( Sell only )

These are the most common #Options strategies when one would start with #OptionsTrading.

Let’s understand from a broader perspective what’s the difference between these two.
Would not like to discuss the construction difference between them if you don’t know stop trading #options

#Straddles

You get higher premium so pnl would be higher compared to #strangles

But from where are you getting higher premiums is that your selling 0.5 #delta.
So probability of one going wrong is always 50% so to simply put one side is goin to get stuck in a #straddle but then market tends to #flucuate a lot so there is always the case of #meanreversion if you have selected the #strike rightly.
Read 14 tweets
#Options vs #Futures

Although both are #derivatives, Futures and Options are entirely different in terms of their potential #risk and #return , #leverage and how they work.

How different are futures and options?
#Rights vs #Obligations

In #Futures Trading, both the buyer & the seller are #obligated to settle the contracts on or before expiry ie cover shorts or longs or rollover to next contract, regardless of how the underlying asset price moves.
With #Options the buyer has the #Right, but not the #Obligation, to buy (call option) or sell (put option) on underlying asset. The option seller is #passive and must comply with whatever the option buyer does.
Read 13 tweets
🚨 #Safety #culture tweet thread 🚨

Invited by @SafetyClubUK on behalf of @SaRSociety (thanks teams !) I’ve just had a thought provoking day thinking about all aspects of safety culture, across #healthcare #aviation #defence #transport #nuclear
and more
scsc.uk/e631
But what did I learn ? What hit the 🎯?

Here’s a mash up of some of the best lines of the day...

✅How can you get it very right, right up to the point you get it badly wrong?❌

(Apologies for any mis-quotes @PatrickWaterso1 and others in team
@SafetyClubUK

#safetyculture
✅❓Foster a questioning attitude❓✅

#safety #reliability #risk

A “never event” is an event that should never happen, in healthcare and elsewhere. And yet they do...

#riskassessment
Read 9 tweets
#Option #Greeks Simplified

#Options are definitely more complicated than equity or futures.

Their prices don’t just go up and down.

They also fluctuate based on things like #time, #implied #volatility and #underlying stock movements.
#Options #Greeks Are Simply Mathematical Shortforms

Most of you would remember from school that mathematical formulas sometimes were #Greek letters like Pi and #Delta. The same is true for options.

Don’t let them overwhelm you or scare you.
They’re simply #mathematical words to explain some very basic principles.

#Greeks Describe the Behavior of #Individual #Options

Each #greek can help predict how it will behave under different circumstances and how options prices would change.
Read 22 tweets
SFI President David Krakauer introduces our annual board of trustees symposium on New #Complexity #Economics - follow this thread for live coverage of talks by @EricBeinhocker @AKStanger @ole_b_peters @JacksonmMatt @cmoncap & W. Brian Arthur today...
"I think we have to be aware that we're not just discussing financial systems. We are discussing the future of the stability of the planet."

- David Krakauer
on #Complexity #Economics
"What is the #economy? I would argue that it doesn't exist in the physical world. It is a product of our #imagination. It is made out of #ideas. It does have an effect on the physical world. But the imagined order that we have is not succeeding."

- @EricBeinhocker
Read 38 tweets
Here's something else that perhaps @IanCLucas could/should explore when talking to Paypal on 4 Nov.

Cc @carolecadwalla @brexit_sham @BylineTimes @Turloughc

THREAD

1/10
Unlike in the US, in the UK PayPal only allows non-profits to collect #donations via its platform—and only after pre-approval. See Activities Requiring Approval: paypal.com/uk/webapps/mpp…

A LTD company would likely have its PayPal account frozen if it set up a Donate button!

2/10
In the UK, as a general rule, political parties are not allowed to be charities and charities must remain independent from political parties.

We already know of course that the @brexit_party (BXP) has been registered as a Private Company Limited by Shares on 23/11/2018.

3/10
Read 12 tweets
Some important charts coming this weekend

Keep this thread book marked will be updating it and adding charts into tomorrow

#mcmCharts

/1


Its just a freaking $SPX retest (on abysmal volume no less)
/2

WTF happened to the volume $SPX
3/

$SPX daily retest
Read 55 tweets
The first thing you should understand is what is your own personality. Then look for #trading systems, which suits your personality. Most #traders fails at this very first and basic step.
D reason i made this remark. Coz oflate i hv had a chance to understand lot of #traders around country Each trader has unique approach and it was nothing but what suits they personality. Initially i thought its good to knw lot of methods Bt then i realized its best to knw 1 self.
Method was function of 3 things
1. Personality
2. Trading Capital
3. Return Expectation

Here #risk is part of personality, so is patience. And discipline is something one cant live without. All of them are very disciplined. Arrived at their method after lot of self search.
Read 8 tweets
There was a super insightful fireside chat with @vkhosla and @NandanNilekani, moderated by @sharads, yesterday in Bangalore. My notes. Long thread.
@vkhosla: I have this fear that you can grow old when you retire, not retire when you grow old. So I hope I never retire. As long as you have interesting problems to work on, there's nothing more exciting to do than work on that.
Read 60 tweets
Thursday thoughts on #risk assessment tools, roughly paraphrased from Janus & Prentky, 2003. "Like any tool of science, actuarial risk assessment can be used for good or ill." Used well, it can make decision-making more transparent.
Used poorly, ARA can have unintended consequences, including justification for "increasingly aggressive and expansive preventive detention #laws." Janus and Prentky "urge caution and mindfulness in using ARA."
In other words, we should consider not only the #science, but also the effects of relying on ARA. The accuracy of these tools does not address underlying concerns about legal paradigms that promote incapacitation based on group-based risk #Statistics. #cjreform
Read 4 tweets
Thread on the @KotakMF #FMP saga; Attn: @IndiaSebi

Highlight is on an #AMC which, in an FMP, considers it #prudent to reduce the risk, of an asset, by accepting a riskier asset as #security; knowing, the first asset shall mature with the FMP, giving no time to act if defaulted.
We reserve further comment. We shall just answer few questions raised by #investors.

1. FMP has a #fixedhorizon, at the end of which investors expect their money back. Also, they expect not to lose money. Knowing these expectations, who decided to launch the FMP?
Ans:Kotak AMC
2. A high #yield #portfolio may be made in many ways. Risk can be protected by structuring deal in many ways. Who made a portfolio of high #coupon/yield (11%) #debt instruments by lending upto 40% to #borrowers against security of their companies #equity #shares?
Ans: Kotak AMC
Read 23 tweets
Imagine a web of hostile nations ruled by dictators stretching from pole to pole, cutting the Pacific in half.
#risk #wargames
This is why Vietnam, Malaysia, Brunei are so critical and vulnerable.
cnn.com/2019/04/08/asi…
@911CORLEBRA777 @karolcummins
@911CORLEBRA777 @karolcummins Now imagine a vertical web through that ancient hub of trade, Istanbul (no Constantinople).
tass.com/politics/10526…
@911CORLEBRA777 @karolcummins Now you see why Georgia and Azerbaijan are so critical, yes? They connect Russia to his friends in Turkey, Syria, Iran.
The 'stans are the buffer, such as it is. Israel has prime sea ports for whoever can befriend it. Watch closely.
Read 8 tweets
In last one week I have got n number of request
1. learning Options
2. learning TA
3. learning Python
4. Tips providing
5. please how can I get your service
6. Manage my money
And worst if them all
7. I have lost lots of money please help me recover.
The problem here, knowledge is widely Available, google it and you will have everything available. But most people want to still know best book, best method, best way to not lose money. I am sharing my thoughts to suggest that, it takes lot of time to become consistent profitable
All these people are fine individuals and very excited about prospect to learn from someone else's mistake. But there are people who might be looking for short cuts. Trust me just one good (any book) on any method is the first step to start learning in that direction
Read 15 tweets
#OSHO

The #mind is a #coward, for those who listen to it become utterly cowardly. The mind is not an #adventurer, it is very #cautious. It takes every step with #thinking and #calculation until it is #certain that there is no #risk.
When everything is going good the mind comes in and says "watch out!" Because you listen to the mind's #fears you stop living. The mind would keep you always the same, never taking #risks.

Newness is an #enemy to the #mind, sameness is its #friend.
To #laugh is to #risk appearing a #fool
Read 11 tweets
QUESTIONS YOU SHOULD NEVER ANSWER ON/OFFLINE - Have you been asked about your -

- Childhood
- Family
- Favorites
- Favorites Historical
- Firsts
- Personal Characteristics
- Education
- Work

A #thread

#SecurityQuestions #Beware #BeAware #Risk #Security
A security question is a form of shared secret used as an authenticator.

It is commonly used by banks, cable companies and wireless providers as an extra security layer. - @Wikipedia

#SecurityQuestions #Beware #BeAware #Risk #Security
When a random post asks you any or a combination of any the following questions, let your antenna be up and please ignore:

The house number & street name you lived in as a child?

#SecurityQuestions #Beware #BeAware #Risk #Security
Read 21 tweets
"I want to warn the world about an unprecedented danger that’s threatening the very survival of open societies.

…I’ll focus on #China, where President #XiJinping wants a one-party state to reign supreme."

project-syndicate.org/onpoint/the-ai…
"Xi is trying to consolidate all the available info about a person into a centralized database to create a 'social credit system'..people will be evaluated by algorithms that will determine whether they pose a threat to the 1-party state. People will then be treated accordingly."
"#China is not the only #authoritarian regime in the world, but it is undoubtedly the #wealthiest, #strongest & most developed in machine learning & #AI.

This makes #Xi the #most #dangerous #opponent of those who believe in the concept of #OpenSociety."

project-syndicate.org/onpoint/the-ai…
Read 22 tweets
Il 2019 sarà un anno di sfide in risposta ai #rischi globali che impattano il futuro del progresso economico sia del nostro Paese sia a livello globale.

Ecco un #ExecutiveSummary sui 5 principali #Risk in vista di #Davos #WEF #Econ24

Full Report asap su @econopoly24
#Thread 👇
1/5 Macroeconomic Risk
L’incremento della volatilità sui mercati e una prospettiva di rallentamento della crescita globale causata dalla #CINA rappresenta un alto rischio se pensiamo che il peso del #debito globale è pari a 225% GDP più alto del pre-crisi 2008.

#GlobalRisk
2/5 Geopolitical Risk
Le disuguaglianze globali diminuiscono ma aumentano all’interno dei singoli paesi. Rischio su fiducia e coesione sociale necessarie x sfide globali #Industry4.0
Rischio divergenza tra #globalizzazione economia e crescita nazionalismo #populismo #Brexit #EU
Read 7 tweets
I will now proceed to go on a #tweetrant / #tweetorial with regards to #Pharmaceutical #biotech pricing (focus on #cancer).

Very timely, also see @WSJ wsj.com/articles/big-p… on price hikes.

For the record, no #COI / #FCOI. Feel free to contribute to this discussion.
Lets look at the problem from the @PhRMA / business perspective. And lets suppose you are a wonderful company, started by wonderful people who just want to make the world a better place (I know, not real, but stay with me for a minute).
You start with a great idea / or pipeline platform and start selling this concept to #VC #VentureCapital, and lets assume that this is actually a really good idea. What is the needed return on investment to make this worth while. A: further R&D must exceed the cost of capital.
Read 17 tweets
M 4.4 - 11km NNE of Decatur, Tennessee earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/ev…
These colored lines show the intensity of ground shaking from the #earthquake. How hard the ground shakes is related to the magnitude of event, the distance from the event and the local geology earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/ev…
So far, 6000+ people have reported feeling this #earthquake via the @USGS. Did you feel it? Let them know 👉 earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/ev…
Read 9 tweets
#Meng was charged with conspiracy to defraud banks. Canada’s Crown lawyer told the judge she has incentive to #flee the country. #Dishonesty is a factor in deciding her bail. The Crown lawyer argued that it’s difficult to set #bail high enough to prevent her from fleeing.
#Huawei Used #Skycomm to do #BusinessInIran
Canada’s prosecutor said the case against #Meng is for #fraud in deceiving banks on the relationship between Skycomm and Huawei. The U.S. claims Huawei used its Skycomm unit to do business in Iran, breaching #USsanctions
Read 16 tweets
"#Macroprudential policies could be increased to enhance the resilience of the financial system" brookings.edu/research/finan… in "Financial conditions and GDP growth-at-risk" Adrian, Liang, et al. @BrookingsInst @IMFNews
GaR: "growth at risk" and general equilibrium models with macrofinancial linkages brookings.edu/wp-content/upl… @BrookingsInst @IMFNews @MacroFinanceSoc Liang, Adrian, et al
"A structural model would be needed to evaluate how #macroprudential policies could be used to affect GaR. In aspiration, #macroprudential policies could aim to tighten financial conditions when conditional expected growth and GaR are relatively high ... " brookings.edu/wp-content/upl…
Read 13 tweets

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