Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #risk

Most recents (24)

.@ADB_HQ Strategy 2030 Operational Priorities:

Poverty and Inequality
Gender
Climate, environment and DRM
Livable Cities
Rural Development & Food Security Cities
Governance and Institutional Capacity
Regional Cooperation & Integration

Join #webinar here: bit.ly/3mmhRRc Image
.@ADB_HQ 2019 Urban Sector Portfolio...

Join the #webinar here: bit.ly/3mmhRRc Image
.@ADB_HQ 2021 Urban Sector Group Proposed Pipeline

Join the #webinar here: bit.ly/3mmhRRc Image
Read 4 tweets
1/ I ran a course on applied financial #modeling for #credit relationship managers last week.

In the day and age of #models, do #analysts still need to understand how models are put together and numbers projected.

Credit systems give us numbers. Do we need more?
#banking #risk
2/ To translate model figures into useful insights, an analyst must understand what drives a business and how those drivers would be impacted by future outlook.

A model is only as good as the input we plug in. Without relevant insight good models also produce garbage
3/ For instance, how would remote learning impact margins at school systems? Would enrollment numbers go up or down? How about non-core expenses?

When a senior #credit committee member asks a question or challenges an assumption, you can't hide behind the #model.
Read 9 tweets
Daily Bookmarks to GAVNet 09/11/2020 greeneracresvaluenetwork.wordpress.com/2020/09/11/dai…
A robot wrote this entire article. Are you scared yet, human? | Artificial intelligence (AI) | The Guardian

theguardian.com/commentisfree/…

#robot #article #intelligence
The eruption that helped to destroy one of China’s great dynasties : Research Highlights

nature.com/articles/d4158…

#eruption #china
Read 9 tweets
I’m in a graveyard.

Why?

#Risk #CervicalSpine #VertebralArtery #Physiotherapy #PhysicalTherapy

Part III - Risk Assessment of The Cervical Spine

... coming VERY soon! 👀
Part III - Risk Assessment of The Cervical Spine: Directions For The Future

If the vertebral artery test truly is dead (?), where do we go from here?

#CervicalSpine #RiskAssessment #FCP #Physiotherapy #PhysicalTherapy #ClinicalReasoning #Haemodynamics

Thanks to @RikKranenburg @NathanHutting @RogerKerry1 and the Australian Physiotherapy Association for providing me with the impetus to think about, and produce these short films. #Haemodynamics #RiskAssessment #CervicalSpine #FCP #Physiotherapy #PhysicalTherapy #Education Image
Read 3 tweets
#China is integrating with the world #economy, not decoupling from it, according to Wu Ge, as indicated by the following facts...1/7
Amid rising #trade tensions with the #US, China has turned to export more to Southeast Asian countries; meanwhile, China’s #exports of medical and virus-control supplies have also increased amid the #pandemic...2/7
Both highlight #market force in global resource allocations that cannot be manipulated by political forces. China enjoys obvious advantages over Southeast Asian countries with a complete range of well-designed & -made product #supplies, a fact that many statistics can prove...3/7
Read 7 tweets
Risk Assessment of the cervical spine for NON-MANUAL THERAPISTS

4 case scenarios, to problem solve #RISK in the assessment & management of neck pain presentations.

#ClinicalReasoning #Physiotherapy #PhysicalTherapy #FCP #Haemodynamics #VertebralArtery
Case 1.

Mayumi a 69 year old male archer (retired factory worker).

#ClinicalReasoning #FCP #Physiotherapy #PhysicalTherapy #Haemodynamics
Case 2.

Phil a 41 year male sports shop proprietor and ex-olympic rower.

#ClinicalReasoning #FCP #Physiotherapy #PhysicalTherapy #Haemodynamics
Read 5 tweets
The Vertebral Artery Test Part II:

Risk assessment of the cervical spine

4 clinical cases to try and make sense of risk assessment.

Of interest to ALL #Physiotherapy #PhysicalTherapy #FCP clinicians #Neck #Headache #Haemodynamics #Risk #VBI #CAD

A consideration of major or serious adverse events.

#Risk #LossOfVision #Stroke #Death #VBI #CarotidArtery #CAD Image
Into the 4th decade we go!

#Physio #PhysicalTherapy #VBI #CervicalSpine #Risk

How do we move forward from here? Image
Read 5 tweets
“India is a far better place than what it was in 2000. Debt-to-equity ratio of Sensex companies, which is a bunch to large corporate houses, was at 3.8:1 back then It came down to 1.8:1 in 2010 and today, 85 per cent of companies in the 30-share pack hardly have any debt,” Kamath
“Government debt levels will go down with the pickup in growth. They can harvest the fruits of growth in the form of taxes, etc,” 

#Debt #economicresponse
“Faster transformation to digital due to the pandemic is going to drive the Indian economy going forward. Financial institutions have to keep strengthening their digital offerings.

#DigitalIndia
Read 7 tweets
@McKinsey_MGI has a report out titled; '#Risk, resilience & rebalancing in global value chains' it holds some good insights into trends in #GlobalTrade...Here are some takeaways...1/4 Large companies has global #SupplyChains w. 1000s of suppliers, disruption risks varies...
2/4 #Globalisation has been changing in the last decade, sector concentration varies between industries, poten. losses from #SupplyChain disruptions can be as high as 42% of 1 years EBITDA..Supply chain #shocks are becoming more frequent & severe...
3/4 Overviews of global production distribution of select industries - #Automotive, #Semiconductor & #Pharma...Concentration can be a key source of vulnerability...#SupplyChains #Risk #Macro #GlobalTrade
Read 4 tweets
#roamcult who's got a template for grappling with journal articles? Let's exchange notes!

Here's a first draft based on this resource from @JoelChan86

1. Skim (focus on focus on title, abstract, figures, and conclusion)

2. List related pages in Roam

1/
3. Prioritization:
🔹probability of usefulness
🔹impact on my work
🔹score (I create a hashtag of the product of p and i, eg #readscore9)

4. Read now, assign to future self (page ref a date), or archive

2/
5. Reading
🔹Create the top level structure for nested blocks
🔹Skim and write questions
🔹Find the answers
🔹Copy important sections and tag
Idea tags #claim #conclusion #proof #application
PM tags #cost #integration #scope #risk etc
(example screenshots)

3/
Read 5 tweets
Today I tweeted a buy call on BNF just after the RBI event above 21565 with targets 21750-800. Received an interesting question from a twitter friend and I believe a public answer might help fellow traders in understanding how I see #risk and manage #fear
The twitter friend said he could not take the trade due to fear. He often cannot pull the trigger on trades simply due to this fear that it might take out his stop and he will be at a loss. Those trades generally turn out to be more winners than losers.
How to solve this problem
1. After entering a trade , #NOBODY , and I mean freakin nobody in this universe can guarantee that it will be a winner. So forget predicting #sure_shot trades

#anticipate , don't #predict
Read 10 tweets
#DeepakNitrite manufactures Basic #Chemicals, Fine & Speciality Chemicals and Performance Products.
Major products of the company are #Phenol #Acetone #Cumene #DASDA #Inorganic Salts #Xylidines #Toluidines
#Revenue Mix and #Location details as below:
Company’s turnover entails from the Domestic Revenues which stood at 58% of Total Revenues and the rest 42% came from Exports
Recently company has started commercial production of #Isopropyl Alcohol #IPA.
Isopropyl alcohol is mixed with water for use as a rubbing-alcohol antiseptic. It is also used in aftershave lotions, hand lotions, and other cosmetics.
Read 26 tweets
Daily Bookmarks to GAVNet 7/15/2020-2

greeneracresvaluenetwork.wordpress.com/2020/07/15/dai…

Complications from COVID-19 may depend on von Willebrand factor in the blood

medicalxpress.com/news/2020-07-c…

#factor #Covid19 #coronavirus #blood
Measuring Certainty and Mountains of Data - Marginally Compelling

polimath.substack.com/p/measuring-ce…

#measuring #certainty #data
Debating Risk and Value - Marginally Compelling

polimath.substack.com/p/debating-ris…

#certainty #risk #data #value
Read 6 tweets
Fascinating speech by @michaelgove:
gov.uk/government/pub… at the US #DitchleyFoundation: americanditchley.org/index.htm this evening.

(Ditchley's list of Governors: ditchley.com/people/governo… makes it quite clear all references to "#elites" in his speech are with a nod and a wink...)
No sackcloth and ashes, nor any real acceptance of #responsibility by the (now) Chancellor of the Duchy of Lancaster, despite a pretty accurate description 👇 of what's happened - in large part - during his time in Government... Image
A grand, arguably grandiose, framing that feints at (but ultimately falls short of promising) a new #NewDeal, on #FDR's #Democratic model.

Themes we've heard time and again: locating the business of Gov't outside the Westminster/Whitehall #bubble; #reform (24 references) and...
Read 8 tweets
1/ Q: We are #vacationing with another family in a shared rental house. We wipe down our groceries. They don't. We wear masks whenever we're outside. They don't. How is this going to work?!?

A: We recommend a 4-step #SAFE plan:
S: SHARE
A: AGREE
F: FOLLOW
E: EVALUATE
2/ Share: In advance of the vacation (preferably before booking), SHARE with your fellow travelers: What are you most worried about? What is your #risk tolerance? What behaviors and rules are most important to you?
Open, transparent communication at this stage is a must.
3/ Agree: Once everyone's cards are on the table, AGREE on some explicit rules that the whole group will follow. Keep the list short, and be really clear and specific.

Rules might cover: quarantining and testing in advance of the vacation; traveling to the vacation site....
Read 10 tweets
'#Identity' sure is complex!

So complex in fact that over the years I've begun to think it's more of an '#EmergentProperty' (as in #characteristic, NOT #asset).

While one may build digital equivalents of aspects of its prerequisites, e.g. #VerifiableAttributes within #Trust...
..#Frameworks - or (possibly!) #decentralised - in reality we all live in, and #informationally exist as, a sort of '#PersonalMetaspace", no single aspect of which truly represents our fully human, mutable #self - no matter how much some might wish it to.

In fact I think many...
...confuse or conflate (sometimes deliberately) the very #human and necessary concept-and-process of #trust - and its corporate equivalent, #risk (management) - with '#identity'.

And sometimes even worse, '#ID'.
Read 3 tweets
1/ Q: Have we learned anything new recently about #COVID19 transmission?

A: Recent analysis of infection clusters in Japan bolsters evidence that heavy breathing in close proximity is high risk activity for community spread.
2/ Japan has been tracing “clusters” of coronavirus infections: 5 or more confirmed cases with primary exposure reported at a common event or venue.
The recently summary published by the @CDCgov: wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/26…
is full of interesting findings:
3/
🏥 Health care facilities + nursing homes are a large source of infection clusters, accounting for 46% of the clusters examined.

🎤 Many clusters were associated with heavy breathing in close proximity: think karaoke, conversations at clubs and bars, and exercising in gyms.
Read 8 tweets
1/ A recent study in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences claimed that mandatory face coverings changed the course of the pandemic:
pnas.org/content/early/…
Sadly, based on all of the available evidence, this study is a HOT MESS. We encourage you to still #maskup 😷
2/ While PNAS is a reputable journal, but the quality of published papers isn't garunteed. We’ve seen recent #COVID19 papers from another top journal, The Lancet, retracted after the data could not be accessed for replication (thelancet.com/journals/lance…).
3/ The REAL peer review happens when the broader scholarly community reads and scrutinizes a paper’s methods and findings. Fortunately, this is happening in real time for #COVID_19 research, especially for papers garnering big headlines.
Read 12 tweets
#Trend Following

Instead of trying to predict #market direction, trend following reacts to movements whenever they occur. This enables a focus on actual price #risk, while avoiding becoming #emotionally connected with direction, duration, and fundamental expectations.
Trend following works because you don’t try to outthink it. You are a trend #follower, not a trend #predictor.
But why should trends continue?

If #prices initially under react to to either good or bad news, trends tend to continue as prices slowly move to fully reflect changes in #fundamental value.
Read 8 tweets
Daily Bookmarks to GAVNet 5/24/2020-2

The Racial Dot Map: One Dot Per Person for the Entire U.S.

…ldotmap.demographics.coopercenter.org
#Map #Census2010
Scientists concerned that coronavirus is adapting to humans | Society | The Guardian

theguardian.com/society/2020/m…
#society #humanity #coronavirus #mutations
Read 6 tweets
1/ Q: What’s brought you hope this week?
A: Food trucks!

@PittsburghMag’s recent article showcases food truck owners working hard to re-open *safely.* It’s a joy to see the amazing work ethic and bright minds of these small business owners innovating evidence-based ways forward!
2/ What’s in their secret sauce? (Please pardon the pun).

Three key themes: metrics (following gating criteria), risk-prevention methods, and building trust. More on each below
3/
(1) METRICS: The food truck owners are paying close attention to the “gating criteria” set forth by their local #publichealth authorities, following all associated guidance and respecting phased implementation approaches.
Read 8 tweets
#RBI cut by 40bps each of these👇
#Repo rate to 4%
#ReverseRepo to 3.35%
#BankRate to 4.25%

Decision was reached after 5:1 vote,with #ChetanGhate,lone voice calling for 25 bps cut

#MPC meet was held ahead of schedule from 3rd-5th,June

#EMI #moratoroum extended by 3 more months
Moratorium extension till 31st August 2020,is both timely &reflective of @narendramodi govt's alacrity--Big relief to #MiddleClass

Measure to convert #moratorium interest payment into #TermLoan payable in FY21,is helpful

This will reduce #NPAs &stress on banks' balance sheets
#RBI's cut in #Repo will reduce cost of funds&extension of #moratorium will be supportive of financial stability;#Rates across #YieldCurve will move lower from current levels

Fall in #ReverseRepo rate will disincentivise banks from #hoarding #liquidity&coax them to lend

#Covid
Read 10 tweets

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