Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #risks

Most recents (24)

What's wrong with Biostatistics is analogously related to the question that was put by the Queen to the Economists at the LSE after the GFC.
The Queen wondered why didn't the economists see it coming?
of course, health pandemics are different, but, the statistical models are not
Scholars working in the biomedical sciences, epidemiology, and #biostatistics spheres, rely on mathematical and applied statistical computing based on modelling assumptions that rely on historical data set observations.
The past cannot and will predict the future with certitude.
Even with Quantum Computing, Data Sciences, Machine Learning, Artificial Intelligence, or any other form of computer-aided Predictive Analytics, scholars across the domains of natural and social sciences will never be able to capture the emergence of rare #Black #Swan #Risks!
Read 13 tweets
Net thread Inshallah ->
What is the difference between the value at risk (VaR) and the conditional value at risk (CVaR)?
Value - at - Risk is the purported worst-case loss under normal circumstances/market conditions developed using a computational technique and further specific modelling assumptions tailored as per the risk reporting requirements of a Trading / Investment Desk.
But I tend to disagree with the term WCL - (the Worst Case Loss), as mostly used by some authors in the field of FRM - Financial Risk Management.
Read 36 tweets
Money mistakes that stop you from becoming 'Wealthy' 💰

A Thread 👇👇
1/ Cutting expenses rather than increasing income -
You cannot become rich just by cutting your expenses. Cut your wasteful expenses but focus more on increasing your income. Passive income is one of the way.
Passive income ideas👇
2/ Not valuing time - 🕜
People keep wasting their valuable time on things that will not make them rich. Invest your time in gaining specialized knowledge, so that you can increase your income. Convert your time into money.
#money #investing #finance
Read 13 tweets
When we talk of IR #Interest #Rate #Risks we must understand the markets in which this product operates, and the fundamental pricing, trading, and hedging dynamics of this financial #derivative asset class.
Banks normally use IR Derivatives and Structured Products for on and/or off-balance-sheet ALM Asset Liability Management and Immunization, Bond Risk Hedging, NII Risk Hedging, Arbitrage Opportunity Exploration using the treasury based fixed income desks, Rate Speculation, etc.
Of course, we have other financial market participants such as Pension Funds, Hedge Funds, Insurance Companies, and several other specialized asset management firms, that have strategies and asset allocation models, which use IR derivative for both Macro and Micro-hedging.
Read 26 tweets
Critical thread on "Self-Spreading #Vaccines"

Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Center for #Health Security: Technologies to Address - Global Catastrophic Biological Risks, Oct 9, 2018

#biosurveillance "biological disruption" "bioterrorism events #bioengineering
"As a subset of infectious #disease emergencies, global catastrophic biological risk (#GCBR) is a special category of risk involving #biological #agents—whether naturally emerging or reemerging, deliberately created & released, or #laboratory engineered & escaped—..."

#COVID19
This "could lead to sudden, extraordinary, widespread disaster beyond the collective capability of national & int. orgs & the #privatesector to control."

"Global catastrophic biological risk", "transformational surveillance technologies"

#Foundations #CorporateConsolidation
Read 16 tweets
There are 175 corps/institutions now overseeing your children's #education going forward. They will be shaping/molding your child's #ideologies &
#worldviews - all while harvesting their data.

Global Education Coalition Members (announced Mar 18 2020):

globaleducationcoalition.unesco.org/members
"Civil society & non-profit organizations" (those serving capital & elite institutions) include:

#OBAMA FOUNDATION
-Tony Blair Institute for Global Change
#ONE (Bono)
-Global Business Coalition for #Education
#CODE
#OXFAM
#TEDEd
#SIEMENS
#Sesame Workshop

See image. #4IR
Read 13 tweets
Daily Bookmarks to GAVNet 03/31/2021 greeneracresvaluenetwork.wordpress.com/2021/03/31/dai…
Statistical Consequences of Fat Tails: Real World Preasymptotics, Epistemology, and Applications

researchers.one/articles/20.01…

#MathematicalStatistics #FatTails #ProbabilityTheory
WHO Buries Dismissal Of Lab Leak Theory In Last Pages Of 123-Page Origins Report, Draft Copy Shows

dailycaller.com/2021/03/29/who…

#wuhan #LabLeak #who #report #accuracy
Read 8 tweets
Which are some interesting stylized facts about Risk Management and IAD Failures across global corporations?
@PRMIA @GARP_Risk @BIS_org
Quantitative Risk Management when turned into a profession, does not work in reality in most cases, as witnessed now outside the Insurance Sector!
Insurance is different because the profession is led by well-trained quantitative professionals such as Actuaries!
The multiple reasons for the failure of Risk Management and Auditing Departments at firms could be the following =>
Read 19 tweets
Noting that, just like the #AppsLibrary, #DTAC *still* doesn't have a required section on clinical #efficacy - and that #impacts are much more than just (avoiding) #risks - alongside focusing on the #algorithms and #data, have you considered asking a few more basic questions... Image
...such as:

1) Will the proposed intervention have a direct impact on health, mental health and/or wellbeing?

If so, what specifically is the intended impact and how will it be measured? If not, why are you doing it?

2) Will the proposed intervention interact with or have...
...any impacts on social, economic and/or environmental factors that would 'indirectly' affect health?

If so, what are they and how will they be measured - and, if necessary, mitigated? If not, provide evidence of ALL of the potential impacts you have actually considered...
Read 5 tweets
This thread brings together all my #infographics until today (2years of work).

These are all infographics about #infosec 🔐

Feel free to share this tweet if you think it may be useful for your #community 📚

Follow me ➡ @SecurityGuill fore more about #security #hacking #news ImageImageImageImage
How does an #Antivirus works? Image
Quick presentation of the different #Bluetooth Hacking Techniques Image
Read 44 tweets
Daily Bookmarks to GAVNet 02/21/2021 greeneracresvaluenetwork.wordpress.com/2021/02/21/dai…
This Blizzard Exposes The Perils Of Attempting To ‘Electrify Everything

forbes.com/sites/robertbr…

#blizzard #electrified
Read 10 tweets
The EU Commissioner for Justice @dreynders opens the webinar on #SustainableCorporateGovernance and Non-Financial Reporting with data from the @EUCorpReporting research. More info: bit.ly/2CPk18l
@EU_Justice @dreynders is clear in his message: "We have to take complementary action to improve not only corporate reporting, but also the corporate governance framework"
"We are facing a sustainability crisis of an unprecedented scale .. and the challenge of ensuring a sustainable recovery from the CoViD-19 crisis. In these circumstances, we should do all utmost to ensure that all companies can contribute to this broader sustainable recovery."
Read 4 tweets
Thread 🧵on Risks associated with #StockMarket #Investing.

(Must read for everyone, especially those entered in #StockMarket recently during #COVID19 lockdown and have seen only ⬆️⬆️⬆️)

🌟Risk hai toh ishq hai ! 🌟

@caniravkaria @Vivek_Investor @dmuthuk @WeekendInvestng
Long term investment in #shares is always rewarding compared to returns generated by other #investing avenues. But at same time it contains various #risks that #investor needs to be aware of.

Some of the #risks associated with #StockMarket #Investing are explained below 👇
1⃣Economic Risk / Market Risk :

It refers to the possibility of investor experiencing losses due to factors that affect overall performance of economy and hence financial markets.

A slowdown in economy affects almost all sectors of any company in varying proportions.

#NSE #BSE
Read 14 tweets
1/ "The entire audience was white and casually well-dressed"

~Greg Pritchard, describing his first experience of @WillowCreekCC in 1983, in his 1995 book "Willow Creek Seeker Services", Chapter 1.
2/ "Credibility: Hybels seeks to be a reliable & trusted friend to a visiting unchurched Harry. He wants to be honest & sincere & show genuine affection for Harry. See chapter 8."

~Greg Pritchard, who I guess had the wool pretty much pulled over his eyes, in "WCSS"
3/ "An ironic Willow Creek Proverb expresses this same idea: 'Exhaustion in next to Godliness'"

~Greg Pritchard, "Willow Creek Seeker Services", Chapter 2.
Read 105 tweets
Daily Bookmarks to GAVNet 12/30/2020 greeneracresvaluenetwork.wordpress.com/2020/12/30/dai…
How China’s digital currency will thwart US dollar trap and help the world | South China Morning Post

scmp.com/comment/opinio…

#china #dollar #world #currency
The Vaccine Rollout's Known Knowns and More - Insight

zeynep.substack.com/p/the-vaccine-…

#distribution #vaccine
Read 10 tweets
#RealInvestmentReport is out!
The #bullish #bias kept #market holding above recent #breakout levels, but extensions and deviations from means remain extreme. We could see further weakness next week before the year-end "#WindowDressing" #rally.
realinvestmentadvice.com/irrational-exu…
While markets did weaken slightly over the last few sessions, the #market remained above recent breakout levels. However, with a short-term #MACD #sellsignal, and #options #expiration next Friday, we could see further weakness next week.
realinvestmentadvice.com/irrational-exu… Image
In August we laid out our year-end #target of 3750. With the #SantaClaus rally ahead, (in reality it is #WindowDressing week) we are close to our mark. 2021 will likely prove to be disappointing as we lay out the #risks.
realinvestmentadvice.com/irrational-exu… Image
Read 6 tweets
What are the implications of excess global financial market volatility on economic growth? Are there threshold effects in the relationship between growth & excess global volatility for individual countries? How should we model the nonlinear effects in a multi-country setting? 1/n
We answer these questions in recent work with Alexander Chudik @DallasFed, M Hashem Pesaran @USCDornsife @TrinCollCam, @mraissi80 @IMFNews & @arebucci1 @JHUCarey @cepr_org @nberpubs: ideas.repec.org/p/cam/camdae/2… #TGVAR 2/n
The #Covid19 #pandemic has been a shock like no other, initiating simultaneous demand and supply disruptions. In addition, it led to a sharp tightening in global #financial market conditions during the first quarter of 2020. 3/n Image
Read 23 tweets
THREAD: #Libya #marsec update
The Marlin Shikoku, owned by a Chinese state-run company, is bound for Libya to lift oil after a blockade on oil exports is partially lifted. 1/5
#Maritime #Security #Shipping #ports #OOTT
Libyan oil fields and terminals had been stopped since January 2020 as the fight for the control of the oil revenue prevented any agreement between rival factions. 2/5
On September 18, a member of the GNA and the son of warlord Khalifa Haftar announced that the exports would resume. This announcement was quickly rejected by other GNA members and state institutions, raising doubt as to the feasibility of the agreement. 3/5
Read 5 tweets
In a recent paper, with Alexander Chudik @DallasFed, M Hashem Pesaran @USCDornsife, @mraissi80 @IMFNews & @arebucci1 @JHUCarey, we develop a threshold-augmented dynamic multi-country model (#TGVAR) to quantify the #macroeconomic effects of #Covid19: econ.cam.ac.uk/research/cwpe-… 1/n Image
Key challenges with the empirical #economic analysis of #Covid19 include the following: how to identify the shock, how to account for its non-linear effects, & how to quantify its effects while accounting for spillovers, common global factors, network effects and uncertainty. 2/n
We contribute to the literature by addressing these issues in a coherent multi-country framework. We offer an identification strategy for the #Covid19 shock considering that a synthetic control method cannot be applied in the context of a global #pandemic. 3/n
Read 23 tweets
Stock note : HG Infra

Cmp – 198
Market Cap – 1,300 cr
Sector- #RoadConstruction & #EPC

(Blog note is slightly old)

Company Overview - #HGInfra Image
Impressive #Orderbook growth with Discipline in #Execution Image
Segmental #Diversification Image
Read 8 tweets

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