Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #rtstats
Most recents (1)
NEW: we ran the numbers, and anti-Brexit parties’ failure to form a united entity could cost them half their potential seats in EU elections ft.com/content/17c356…
• If Lib Dems, Greens & Change UK all appear on ballot, they get 7 seats
• If they’d joined forces, they’d get 16
• If Lib Dems, Greens & Change UK all appear on ballot, they get 7 seats
• If they’d joined forces, they’d get 16
Notes:
• We’re using an average of polls for the Euro elections from April
• We’re applying the national vote shares to each region
• We’re only calculating seats for England, since national parties complicate things in Wales & Scotland
• We’re using an average of polls for the Euro elections from April
• We’re applying the national vote shares to each region
• We’re only calculating seats for England, since national parties complicate things in Wales & Scotland
More: here’s how vote shares and seat shares would compare if the three anti-Brexit parties all appear on the ballot paper (same methods as above).
• Lib Dems: 9% in the polls, 12% of seats.
• Greens: 7% in the polls, zero seats.
• Change UK: 5% in the polls, zero seats.
• Lib Dems: 9% in the polls, 12% of seats.
• Greens: 7% in the polls, zero seats.
• Change UK: 5% in the polls, zero seats.
