Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #russiainvasion

Most recents (4)

H νίκη της #Russia στο #Bakhmut έχει σημασία για το παράνομα αποσχιθέν, από το 14, νοβορωσικό της πρότζεκτ στο #Donetsk. Ανοίγει το δρόμο για το #Sloviansk που η ανακατάληψη του 3 μήνες μετά την δράση των #сепар, στις 05.07 του 2014 έπληξε το γόητρο του #Putin

Εξού η εμμονή >>
>> επιπλέον τα μεγέθη του τότε σε σύγκριση με μια μάχη που διαρκεί 1y και 2 μήνες δείχνει και τα όρια διασφάλισης της διαπραγματευτικής γραμμής της #Russia μετά την αποτυχημένη εισβολή τον περασμένο Φεβρουάριο.

Θέλει μεγιστοποίηση κερδών του post-soviet space στα ανατολικά >>
>> γιατί φοβάται την #ukrainecounteroffensive και δη στην περιοχή της #Crimea -που αν υπάρξει εκεί σοβαρή δράση τίθεται αυτόματα και στο τραπέζι που θα κρίνει την έκβαση του #UkraineWar εντός της επόμενης 3ετίας (2023-2026).

Το #Bakhmut ανέδειξε πως ο πόλεμος στην #Ukraine >>
Read 5 tweets
@DAlperovitch 1) "Lost": that's not what most military analysts I read are saying. I would say that the predominant word I see is "stalemate" (e.g. ISW and many others).
@DAlperovitch 2) Now I guess one could argue that a stalemate is effectively a loss for Russia. And probably it is in many ways, but that's more a product of expectations than an objective description.
@DAlperovitch 3) It really looks like a loss if you compare it to the predominant analysis before the #RussiaInvasion of Ukraine. Virtually everyone (except for e.g. @MarkHertling ) thought that Russia would finish Ukraine off in 2 days or maybe a week at most.
Read 11 tweets
As someone who studies war, this isn’t a regular war. This is BIG. Invasion of Iraq big.

At first glance, the Russian invasion looks like it’s just about Ukraine and NATO. But that’s just the tip of the iceberg. The consequences of this moment will reverberate for decades.
/1
At a minimum, the #RussiaInvasion of Ukraine now makes China’s invasion of Taiwan a virtual certainty. When, not if. #NewRules
/2
Supply chains will be reconfigured on all sides. Covid revealed how you couldn’t rely even on allies to share critical infrastructure in moments of true crisis. But the Russian invasion and secondary sanctions could now break globalization as we know it. #SWIFT #NewRules
/3
Read 9 tweets
🇷🇺aggression towards 🇺🇦has severe consequences for European security architecture and it will be felt in other geopolitical sensible regions 🧵 1/1
such as the European Arctic, which is seeing a heightening of military build-up, tensions, and competition over resources for some years now...
@epc event on climate insecurity and geopolitics in the Arctic offered a comprehensive picture of the current situation in the Arctic and its interlink with what is happening in Donbas
Read 10 tweets

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