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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆโ€™s effort to defend itself against #RussiasWar is jeopardized on various levels. Western leaders must be careful not to undermine it. โ€žFreezingโ€œ the conflict along the current lines of combat would be extremely disadvantageous for ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ and set a dangerous precedent for Europe.
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ intensifies its efforts to complete the occupation of the Donbas and the southeast of ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ, putting ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ's army under enormous strain. ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ is simultaneously working to transform the newly occ terr into de facto statelets (building administrative structures, handing out passports).
In March Kyiv desperately searched for negotiated solutions in the face of ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโ€™s mil superiority. This let to a 10 point plan presented in Istanbul on 29/03, combining restoration of the 23/02 contact line and talks about Crimeaโ€˜s status with neutrality and security guarantees.
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